Topic: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread - page 2620. (Read 654705 times)

We have/had an interesting discussion about that here in this thread: [Discussion] There is more to Home Advantage than just Fans

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Finally matchday in Bundesliga and 2. Bundesliga In 2. Bundesliga I don't like anything, looks all well-priced as far as you can judge with next to no insight about where the teams stand. For Bundesliga I placed two bets.

Frankfurt tb Mönchengladbach @3.15 3/10
Frankfurt loves these matches against the top teams. Everyone remembers that 5-1 against Bayern last November, but they also beat Leipzig twice (3-1 & 2-0) and Leverkusen (3-0) at home and split points with Dortmund (2-2). They have good mentality in their team for these games, when they are underdog, especially at home. An important ingredient to this success are their fans and as we all know, they will be missing today to push them to the limits, so just small stakes. HC-1 for odds 6.0 above looks good too, if you are brave enough.

Augsburg tb Wolfsburg @3.55 2/10
Wolfsburg is rightfully favourite here, but odds are a bit too high imo. You won't beat them easily, because they play very organized and it's not easy to score against them. Otoh they themselves have trouble scoring all season long. Their topscorer Weghorst is suspended for todays match and he is accounting for over 30% of goals scored. He is replaced by Ginczek, who is a very good 2. Bundesliga striker, but too poor for Bundesliga imo. Augsburg was on a poor run before the break, but losing to Bayern/Gladbach/Leverkusen/Frankfurt is no shame. They can always make things happen at home and one goal scored might be enough to beat offensively struggling Wolfsburg today. Small stakes as well.

Today finally but perhaps prematurely we return to football.
Certainly, the best European leagues are trying to end the season to collect television amounts of money and try to limit the loss due to the stop by as much as possible.

Bundesliga has a huge opportunity today as it is the first to start and will be seen by about 1 billion people (a number estimated by different media) and this will produce unprecedented advertising revenue.
There was even talk of showing free games on youtube for some leagues but I did not follow well how the situation has evolved in the last month.

However, football is back and we hope it will last until the end of the season.

Home advantage in football would no longer have an influence on the matches, if we agree that it's the fans that creates that advantage for the home team, cheering and creating an enjoyable atmosphere for them(the home team), especially when they are attacking.

It will be the same feeling until fans are allowed to go into the stadiums.(but I think it'll be a long time from now)The atmosphere would remain the same, whether for the home or away team, the only voices that will be heard would probably be from the bench, the coaches and teammates on the sidelines.

Dusseldorf might be playing at their home stadium today but there will be no fans cheering for the home team, and I guess the home advantage would not have a huge impact on this match, I think Paderborn might be able to gain some point against Dusseldorf today, this match might ends up with a draw at the final whistle.

@hahay Bundesliga is an unpredictable league and hence I don’t feel that Bayern can easily win the title, because Dortmund have Sancho and Halland playing for them, and these two alone can fire Dortmund to the top of the table. Furthermore I’m anticipating all the teams to play their best 11 on the pitch, but I’m keeping my expectations low about their performances as all the players will be playing after a lengthy break.

Sources:

https://soccer.nbcsports.com/2020/05/15/bundesliga-predictions-revierderby-in-dortmund-bayern-in-berlin/

https://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/european/bundesliga-2020-title-race-bayern-munich-borussia-dortmund-haaland-rb-leipzig-latest-news-a9314051.html

https://www.forbes.com/sites/steveprice/2020/05/10/bundesliga-is-back-from-sancho-to-schalke-heres-what-to-watch-for/#75407e2e77b5

I'm still not sure each team will play to their maximum strength or the best squad because of some factors that might be something that makes them uncomfortable but however, the return of this match is something that is highly anticipated and of course with that too then at least they will still give their best to win the match and I personally am still very confident that Bayern Munich and Dortmund will remain in the first and second ranks until the end of the season.

for me, more chances has Bayer Leverkusen than RB Leipzig to finish within top 3 teams, and Bayern is an institution, they will not gamble their title, with four points above Borussia, although they have tough schedule playing Dortmund and Leverkusen away and M'Gladbach home in this nine rounds

Testing the whole team and any team they played in the past weeks is a thing they have to do if one player turns out infected. But at the same time, I feel like there is not that many people who are infected anymore so there is testing going on which means maybe there are test kits available enough now that you could just use all the extra ones on the players constantly? That way you would basically be testing players constantly, which means if you learn that one player has corona, you would know if anyone else has corona at the same time as well?

