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Topic: 🤖 Future of Trading - AI vs Humans the Prediction Challenge WIN 0.05 BTC 🤖 - page 6. (Read 6236 times)

hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 523
December 17, 2017, 02:16: 40 AM
Bitcoin price prediction: $20,050
full member
Activity: 574
Merit: 115
Sunday, CME futures, I think it could go either way. Maybe a last minute dump and pump? Or pump and dump? Everybody thinks up, so I am betting down.

$15,000

full member
Activity: 966
Merit: 140
predicton for 17.12.17 23:59:59 GMT+0

BTC $20.820
full member
Activity: 406
Merit: 102
Darn.. hope I'm not too late for the next prediction.  I meant to do it earlier today,  but got caught up in some other crypto in the market.


For Sunday 12/17  I am going to say we get over the 20k mark  and  hit  20,500
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 250
16741$ or 17421$
for 17th december
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1598
Hi,

my prediction for end of day Sunday BTC price: 18,500 USD, it would be a natural retracement and still a very bullish conclusion to the week for Bitcoin.
member
Activity: 94
Merit: 10
btc prediction for 17.12.17  23:59:59 GMT+0 
$19830

member
Activity: 79
Merit: 10
Starting ....
Today and tomorrow the price will keep rising Smiley
17.12.2017
BTC price : 21650$


legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1145
Sounds good on the contract offers, though it may require a bit of a learning curve to modify the management of AIEVE, since there will be no tech analysis underlying it, you'd be adding yours to it and I guess defeating the whole purpose of it? Will there also be an option to have crowd wisdom feed into AIEVE, based on preselected ranges (perhaps, a few people you plug into and the platform auto updates comparisons vs AIEVE).

Good thinkings - so let me explain with an example:

One way to have control about your savings plan would be supervised training of AIΞVE - that means you are training AIΞVE with data that yourself/your company are labeling.

In the longterm the other option would be investing in peculium funds supervised by an expert or company of your choice.

Crowd wisdowm is indirectly included through NLP and could be directly used with the above metioned options! Wink



My next prediction for 17 Dec is 18271.63$

@cryptix: how do you will determine the winner regarding the number of suggestions made?
I mean if you made less suggestions, it is easier, no?

exactly Cryptix, there should be a bonus for people who make the most number of predictions, otherwise someone can win it with even 1 or 2 lucky guesses...

Hey guys,

We are taking the best 10 predictions and average the error of these predictions.

If someome misses a prediction then the missing prediction will be replaced with that days human average error.

For example if someone does only 1 prediction then we will take the error of that 1 prediction + 9 best average human error. This will be averaged again and make the result.

Therefore the impact of such people is very low.


You can check the interim results until the 15.12 and see it - i updated the sheet yesterday.

People who make more predictions have the advantage! Wink
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1598
My next prediction for 17 Dec is 18271.63$

@cryptix: how do you will determine the winner regarding the number of suggestions made?
I mean if you made less suggestions, it is easier, no?

exactly Cryptix, there should be a bonus for people who make the most number of predictions, otherwise someone can win it with even 1 or 2 lucky guesses...
sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 270
My next prediction for 17 Dec is 18271.63$

@cryptix: how do you will determine the winner regarding the number of suggestions made?
I mean if you made less suggestions, it is easier, no?
full member
Activity: 952
Merit: 166
My next price guess: $19100
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
[Quote this one; AIEVE's prediction by the end of the day is $16870,50
Honestly, seems like I've missed big opportunity to join in this challenge against AI as 5 days left, to the end.
I thought to have a small chance to win this due to the rule:
If you miss a prediction date(s) then your missing prediction(s) will be calculated as the average error of all human predictions for that day.

is it mean, all the average error from 7.12.2017 to 21.12.2017 will be added to my error prediction? Such a big error for me Grin
Anyway, can I participate tomorrow? Or it's closed?

You were right on your first guess actually. You do have a small chance simply by participating even once. The rule means what it says, your missing prediction is the average error of ALL human predictions for that day only. In fact, for some people, they may have been better off leaving out their high error predictions and sticking to the average on some days. Yesterday, for example, only 6 people did better than the average error, although of course, one big error like yesterday's 12%+ brought that average down a lot!

