The problem is that the quantity supplied is not fixed or changed in a linear fashion, but rather changed several times indirectly, as numbers were added as merit sources away from the main list, and many members were given more points at different times.
The same is due to the disappearance of some members and the counting of others as sources of merit. All these factors make any similarity between them and btc chart a mere coincidence.
Sure. We don't have enough data and needed variables to run analysis for finding real correlations between merits and BTC price as well as active members (differences in postcounts between periods when BTC is stable and when it moves hard (pumps or dumps), active merit sources and their merit-distributing activities.The same is due to the disappearance of some members and the counting of others as sources of merit. All these factors make any similarity between them and btc chart a mere coincidence.
What I gave you in OP are very raw picture but it can give you somewhat idea and maybe a potential correlation that need to be confirmed by better data (if you have it). Despite of lack of data for postcounts, the forum's ad stats can be used as alternatives.
Those charts can give you more ideas.
I will update the thread Impression counts for ads over years (Statistics) very soon (third quarter ended) and this time I will include merit variable into the dataset.
