Author

Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. - page 1072. (Read 2032266 times)

sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
July 20, 2014, 06:12:31 PM
The reason I missed the btc boat by about 18 months was that I'd become so jaded and worn out by reading the crap financial news that I totally ignored everything for a couple of years. But I used to work with crypto and I'd always had an interest in gold, and so when I finally did stumble across it, it was an immediate lust at first sight. I'm still gobsmacked at just what a brilliant innovation bitcoin is. But somehow I doubt Satoshi is ever going to get a nomination for the nobel prize in economics.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
July 20, 2014, 06:11:12 PM
I just want to remind that the rentenmark, created during the weimar hyperinflation, was peddled as stable money, and people belived it and started to hold, and the value was stabilized, even though the printing  continued.

There can never be an absolute connection between supply and value, because the tendency to hold is in the minds of everybody, and it is impossible to know.

legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
July 20, 2014, 05:59:04 PM
"Because anyone with large supplies has to store it at centralized locations, true supply can never be known or verified and therefore is subject to govt manipulation via gold derivatives or GLD. This is a problem gold bugs won't acknowledge. "

I think the problem of manipulation is acknowledged by gold bugs - take a look at any ZH comments thread - but the mainstream analysts (true of any market and not just gold) mainly ignore or deny it because their funding comes from analyzing the market trends and fundamentals, which in this day and age is pure BS. Once the various funds and other investment vehicles roll out in force in the bitcoin sphere, BTC may also suffer from the same fate and I'm sure there is some tweaking going on even now, especially in terms of FUD spread by various vested interests. But for now, BTC still feels like the closest thing we have to a market price primarily set by supply and demand.

yeah, I probably should have said that the gold bugs know it and complain about it all the time but fail to realize that Bitcoin is gold's Black Swan in that it performs all the functions of gold and more.

This whole dynamic interplay btwn the 2 is so fundamental and important to Bitcoins future success which is why I posted this thread in the first place, not to troll like I presented to tvbcof.

Ah, maybe for a little trolling.
sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
July 20, 2014, 05:45:07 PM
"Because anyone with large supplies has to store it at centralized locations, true supply can never be known or verified and therefore is subject to govt manipulation via gold derivatives or GLD. This is a problem gold bugs won't acknowledge. "

I think the problem of manipulation is acknowledged by gold bugs - take a look at any ZH comments thread - but the mainstream analysts (true of any market and not just gold) mainly ignore or deny it because their funding comes from analyzing the market trends and fundamentals, which in this day and age is pure BS. Once the various funds and other investment vehicles roll out in force in the bitcoin sphere, BTC may also suffer from the same fate and I'm sure there is some tweaking going on even now, especially in terms of FUD spread by various vested interests. But for now, BTC still feels like the closest thing we have to a market price primarily set by supply and demand.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
July 20, 2014, 05:08:41 PM
my last 3 posts, i talk about the "speculative mind" of markets:

http://www.reddit.com/user/cypherdoc2/
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
July 20, 2014, 03:26:34 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...

I guess we will never know.


isn't that the entire problem?

Nah, I think money can work even if the amount is not known. Same with bitcoins. We will never know how much is saved for the long time (decennia) or how many are lost. As long as the money are sound.


But one money will be more sound than all others, and that is Bitcoin. If anything its supply will only go down whereas with gold you have at least 2% inflation from mining. Plus all the tungsten related counterfeits.

I agree. Bitcoin is the soundest. But gold is also sound, the reason is that the supply is not controlled by governments.


depends on how you look at it.

Because anyone with large supplies has to store it at centralized locations, true supply can never be known or verified and therefore is subject to govt manipulation via gold derivatives or GLD. This is a problem gold bugs won't acknowledge.

I agree to that. In principle, bitcoin extensions can also be created, but yes, I hold bitcoins, not gold (not much).
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
July 20, 2014, 03:23:32 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...

I guess we will never know.


isn't that the entire problem?

Nah, I think money can work even if the amount is not known. Same with bitcoins. We will never know how much is saved for the long time (decennia) or how many are lost. As long as the money are sound.


But one money will be more sound than all others, and that is Bitcoin. If anything its supply will only go down whereas with gold you have at least 2% inflation from mining. Plus all the tungsten related counterfeits.

I agree. Bitcoin is the soundest. But gold is also sound, the reason is that the supply is not controlled by governments.


depends on how you look at it.

Because anyone with large supplies has to store it at centralized locations, true supply can never be known or verified and therefore is subject to govt manipulation via gold derivatives or GLD. This is a problem gold bugs won't acknowledge.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
July 20, 2014, 03:17:46 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...

I guess we will never know.


isn't that the entire problem?

Nah, I think money can work even if the amount is not known. Same with bitcoins. We will never know how much is saved for the long time (decennia) or how many are lost. As long as the money are sound.


But one money will be more sound than all others, and that is Bitcoin. If anything its supply will only go down whereas with gold you have at least 2% inflation from mining. Plus all the tungsten related counterfeits.

I agree. Bitcoin is the soundest. But gold is also sound, the reason is that the supply is not controlled by governments.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
July 20, 2014, 03:12:47 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...

I guess we will never know.


isn't that the entire problem?

Nah, I think money can work even if the amount is not known. Same with bitcoins. We will never know how much is saved for the long time (decennia) or how many are lost. As long as the money are sound.


