Topic: ══► FREE Winning Sport TIPS, +12.4% ROI, 939 TIPS - page 13. (Read 11023 times)

Again amazing start...

Soccer (Argentina)   10/06 01:00    Club Atletico Aldosivi - Atletico Lanus   Pick: Draw @ 3.09 5dimes 10/10

If you are happy with my tips or make some money:
BTC Buy me a beer! 1G7UZzYuVodCZCEVwmRNsqvAfj8P1bJwDe

Starting 05 Oct:

Soccer (Germany II)   10/05 20:15   MSV Duisburg - SC Paderborn 07   Pick: Over 2.5 @ 2.05   SBOBET
Soccer (Germany II)   10/05 20:15   MSV Duisburg - SC Paderborn 07   Pick: Away @ 2.35   SBOBET

Basketball (ABA)   10/05 20:15   KK Igokea - KK Union Olimpija Ljubljana   Pick: Over 146.5 @ 2.05   SBOBET

If you are happy with my tips or make some money:
BTC Buy me a beer! 1G7UZzYuVodCZCEVwmRNsqvAfj8P1bJwDe

I'm spending all my day to choose the right bets. But the right in a long run means a long run. A day or a week - these periods are not important. With average odds >2 it's normal to have 2-3-4-5 consecutive winning or losing days.

And from my point of view important are my results, so people to follow me. My whole statistic is public and detailed. All picks are on unedited posts.
Because you could check all other tipster threads here, nobody is sharing their real results. Not even Joca97. All what is written is XX won XX lost. But without average odds and staking per bet this mean absolutely nothing /but for Joca97 I believe he is a winner/.  Because if you have 80 won and 20 lost this sound 'wow great'. But if your average odd is <1.25 you are losing bettor/tipster.

Concrete for you question - 1st I'm looking teams general form and news around them. 2nd is there a key players who are injured or suspended. 3rd last 6 games /3 home and 3 away/ for team's momentary form. And last - odds comparator for odds in all bookies. And if I decide there is a value in odds - follows a bet.

Picks for 29 October - Click HERE

And as I'm picking a lot of games per day, soon I will start a site and there will be different thread for different sports.

Stats till now @ 00GMT 01 Nov:

Picks: 939
Profit: +124, +12.4% ROI

ROI on 1BCT bank with 1% betting size (0.01 Bets) : +12.4%, +0.124 BTC
ROI on 1BCT bank with 2% betting size (0.02 Bets) : +24.8%, +0.248 BTC

Main 10/10 bets are at 5% yield, and still >30% ROI:

Number of picks: 628
Profit: +316
ROI: 31.6%
Yield:+5%
 
Win-Loss-Void:   311-273-44
Win rate:   53%
Stake avg.:   10.0
Odd avg.:   2.02
Staked:   5840
Returned:   6596

If you are happy with my tips or make some money:
BTC Buy me a beer! 1G7UZzYuVodCZCEVwmRNsqvAfj8P1bJwDe



Q: On what sports you are betting? What tips will I find here?
A: During the day mainly tennis, football and basketball. Nightly - mostly American MLB, NFL and NBA.

Q: Are you betting your own tips?
A: Yes, but with fiat because of the better odds. But I just find out  FairLay have even better?! odds, so I'm slowly moving completely to BTC.

Q: What those 5/10, 10/10, 3/10, etc. staking numbers mean?
A: How much you should bet following me. For example if you are usually betting with 5% of your bankroll, 10/10 mean to bet with your full 5%, 3/10 mean to bet with 30% of your regular size - in this example with 1.5% of your bankroll.

Q: What bankroll management should I keep?
A: It depends of you. How risky do you want to bet, how much do you want to gain. But always remember - never bet more than you can afford to lose! It's still gambling!

Q: When Asian Handicap Win/Lose?
A: THIS table should give a good perspective of when AH win/lose. Also you could check and this Betting FAQ. If something is still unclear, shoot it on this thread or on PM.

I recommend Flat betting with 3% of your bankroll if you are not comfortable with big swings or Kelly calculated size for max profit.

Few examples about betting size and strategy with the results from past few days (keeping in mind I'm in a hot streak!)

Initial bankroll is 1 BTC for all examples.

Flat betting without increasing of betting size:

(Safest) 112 Bets, betting size 0.01BTC  (1%), Staked: 0.97 BTC Returned: 1.24605, PROFIT +0.27605 BTC ROI:  +27%
(Modest) 112 Bets, betting size 0.05BTC  (5%), Staked: 4.85 BTC Returned: 6.23025, PROFIT +1.38025 BTC ROI: +138%
(Risky)  112 Bets, betting size 0.10BTC (10%), Staked: 9.70 BTC Returned: 12.4605, PROFIT +2.76050 BTC ROI: +276%

  + less risky bank management.
  - low to modest profit.

Kelly settled with 10% edge:

(Kelly) 112 Bets, betting size: highly varying, PROFIT +4.71 BTC ROI: +477%
 
  + high to maximum profit.
  - big variance on good and bad streaks.

Q: Ok, got it. And now where to bet?

Best Odds I've ever seen are at FairLay. They usually even beat Pinnacle and other top fiat bookies. But still doesn't have too many events.

Other bookies with decent odds and lines:

BitcoinRush
NitrogenSports
BetCoin
CloudBet

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Check THIS link for some betting theory.
Feel free to ask me if you have another questions! And GOOD LUCK

===

OLD:

Hi all,

I'm starting this new tips thread as I will have slightly different approach this time.
Less tips, more stats and result, more value.

I will try to update the stats every day.
My  primary focus during the day (European) will be football.
During the evenings - MLB and NFL.

And remember - even winning tips are still gambling. Never bet more than you can afford to lose!

All lines and odds will be from Pinnacle unless otherwise is stated.