Like you test 20 players all together, so if one of them has corona, the other 19 results will be decided already as well? So, I think that wouldn't really be a problem, you would constantly know if anyone has corona or not all at the same time.

I still think that the advantage that bayer has is not so big enough to consider them as the future champions

Bayern has 55 points

Borussia has 51 points

RB Leipzig has 50 points

with that interruption, the pace of many teams must have been broken which will cause surprises in the next games

Those are quite good picks, mate. Honestly if it's me I'd prefer to parlay them since the odds on two of them are below 1.50. Though I'll wait the confirmed lineups announced before take my picks, since I love to bet on the goal scorer category. Good luck for your bet!

 I wouldn't really gamble for the time being, this is going to be the first games of the big football world coming back and I am not entirely sure if it will be really as big as we think they will be. I feel like everyone will be holding back a bit and no matter how much training they have done already, they couldn't be %100 without playing some games, there is this special shape you get into when you constantly play games.

 I just hope everyone goes out of this healthy, not just getting corona because if everyone is healthy they can't suddenly get it, but also regular injuries as well. Players get injured constantly on regular time, now they have stopped for months suddenly and they haven't played for months, coming back could be very stressful for their bodies and I really hope everyone just stays healthy.

Finally! In less than 24h, we're going to have some top-class european football action.

I'm gonna post my picks (singles) for tomorrow...I usually don't do this (make my picks a day before matchweek kicks off), i like to wait for lineups confirmed and stuff, but i have to deal with some stuff in the meatspace, so:

Leipzig vs Freiburg - O9.5 corners @1.70
Dortmund vs Shake - O3.5 cards  @1.44
Gladbach - X2 @1.46

Almost went with a 3 fold acca but decided to go with singles..will leave crazy 3 fold and 4 fold accas for next week. Man, this thread is too quiet, are you guys excited about the Bundesliga coming back or what? 

I'm just glad we get to see some football being played no matter if watching it from home. Lets just hope all goes well and we get to see the season finish and then get to see other leagues reopen and start playing again.

Imo it's the entire team that'll be quarantined and tested, there is no way to pick out the exact players that had been in contact with the infected player, and teammates are usually always in physical contact with each other, so it's the whole team that should be quarantined. If that happens they'll have their games shifted(postponed)i think, and in case of this scenario the league would not finish at the time stipulated for it to due to postponed matches.
Most pubs are still on lockdown, so I don't think many people would have this option available to them, and even if they did, I'll advice everyone to watch at home, it's usually most times more interesting to watch football where you meet other fans, but it's hard to maintain social distancing there, so for now, our homes would do.

Yea that's a good point. Tbh I want to see RB Leipzig to win this season but with this new rule, it would favor Munich and Dortmund only as their whole squad are equally good and better than other Bundesliga teams.

To finish the season with all their strength. Let's see if that works out.
But if they really play until July, the new season should be start later. Although? The teams will be in training and they have only played 9 days. So they could start again in August after a short break.

The DFL just released an annoucement about the Bundesliga and 2nd division.

Full article: https://www.dfl.de/de/aktuelles/dfl-mitgliederversammlung-bekraeftigt-laufende-saison-soll-zu-ende-gespielt-werden-falls-notwendig-im-juli/

TL;DR:
- 5 subs for each team in each game until the end of the season.
- There will be relegations this season.
- In case something happens (sudden stop of football activities), both leagues will continue beyond June 30th.

So, 5 subs, huh? Top teams now have a massive advantage since they're the ones with bigger and better squad depth.

As it is decided that the league is going to start again we are going to see relegation as usual.
If there will be no relegation, teams with low dynamic will lose their interest in the games and in the whole season and they will focus on preparing a team for the next season which is not makes a lot of sense.

I will be watching at home with a big bag of chips and having some tasty BBQ on Sunday. I doubt that many people will be able to watch the upcoming games in a pub or bar, since most countries are still on lockdown or bars and pubs haven't opened again yet. In addition to that, even if it would be cool to watch the games in a pub, I suggest everyone to stay at home and practise social distancing. We don't want a second wave, we don't want the league to be canceled again and especially we don't want more people dying.

Stay on your couch and watch the Bundesliga!  

Another option to watch the Games for free are the Live Stream from sky.  https://sport.sky.de/sky-sport-news-hd. Unfortunately the Conference only, but better than nothing.

How will you watch the games? Will any of you watch the games in a pub?