Topic: future bitcoin transaction fees - page 5. (Read 1705 times)

Fees of 500$ or 1000$? Never.
People will never pay 500$ or 1000$ for that, at this point it will simply not be worth using BTC anymore

During the last hike, a lot of users stopped paying with BTC and just waited, using BTC only when there as no other choice.
If the fees will go to 1000$ (that's half of the median wage in EU) who do you think will keep on paying those?
People, that transfer millions a day? Maybe, but those are not enough to clog the chain.

Just imagine, the network is doing an average of about 400 000tx when the blocks are full. With a 1000$ fee, it would mean 400 million a day in fees or 1.2 billion a month. Even the whales will turn into shrimps at this rate.

Bitcoin is gradually improving. The transaction procedure has made faster than before and they also have reduced the transaction fees. I expect that the fees wion't be increased when the price rises for bitcoin.

you had a point i have a same vision with you about tx hash and transaction fees so i also reviewed about segwit and lightning network. i hope they will help if the transaction of bitcoin is big. there is a lot of transaction but not really big as the trade in last month of 2017. those fees was so expensive but bitcoin has a big value in that time.

I would like to reduce the transaction fee in the future, you understand it is expected of everyone

SegWit already got pretty good adoption, so the current low fees can be attributed to it. But SegWit is only a small capacity increase, and it was never meant to be a scaling solution, SegWit is an update that fixes vulnerability with signatures, which is important for future updates, like LN.

Lightning Network will and already has very cheap fees, but this doesn't mean that on-chain fees will stay low too. First, if onchain fees were low, why bother with LN and its channels? Also, LN channels have some limits to their capacity, LN is designed to serve for smaller daily spendings rather than being your saving wallet. So, onchain transactions will still be used for big transfers, and in the future the number of those transfers will keep growing, especially during the price increases, so the fees will keep growing too. In the very long run, the fees will grow huge, easily $500 or $1,000 in the next 20 years, depending on the levels of adoption. But this will be fine, because we'll have Lightning and some other cool technologies.

People seems to forget that these things also help reduce network load such as :
1. People and services use SegWit or Bech32/native SegWit which have lower size/weight
2. Services use transaction batching which can lower transaction fees and reduce transaction size
3. SegWit protocol update already increase maximum transaction which can fit on a block since it replace maximum block size limit to block weight limit

SegWit alone won't be enough to accommodate too high TPS, but bitcoiner will use LN on future which have far lower fees and have better scaling compared with bitcoin on-chain/1st-layer network.


Nice point, even majority altcoin and few blockchain project are working or plan to use 2nd layer protocol as their scaling solution rather only increase maximum block size

I have a lot faith in the Lightning technology. The was a recent debate between Jameson Lopp and Roger Ver where they discussed Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash, where Jameson made a really great point that bitcoin is in some way similar to the Internet which has several layers. Thus, bitcoin should be seen as a skeleton which we can put various muscles upon. Ligning has all chances to become on one those muscles.

You know back in 2017 I have heard one person had to pay 17$ transaction fee for transferring 25$ from one account to another.

This was a total disaster, but now with segWit and this less price the fee is relatively less from what it was before.
As the price will rise so will be the transaction fees and everything else too.

But the reason segWit was adopted is because even when the price is high it could provide a reasonable fee.
I think transaction fee is a big downfall when it comes to Bitcoins it's primarily the reason why people choose other cryptocurrencies so I think in the future it will certainly decrease because they will realize how much competition there is in the market and if they didn't did anything then it will be disastrous for the future of Bitcoins.

Right now it's so and so not big not small.

that is wrong. nothing about how bitcoin blockchain and confirmation time works have changed. it is the same exact thing as 2009 when the first block was found. we are having 2016 blocks per 2 weeks which is approximately 1 block per 10 minutes.

you pay a fee from 0 to any amount that is standard and the miners seeing your transaction can choose to pick it up and include it in the next block they find or  choose to ignore it.
during a couple of months of 2017 there were more transactions than there was block size so a fee war/competition started where you had to pay a higher fee so that the miners don't ignore your transaction.

No less transaction fees, but we also found that the time to confirm the transaction is much faster than 2017. In 2017 it took me nearly 1 hour to send 1 btc but now it is different. This is due to changing the way the new btc block chain works in September and 11/2017. In my opinion, when the market recovers, the number of transactions will increase but it will not affect the transaction fee, but it seems that the time of confirmation will be affected but not much.

it is not just market "recovering" but it is whenever price makes a big move. for example a big drop or a big rise. that move means traders will be making a lot more transactions to and from exchanges. obviously in both cases there are people buying and there others selling.

BUT that amount of transaction has never been enough to cause any kind of big trouble. it is basically a small increase in number of transactions for a short time which is resolved in a short time too. for example a 10% increase for 6 hours which is over by the end of the day. the fee market in this case is not going to become that fierce like last year.

however if we see another spam attack like last year and whenever that comes at the same time with a big price move we are in a big trouble and fees go ridiculously high.

SegWit is the solution that is already implemented and is being used but still not that much. it has increased the capacity a little and it has the potential to increase it a little more. which solves things a little which is more than enough based on current adoption that bitcoin has based on what i have seen so far.

Lightning network is more like an additional layer which can potentially take the load of the main net and transfer some of it on its own layer. for example imagine traders who have an open channel with their exchange and instead of making deposits (1 on chain) and letting their coins be on exchange and withdraw (2nd on chain) their coins when they are done trading for the day, they do it 1000 times a day without any on chain transaction (well only 2 but that can last as long as they want not just 1 day) and fast and cheap. so when we have that big price move, instead of making an on chain transaction you just make a transaction on LN which is going to be instant and you won't crowd the mempool either.

Currently the cost of bitcoin transactions is very cheap due to the relatively small amount of transactions, moving 48,000 bits per 4 cents, very cheap compared to December 2017 at some time up to $ 50 due to too many transactions at that time. . However, when the market recovers, there will be many transactions to be made and then whether technologies such as Segwit or Lightning network will help bitcoin trading faster and transaction costs do not become expensive. or not?