Who knows...Price is volatile enough that when someone with large capital do a buy or sell, price movement is seen..Though by now the chance of going to below $300 is still very small...But it's true that after the halving, there might be a price drop might be minimal also..
Both the sides have huge walls that need to be broken in order for this price to happen, and even $600...
For the buy side, you need huge cash as well as for the sell side, you will need a lot of BTC for that to happen, and according to me, whales are smart enough to know they must not take such steps whilst they are still making lots and lots of money even with the stable markets...
The whales are making a lot of money at the moment. They sell at $430 and buy at $410. That is easy money for them.
These guys can manipulate the market, so they can make a lot of money out of the small fish like us.
But it is of course hard to know what will happen with the value and that is the problem.
not a problem at all. that's what's making bitcoin interesting for traders. if everyone knew what would happen with the price then we all would be a millionaire.