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Topic: Have you ever done to experiment to determine percentage of winning? - page 5. (Read 799 times)

legendary
Activity: 2030
Merit: 1189
If you're not keeping track of your win ratio, then you're doing it wrong. How can you expect to be profitable in gambling if you're not even sure how much you have wagered, lost and won?

As a poker player, this is completely unthinkable, everybody uses poker HUDs that automatically keep track of your EV. However, I understand that these tools aren't available for most other platforms, so it needs to be done manually.

Obviously this can be a challenge if you're a high-frequency player that uses one of the myriad dice bots or whatnot to trade, but for those low volume gamblers, there really is no excuse to not keep track of performance.
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1129
Bitcoin FTW!
I've actually done this for activities where there's some level of skill involved like sports or esports betting, but purely for my own interest and not primarily to find ways to improve my performance because the analysis that I do on matches varies from match to match and I've found there's not really any one thing that I can improve on. If you're talking about tricks to win in purely luck-based games, there really are none, and house edge will cause you to lose money in the longer run anyways.
sr. member
Activity: 840
Merit: 268
I personally do that when playing online games and writing my matchup and tallying it whether that was a win or the other way. But, these days you can just write it on a sticky pad if you have the app or simply use notepad. I never done such experiments just like that because if I do that, and it is effective. It might not be as effective as yours if you'll do the same. Since if the time it was successful on my part, probably my luck is rolling that time. And on yours it may not. And on some other times, I tried it again, I may not be successful doing that same method all over again.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 5213
There is no need to an experiment or an analyze.
Every bet is independent from other bets. For example in dice game the chance of winning depends on the house edge and the odds. That does not depend on previous bets nor the platform you are playing in.

Whatever outcomes of your previous bets are, the chance of winning in a single bet equals (100%-house edge)/odds  
This is your chance of winning and it doesn't change. No experiment can give you a more accurate result.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1131


If there is someone who already does this, could you please share the outcome? At what Bet you usually win? and what platform could that technique be applicable?
For luck based games? Then its total a waste of time and effort on inputting those info on a piece of paper yet you cant really able to see anything with that. You cant formulate something on a thing which is completely random.

For strategic like card games and sportsbet? Possible but this would always vary on your skills and analysis. Writing up some info about it wont make a change though but rather just a reference of yours.
I agree to these points which its nonsense to tally everything when you are just playing for entertainment.You wouldnt bother
to write up stats on how much you loss and how much you won on a game on a particular site.Creatiing strategies out of it
is somewhat BS because no matter how you do made caculations you cant still change the fact when it comes to winning chance.
legendary
Activity: 2954
Merit: 1159
Here's the idea, to determine the percentage of winning, I always think of doing an experiment where I would bet in an online gambling site then each bet will be written to the paper. A total of 10 bets per day in a 1-week duration and each bet will be written and will be recorded depending if the bet is winning or losing. Then conduct an analysis of the percentage of winnings to determine if there are some tricks we could find with these experiments in different gambling sites.

If there is someone who already does this, could you please share the outcome? At what Bet you usually win? and what platform could that technique be applicable?

There are many people who play auto bets in the gambling sites and those auto bets do 100 or mores bets in less than a minute or so. So it is practically impossible to note each bet results. Yes, sometime I do count my sports betting and keep track of the money which I won or lost. Its much more better if you can track the inflow and outflow of money in gambling games rather than the win or lost of bets.
sr. member
Activity: 2030
Merit: 356
Is there anyone here who tried to experiment in online gambling sites with a pen and paper?

Here's the idea, to determine the percentage of winning, I always think of doing an experiment where I would bet in an online gambling site then each bet will be written to the paper. A total of 10 bets per day in a 1-week duration and each bet will be written and will be recorded depending if the bet is winning or losing. Then conduct an analysis of the percentage of winnings to determine if there are some tricks we could find with these experiments in different gambling sites.

If there is someone who already does this, could you please share the outcome? At what Bet you usually win? and what platform could that technique be applicable?

