I know that the fork talk is low nowadays
, and that the possibility of it to happen are close to 0.
But let's say it does happen and BTC exist in the two chains... Would it not be a possibility to profit from it? if coins are duplicated, the highest possibility is that they drop to half value. But, could it not be that they keep some of that value and people will end up with a gain %?
Would be kinda like a halving or not?
The fork will not happen (thanks God). Case closed!
It serves no purpose to even talk about the consequences when it's not going to happen!
Bitcoin XT is real. So, why not?
True but very unlikely
I think it is highly likely that the fork will happen, the blocksize does need to be increased after all. I do not mean to be overly dramatic but if the blocksize is not increased then Bitcoin has no future.
Fortunately most people do agree with this therefore I think that the fork will happen, especially once blocks start to fill up, the economic pressure will increase and Bitcoin will need to change in order to stay the same. Incentives will most likely align in the near future to allow this to happen.
If fork will happen, BTC will be gone. There won't be any BTC just an Altcoin.
As I can see, BTC will be gone if the fork is not made too.
I think that you misunderstand, to fork is Bitcoin. Bitcoin was designed to fork in this way. If Bitcoin never forks it will die, this was always the intended design in terms of how we resolve disagreements. A blockchain fork is not the same as an altcoin, since it contains the original genesis block while maintaining the old distribution simultaneously.
I think that we should accept the reality that Bitcoin will split in the future, even if it is not because of the current blocksize debate. I think this is inevitable and off political necessity.
There is a beauty to this solution however in the way that it prevents the tyranny of the majority, and in the way that this maintains the pure concepts of freedom and volunteerism. If we do not think that this is Bitcoin then maybe our understanding of Bitcoin has been wrong. I think that this blocksize debate has been very informative in teaching us the true nature of Bitcoin politics.
It is the economic majority that rules Bitcoin, not some absolutist conception of consensus. If the economic majority becomes split then Bitcoin itself will split, since Bitcoin reflects the will of its participants.
However I do not think this will necessarily happen with the block size debate since I do think that if either Core or XT comprises their position or a third alternative is implemented then we should be able to reach a super majority for consensus, essentially allowing us to increase the blocksize without splitting Bitcoin.