But one money will be more sound than all others, and that is Bitcoin. If anything its supply will only go down whereas with gold you have at least 2% inflation from mining. Plus all the tungsten related counterfeits.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
July 20, 2014, 03:07:10 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...

I guess we will never know.


isn't that the entire problem?

Nah, I think money can work even if the amount is not known. Same with bitcoins. We will never know how much is saved for the long time (decennia) or how many are lost. As long as the money are sound.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
July 20, 2014, 02:59:36 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...

I guess we will never know.


isn't that the entire problem?
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
July 20, 2014, 02:57:04 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...

I guess we will never know.


When the time comes for the fiat world to end, gold may be doing badly. I have a feeling that Bitcoin will end up as the popular scapegoat for the death of fiat, even though the minority will know that the game was over in 1971. Bitcoin will gradually smother fiat, slowly at first, then quickly (as in the famous Newton quote). The incentives all point in that direction, I think we all know the time for this idea has truly arrived. All the people holding gold will begin to dump it for Bitcoin as quietly as they can, with a probable likelihood that there's slightly more gold hidden in vaults than has been accounted for.

I'm pretty much in the cypherdoc camp on gold, the "gold is money" thing is stretching the truth a little bit. No-one accepts gold as payment just about anywhere (unless you're an Afghan druglord or an Iranian oil baron). Bitcoin is seriously rivalling gold in the area of money status; for instance, there are several places you can buy gold with bitcoin, but nowhere to buy Bitcoin with gold.

Unless you meant Uncle Phil's gold of course, which is a family secret, naturally.  Cool

You are probably right, but gold has a long history, so i think there will be some exchange value in gold for many years.
legendary
Activity: 3430
Merit: 3080
July 20, 2014, 02:29:18 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...

I guess we will never know.


When the time comes for the fiat world to end, gold may be doing badly. I have a feeling that Bitcoin will end up as the popular scapegoat for the death of fiat, even though the minority will know that the game was over in 1971. Bitcoin will gradually smother fiat, slowly at first, then quickly (as in the famous Newton quote). The incentives all point in that direction, I think we all know the time for this idea has truly arrived. All the people holding gold will begin to dump it for Bitcoin as quietly as they can, with a probable likelihood that there's slightly more gold hidden in vaults than has been accounted for.

I'm pretty much in the cypherdoc camp on gold, the "gold is money" thing is stretching the truth a little bit. No-one accepts gold as payment just about anywhere (unless you're an Afghan druglord or an Iranian oil baron). Bitcoin is seriously rivalling gold in the area of money status; for instance, there are several places you can buy gold with bitcoin, but nowhere to buy Bitcoin with gold.

Unless you meant Uncle Phil's gold of course, which is a family secret, naturally.  Cool
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
July 20, 2014, 02:08:50 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...

I guess we will never know.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
July 20, 2014, 02:00:59 PM
From

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/10978178/The-dollars-70-year-dominance-is-coming-to-an-end.html

Within a decade or so, a “reserve currency basket” may emerge, with central banks storing wealth in a mix of dollars, yuan, rupee, reals and roubles, as well as precious metals. Perhaps some kind of synthetic bundle of the world’s leading currencies will be developed, with emphasis placed, after years of western money-printing, on assets backed by commodities and other tangibles.

I also believe central banks may include cyber-currencies (such as bitcoin) in their reserves. If you think that’s mad, consider that mankind has long sought scarcity – be it with shells, stones or metallic elements – to store wealth. Now the money-printing taboo has been broken by yet another generation, it makes sense to use complex computer algorithms to ensure that only a certain amount of a particular currency unit can ever exist.


great find
legendary
Activity: 961
Merit: 1000
July 20, 2014, 01:12:31 PM
From

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/10978178/The-dollars-70-year-dominance-is-coming-to-an-end.html

Within a decade or so, a “reserve currency basket” may emerge, with central banks storing wealth in a mix of dollars, yuan, rupee, reals and roubles, as well as precious metals. Perhaps some kind of synthetic bundle of the world’s leading currencies will be developed, with emphasis placed, after years of western money-printing, on assets backed by commodities and other tangibles.

I also believe central banks may include cyber-currencies (such as bitcoin) in their reserves. If you think that’s mad, consider that mankind has long sought scarcity – be it with shells, stones or metallic elements – to store wealth. Now the money-printing taboo has been broken by yet another generation, it makes sense to use complex computer algorithms to ensure that only a certain amount of a particular currency unit can ever exist.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
FURring bitcoin up since 1762
July 20, 2014, 12:34:25 PM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)

Ha Carlton, I bet you still got some gold bars back at uncle Phil's house up in the attic or somewhere! Cheesy
But yeah, it'd be interesting to know how the gold is distributed among the different status-groups of investors/companies/crime/states/etc...
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
July 20, 2014, 12:20:36 PM
Calls for Bitcoin's imminent death are being sounded again. Little do these ppl appreciate that Bitcoin was designed for this. It's a silver bullet aimed at Wall St and if they resist, NY will be routed around.

http://mobile.businessweek.com/articles/2014-07-17/bitcoin-regulations-drafted-in-new-york-will-make-bitcoin-boring
legendary
Activity: 3430
Merit: 3080
July 20, 2014, 10:06:45 AM
I would like to know how much gold is in private hands, for different countries. Is this known and published somewhere?


"Published" and "known" are slippery concepts when applied to gold holdings. No-one wants to tell the whole truth, and for good reasons (well, self interested reasons, namely to make any true spot price very difficult to determine)
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