And no, check the spreadsheet: there's still at least four more days to put in your submission, picks close at 2am GMT (about 9 hours from now). Looks like Bitcoin broke another ATH, so it looks like my error will be pretty high today.
full member
Activity: 574
Merit: 115
Quote this one; AIEVE's prediction by the end of the day is $16870,50

It is the day before the start of the CME futures market! Bitcoin is already moving to $19000, it would be a surprise if it fell by the end of the day.


If you miss a prediction date(s) then your missing prediction(s) will be calculated as the average error of all human predictions for that day.

Someone could really screw up that average, which means if you miss one day you already lost.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 523
AIΞVE's prediction:

Saturday 16.12.2017:

BTC 16.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 16870,50 $



Good luck everyone!



Quote this one; AIEVE's prediction by the end of the day is $16870,50
Honestly, seems like I've missed big opportunity to join in this challenge against AI as 5 days left, to the end.
I thought to have a small chance to win this due to the rule:
If you miss a prediction date(s) then your missing prediction(s) will be calculated as the average error of all human predictions for that day.

is it mean, all the average error from 7.12.2017 to 21.12.2017 will be added to my error prediction? Such a big error for me Grin
Anyway, can I participate tomorrow? Or it's closed?
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
Edit @10:07 pm - if possible, I'd like to change this to $18,686. Still within the timeframe, if not, then of course take the one below. I made an early prediction as normally am not up this late!

My next price guess: $17,486.

Looks like I should have been even more optimistic on my last guess, as Bitcoin just seems to chug away at new all time highs. I'm seeing more and more nervous people now, myself included to an extent, who feel that the impending crash is going to get worse with each week of delay and each new ATH to fall from. I'm really curious to know how far ahead AIEVE predicts, and if it will see the crash before it happens.

For that matter, curious to see if any of these AI platforms launched in the past few months will.

Hi Lipe490,

the Peculium platform will offer the same option! We have different contracts that allow you to modify the AIΞVE management or just get AIΞVE's data so that you can manage your account on your own. Smiley

This is a small challenge for people to see how viable AIΞVE already is and to see AIΞVE's prediction accuracy in comparison to human prediction accuracy.
If you look at this sheet you will see that - even though AIΞVE is v0.1 alpha - she beats the averaged human participants error nearly every time!  Cool


Sounds good on the contract offers, though it may require a bit of a learning curve to modify the management of AIEVE, since there will be no tech analysis underlying it, you'd be adding yours to it and I guess defeating the whole purpose of it? Will there also be an option to have crowd wisdom feed into AIEVE, based on preselected ranges (perhaps, a few people you plug into and the platform auto updates comparisons vs AIEVE).
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 683
Love is the answer
My Prediction for the price on Sunday 17.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT+0)

BTC: 17512$
legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1145
AIΞVE's prediction:

Saturday 16.12.2017:

BTC 16.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 16870,50 $



Good luck everyone!

legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1145
Ai vs Human? Why don't you put both together to make awesome predictions?There is a project called Cindicator which is backed to the Hybrid Intelligence and they have delivered a lot of good products so far. When I saw your post I remembered them. Btw is this supposed to be only a challenge?

Hi Lipe490,

the Peculium platform will offer the same option! We have different contracts that allow you to modify the AIΞVE management or just get AIΞVE's data so that you can manage your account on your own. Smiley

This is a small challenge for people to see how viable AIΞVE already is and to see AIΞVE's prediction accuracy in comparison to human prediction accuracy.
If you look at this sheet you will see that - even though AIΞVE is v0.1 alpha - she beats the averaged human participants error nearly every time!  Cool





My prediction for Friday 12/15/17 @ 10:00am NYC $17,532.00

My prediction for Friday 12/15/17 @ 10:00am NYC $17,532.00
What do I win  Grin

Hi scott,

please read the rules. Tongue
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1598
my prediction for saturday end of day BTC: 18,100 USD, price action showing a lot of strength for BTC through the week, it surprised me that there was not even one sharp correction at these levels...
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