At that time bitcoin was worth around 10,000/20,000$ and a FUN was equal to 50 satoshi (1 FUN = 50 sat).
Each Spin wheel has 4 prize categories, considering that the weighted average is of the common ones: satoshi, points, tickets, about 1/3 are tickets that in fact do not offer, except special cases of winning, earnings to the user. so 66% remains between satoshi and points.
Always at that time each common prize was equivalent to 50 satoshi/points/ticket, so let's say we got the prize of satoshi we had: 1 FUN = 50 sat, 1 spin = 50 sat, so a ratio of 1 (50:50).
Today we find ourselves with a bitcoin value 3/5 times higher and a FUN value 12 times lower, if we look at the spin wheels at the current value a common prize is 17/18 sat, while we have a FUN value of 4, so we get: 1 spin = 18 sat, 1 FUN = 4, whose ratio is 4.5 (18/4).
This means that the site must pay more than quadruple what it initially paid with the spins and obviously it may no longer be sustainable.
2/3 of the wheel prizes might be satoshis and points, but they changed the odds so that you win the 500 and 5000 prizes much less often. This effectively led to a more than 90% decrease in total cumulative rewards over time.
Initially, for every 1000 spins we would be expected to receive 50 sats*300 + 500 sats*20 + 5000 sats*13 + 50 rp*300 + 500 rp*20 + 5000 rp*13. This would be a combined total of 180,000 sats & rp.
Today, for every 1000 spins we are expected to receive 18 sats*330 + 180 sats*2 + 1800 sats*1 + 18 rp*330 + 180 rp*2 + 1800 rp*1. This is a combined total of 16,200 sats&rp.
The average cannot be done like this, the spin has 4 types of prizes:
1) common (15/50 Sat/Points/Tickets)
2) uncommon (150-500/1500-5000 Sat/Points/Tickets)
3) rare (1/5/50 Golden tickets)
4) special (500$ giftcard, Iphone, Rolex)
Point 4 has an extremely rare probability, it is like winning a jackpot of a national game/lottery.
Point 3 has a probability of about 1%.
Point 2 has a probability of about 3-4%.
Point 1 is the one that comes out with a probability of about 95+%, of which as said 1/3 are tickets.
So we need to calculate a weighted average of point 1, with some exceptions of point 2 and extraordinary 3 and 4.
So if at the beginning 1 FUN was 50 sat, buying the maximum membership of 500,000 FUN we had a cost of 25,000,000 satoshi, with an annual return from the spins of 200,000/300,000.
That is from 1/83rd to 1/125th of the investment.Today a 500,000 FUN membership is bought with 2,000,000 satoshi, if they continued to give the same number of spins, whose municipalities have a value of 17/18, we would find ourselves with an annual return of 63,000/70,000.
That is from 1/31st to 1/28th of the investment, that is over 4 times what it paid before, for the site it would not be sustainable.
I hope this is clearer.
I don't get it, why is there so much complain about FUN token?
Someone said people are not buying this token, I doubt that because even in this bear market this token still have one million dollars worth of volume with good marketcap, how is this not doing fine?
https://i.postimg.cc/WbtyHQ5c/IMG-20240905-074345.jpgThis token has react very well to all past bull market, just like all other altcoins, when and if Bitcoin dominance is done surging altcoins will start moving again, as for those saying that Binance can delist Fun token well, how many tokens have Binance delisted that died because of it? There are few reasons why Binance delsist tokens and the most popular one is low volume.
Freebitco team should work more on utilities, I accept, but this doesn't mean the end for fun token.
Except that FUN has become another shitcoin in a huge ocean of shitcoins. There is no innovation or additional utility planned with it, and given the poor performance of FBC lately I think we can safely assume FUN will wittle away into irrelevance. The fact we aren't received our free spins is very telling, this is no longer a technical issue, clearly they cannot sustain the cost of the free spins anymore. Anybody investing in FUN at this point would be better off going to a casino and sticking their money on a roulette table.
The problem is that this crypto at the moment has little use since it is only for games and there are other more famous and used cryptos such as TRON (TRX), so if they don't invent something, the price will stagnate like this or there will even be a removal from the exchanges.
One thing that could make them rise in price would be the creation of faucets (and not only) that distribute this crypto, but at the moment the demand seems low or non-existent.