First of all, there is no short cuts or tricks to win in gambling. I am sure you will not find a trend in gambling wins or loses if you try to calculate the wining and losing percentages daily or weekly. Secondly sometimes I play dice games with minimum satoshi and there are too many games that I play that it is almost impossible to calculate each win or loss. Its just an extra burden with no real output.
full member
Activity: 1638
Merit: 122
yes i did that before but i dont write my analysis on a paper but i only use online calculators  . i sum up the total of bets would take to hit that high multiplier   .

 i then allocate an amount based on my calculation if i still didnt hit that multiplier and my bankroll already got busted , i will just stop and ill try again next time  .  these experiments of mine sometimes work but sometimes dont , i guess that also depend on my luck  .
hero member
Activity: 2730
Merit: 632


If there is someone who already does this, could you please share the outcome? At what Bet you usually win? and what platform could that technique be applicable?
For luck based games? Then its total a waste of time and effort on inputting those info on a piece of paper yet you cant really able to see anything with that. You cant formulate something on a thing which is completely random.

For strategic like card games and sportsbet? Possible but this would always vary on your skills and analysis. Writing up some info about it wont make a change though but rather just a reference of yours.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1075
Is there anyone here who tried to experiment in online gambling sites with a pen and paper?

Here's the idea, to determine the percentage of winning, I always think of doing an experiment where I would bet in an online gambling site then each bet will be written to the paper. A total of 10 bets per day in a 1-week duration and each bet will be written and will be recorded depending if the bet is winning or losing. Then conduct an analysis of the percentage of winnings to determine if there are some tricks we could find with these experiments in different gambling sites.

If there is someone who already does this, could you please share the outcome? At what Bet you usually win? and what platform could that technique be applicable?

it is pointless(at least for me) to determine the percentage of your winning in gambling. I know that some people get some satisfaction knowing that they have more wins than
losses but even if the percentage of your winning is positive doesn't mean that your profit is also positive. and also, I'd rather know the percentage of my profit than knowing
the percentage of winnings.

Aren't you suppose to analyze before you place a bet? Check the team, check the odds, place a bet. I also think it would be pointless to write the results and analyze them later on. The circumstances changes from game to game and your strategy will keep on changing too.


only if the OP is specifically talking about sports betting but he is probably not.
full member
Activity: 1540
Merit: 219
Yes, you can get the percentage of winning through that, but in the end, could be quite inaccurate at times. Lets imagine you testing 10 games everyday and on average you win 5 games per day. Now imagine if you tried to play 20 games, you're supposed to win an average of 5 by the end of the 10th game, but no. You kept losing until the 15th game and only then did you win.
Percentage of winning is easy to get, and most of the time it hovers at around 50% or even less if you're actually unlucky, but thats it. It doesn't really help in determining your chances of winning everyday, its more like you just determine the average times you won everyday.
legendary
Activity: 3542
Merit: 1352
Cashback 15%
All seeds are random and provably fair, even if you try to keep track of them in between days. Chances of winning will still depend on the odds you set for your game/session/roll, especially for dice. Even if you successfully plotted the probability of winning for each day, chances are these numbers can't still help you and you will still play against the house just as other people would normally do, with or without the data you gathered. I'm pretty sure some are still doing this strategy but on provably-fair games and online casinos, this will not work.
sr. member
Activity: 882
Merit: 301
Aren't you suppose to analyze before you place a bet? Check the team, check the odds, place a bet. I also think it would be pointless to write the results and analyze them later on. The circumstances changes from game to game and your strategy will keep on changing too.

legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 3878
Visit: r7promotions.com
Is there anyone here who tried to experiment in online gambling sites with a pen and paper?
This days you really do not need pen and paper. You can do it easily with spreadsheet. I have done if long time ago and it's waste of time LOL
You win, you lose and that is gambling.

Quote
If there is someone who already does this, could you please share the outcome? At what Bet you usually win? and what platform could that technique be applicable?
I really do not think someone else's statistic is going to help you. Everyone has their own style of betting and risk taking. When I did it, I had some personal info so even if I want I would not like to share it with anyone else.

Bottom line is that I had a lose at the end but not much.
sr. member
Activity: 644
Merit: 364
In Code We Trust
Is there anyone here who tried to experiment in online gambling sites with a pen and paper?

Here's the idea, to determine the percentage of winning, I always think of doing an experiment where I would bet in an online gambling site then each bet will be written to the paper. A total of 10 bets per day in a 1-week duration and each bet will be written and will be recorded depending if the bet is winning or losing. Then conduct an analysis of the percentage of winnings to determine if there are some tricks we could find with these experiments in different gambling sites.

If there is someone who already does this, could you please share the outcome? At what Bet you usually win? and what platform could that technique be applicable?
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