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Topic: Halving and its effects - page 4. (Read 2885 times)

legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
March 26, 2016, 05:21:25 AM
#16
i believe the price will show an increase, but it will not double from the current price level. if it does double, then it's great of course, but i don't think it will. i think a price of $500-$600 will be a realistic prediction.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
March 26, 2016, 05:16:40 AM
#15
I mention price growth cause of the fact daily BTC supply will be cut in half. Current supply is covered with current demand and the price s more less stable, in equilibrium. What happens if u would cut daily supply in half tomorrow? The price should go up. Economics 101.

I totally agree: cut supply and even if demand stays flat, you have a price rise. There are some other players tho, that would push price down: mining difficulty, unprofitability of old hardware etc. So yes, price up but not that much as expected or wished: i say 500-800 is a good start. Another jump will come on the scene when all 14-16 nm chips will pop up.
legendary
Activity: 1937
Merit: 1001
March 26, 2016, 05:04:25 AM
#14
4. Although crypto nor bitcoin will completely die anytime soon. The whole halving is so extremely overhyped we can expect at least a 30-40% drop in the days following the halving.

Several governments and banks are picking up on blockchain technology. Smart people invest in those technologies because they will be the only ones that survive and be legal in the future.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1007
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March 26, 2016, 04:45:47 AM
#13
Well, Litecoin, which s much smaller coin compared to BTC, doubled in price after halving. The entire price jump started just before the halving, about 2 weeks before that. So, having that in mind, I expect quite hot summer. It might even go above 1K but I think it ll settle somewhere between 600-800$. Current price s simply unsustainable.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1032
All I know is that I know nothing.
March 26, 2016, 04:42:17 AM
#12
i am guessing the price is going to increase but it might not be increases as double the price now. but the increase part is very possible, which will come down if it is a swift rise and will stay if it is the normal way as it was through last year.
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1000
March 26, 2016, 03:50:43 AM
#11
If Bitcoin is indeed in the same bracket as an Economic 101, then the pricing would traditionally reflect a ~6 month forward price level. So maybe its already accounted for and priced in.
But hey.....Crypto!  Undecided
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1007
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March 26, 2016, 03:18:15 AM
#10
I mention price growth cause of the fact daily BTC supply will be cut in half. Current supply is covered with current demand and the price s more less stable, in equilibrium. What happens if u would cut daily supply in half tomorrow? The price should go up. Economics 101.
legendary
Activity: 2814
Merit: 2472
https://JetCash.com
March 26, 2016, 02:54:49 AM
#9
Why does everybody focus on price. imho the biggest change will be the centralisation of mining. Some people seem to think that this is the reason for the aggressive blocksize doubling action as well.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
March 26, 2016, 02:50:17 AM
#8
2. the price doubles of more, current miners remain profitable and new generation of miners enters the game, the difficulty keeps rising


i think the price will be double, we can reach $1000 again

This is what eberyone expects including myself. I wish if it really happens.
but if this does not happen, it will disappoint to most of people who are currently saving it to earn big profits.
hero member
Activity: 2506
Merit: 645
Eloncoin.org - Mars, here we come!
March 26, 2016, 02:48:21 AM
#7
Ok, so we re less then 3 months away from halving. It s going to be a very interesting period for crypto and what effects is it going to produce, it s still big time unclear.

Here are potential options:

1. nothing changes
2. the price doubles of more, current miners remain profitable and new generation of miners enters the game, the difficulty keeps rising
3. the price does not change, 90% of current miners become unprofitable, the difficulty drops big time, new generation of miners fills the gap.
4. the price drops due to false expectations, crypto slows down and eventually loses lots of people. Crypto dies.

What would you say we should expect?

The number 1 and number 2 are highly unlikely to happen. Rather i think the option no 4 "the price drops due to false expectations, crypto slows down and eventually loses lots of people. Crypto dies. " is never going to happen.
Price can rise enormously or maybe little bit . Its depends on the trend which will be there for next 3 months.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
March 26, 2016, 02:44:00 AM
#6
I think the third possibility is more realistic , the fourth and first one can't happen in my opinion, because the most predictions about the next halving tell us that the Bitcoin price will increase may be not for the double but will get highest level likely
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
U will never know the true answer, before you try
March 26, 2016, 02:43:27 AM
#5
2. the price doubles of more, current miners remain profitable and new generation of miners enters the game, the difficulty keeps rising


i think the price will be double, we can reach $1000 again
copper member
Activity: 1442
Merit: 529
March 26, 2016, 02:36:34 AM
#4
4 is never going to happen, for this I am pretty convinced at 101%. All other 3 options are highly possible but we can only speculate about them now. Personally I think the price of Bitcoin will go up but not as much as expected, about 10-20% and not more.
legendary
Activity: 1918
Merit: 1012
★Nitrogensports.eu★
March 26, 2016, 02:33:48 AM
#3
My expectation for the price is to remain flat (+- 10%).
We have seen a rapid price increase in the last few months of 2015, and the impact of the block reward halving seems to have been factored in.
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1163
Where is my ring of blades...
March 26, 2016, 02:18:22 AM
#2
Ok, so we re less then 3 months away from halving. It s going to be a very interesting period for crypto and what effects is it going to produce, it s still big time unclear.

Here are potential options:

1. nothing changes

everything is changing with bitcoin, you can't expect the price to stay at this level. we are not yet at a stable price stage.

Quote
2. the price doubles of more, current miners remain profitable and new generation of miners enters the game, the difficulty keeps rising

probably this happens. there is a lot of speculation going on about halving and nobody can tell which one will come to pass.
but I guess a price rise (probably another rally) is most possible.

Quote
3. the price does not change, 90% of current miners become unprofitable, the difficulty drops big time, new generation of miners fills the gap.

the price part might happen because of the issues we are facing these days but I doubt that miners quit if the price stays at this level.

Quote
4. the price drops due to false expectations, crypto slows down and eventually loses lots of people. Crypto dies.

What would you say we should expect?

this is never going to happen, the market is bigger than that to die this easily. besides there are a lot of big whales invested thousands of dollars in bitcoin who will never let that happen. and not to mention the huge use base.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1007
DMD Diamond Making Money 4+ years! Join us!
March 26, 2016, 02:10:19 AM
#1
Ok, so we re less then 3 months away from halving. It s going to be a very interesting period for crypto and what effects is it going to produce, it s still big time unclear.

Here are potential options:

1. nothing changes
2. the price doubles of more, current miners remain profitable and new generation of miners enters the game, the difficulty keeps rising
3. the price does not change, 90% of current miners become unprofitable, the difficulty drops big time, new generation of miners fills the gap.
4. the price drops due to false expectations, crypto slows down and eventually loses lots of people. Crypto dies.

What would you say we should expect?
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