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Topic: [HAVELOCK] PETAMINE - 1,150 TH/S HASH RATE (1GH/S per Unit) - page 41. (Read 565829 times)

hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 502

Quote
Yes the derivative is more of a game/gambling but I encourage everyone with an accurate magic crystal ball to give it a shot.

I've never invested in anything other than AM as it's the only semi-legit offering IMO (could be better of course). I did throw away some change (~0.01btc) due to the neobee failure but I didn't really think/care about that.

So your success in the derivative area isn't because you picked a good company, it's more of a gambling. You only picked 1 successful venture until now by picking AM shares. So you only risked once for the long term. I'm on my third successful pick with the SP10.


For the record, I think he's talking about twentyseventy's BD derivative, which is a mining bond tied to a shorting instrument.  Incidentally, it isn't technically a zero-sum game through time, as new entrants (or existing players) purchasing B.EXCH, the price-regulating asset which is a bundled set of the mining bond (B.MINE) and the short (B.SELL), add to the net value of the asset set (paid out to B.SELL holders at each difficulty bump).

The rules are set by the underlying math, so its not really a company.  Granted, you don't have to "gamble" to make money on it - you just have to be able to anticipate when new mining tech is going to hit the market, ship, and start hashing.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1007
So the first 10 companies to go with preorders showed the community exactly how preorders fuck over everyone involved but with spongebobtech its totally different right?

I wasn't aware that there were 10 companies that produced chips which failed. I wouldn't count 3rd party PCB developers on this because SP-Tech is directly producing the chips so they have their whole process in hand.

Second you need to look at who ran the companies that failed. BFL is run by a convicted felon, HashFail's CEO was a shady guy, BA team is unknown, Avalon is a student who got rich overnight and got blinded by his greed and Cointerra just used the US legal system to screw their customers. Have I missed any company? None of these companies are backed by 2 large VC companies who had many other successful projects so you are again comparing apples with oranges. All of the failed companies had their fail on their agenda from the start.


Quote
ANY S1 ordered before MAY with reasonable electricity costs (~0.15/kwh) has reached a positive ROI by today.

0.25 btc per S1 is still $150 or ~$50 less than it was sold for new in april.

How many sp10 bought in april have made a positive ROI in btc?

So right now an S1 is making ~60-70$/month (and shrinking) after ROI. Great investment! The SP10s may not have reached ROI, but they will sure make more than 60$ per month after they do it which means a higher profit overall versus the S1.


Quote
Yes the derivative is more of a game/gambling but I encourage everyone with an accurate magic crystal ball to give it a shot.

I've never invested in anything other than AM as it's the only semi-legit offering IMO (could be better of course). I did throw away some change (~0.01btc) due to the neobee failure but I didn't really think/care about that.

So your success in the derivative area isn't because you picked a good company, it's more of a gambling. You only picked 1 successful venture until now by picking AM shares. So you only risked once for the long term. I'm on my third successful pick with the SP10.


Quote
No you paid ~$2/gh for your march order because btc was around $630 then. If next month btc is at $1000 then yes, you will have massively overpaid.
BTW about AM, the company has already ROI'd in only a month so I would say they are doing quite well.

The argument isn't valid because right now I can't repeat the same purchase that I made back in March because of the non-availability. I made the purchase then in order to get a better shipping date. I won't be able to order an SP30 next month with August delivery.

As for AM it's the same S1 situation again. You are happy with a short ROI, but right now you aren't getting anything and the bitcoin train is on fast forward. It won't take long until you will AM will be left behind.

Quote
I'm glad you admit that looking in to the future is hard, so how can you possibly justify gambling on preorders?

The same way you justify your derivative.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
...
I'm guessing we are going quickly back to 0.06/0.07
...

Quoted for future entertainment.

Bumped for quicker immediate entertainment.

let's see what happen after the vote compare to cex.io

but yes it seems my guess was way over optimistic Sad

I'm guessing the same way 0.06-0.08, (after split) some traders will compare the price to cex.io and also network hashrate is lower these days, if this will continue estimated next difficulty will be less than the current.

Bitmain is shipping batch 1 of the S3 this week.  The current projections for next period are very misleading for calculating lifetime ROI.

There are no long term profit in any mining offers, dividend is the bait, traders can only profit in short term trading.
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 502
...
I'm guessing we are going quickly back to 0.06/0.07
...

Quoted for future entertainment.

Bumped for quicker immediate entertainment.

let's see what happen after the vote compare to cex.io

but yes it seems my guess was way over optimistic Sad

I'm guessing the same way 0.06-0.08, (after split) some traders will compare the price to cex.io and also network hashrate is lower these days, if this will continue estimated next difficulty will be less than the current.

Bitmain is shipping batch 1 of the S3 this week.  The current projections for next period are very misleading for calculating lifetime ROI.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 509
Just like how the neptune was a good deal in November? Or like how the monarch was a great deal in August? Or hashfast? Or blackarrow? Or cointerra?

Judging by other's failure has nothing to do with the future.

So the first 10 companies to go with preorders showed the community exactly how preorders fuck over everyone involved but with spongebobtech its totally different right?

Quote
Quote
If you were unlucky enough to preorder an august batch sp30 directly from the website in april you paid ~26 BTC for one ~6TH or $2.8/gh..

jimmothy's math: 26BTC*450$=~12000$/5400GH=2.8$/Gh <-- BIG MISINFORMATION, but actually it's 2.22$/Gh (for 5.4Th/s) and with the speed improve is down to 2$/Gh.

You know we are at $630/btc right?

If the sp30 is only 5400gh that would be $3/gh. That makes even the bfl monarchs look like a good deal.

So you are telling me that I paid for my March order 3$/Gh just because bitcoin is at $630 now? Next month when it will be at $1000 you will tell me that I paid 4.3$/Gh and so on.
I paid 2$/Gh in March! Calculating with today's price is simply stupid and so obvious bad intended. As previously said judging by looking back is easy Acting while looking into the future is the hard part.

The same analogy can be made for your 0 dividend AM shares. Unfortunately I don't know how many bitcoins you have invested into AM, but feel free to multiply them with 630$ and let me know how long will it take to get that amount back with your 0 dividends.

And your math sucks again. At $630/btc you come up with 2.7$/Gh, not 2.8$/Gh.

No you paid ~$2/gh for your march order because btc was around $630 then. If next month btc is at $1000 then yes, you will have massively overpaid.

I'm glad you admit that looking in to the future is hard, so how can you possibly justify gambling on preorders?

BTW about AM, the company has already ROI'd in only a month so I would say they are doing quite well.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
So, if the latest vote passes, I'm guessing that this now means that there will be no future increases in total hashing power?  Does this mean that Peta is now equivalent to CEX in terms of operation? 

Does anyone know if CryptX is planning on adding any more capacity in future and creating new POs?  If so, I imagine that the price per GH & therefore per share will decrease accordingly.

This is certainly an interesting development which potentially changes the game significantly.



it would be huge help to this process if Cryptx laid out it's plans for the future.

people need to have some idea of what they are investing in if they are going to actually invest
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
...
I'm guessing we are going quickly back to 0.06/0.07
...

Quoted for future entertainment.

Bumped for quicker immediate entertainment.

let's see what happen after the vote compare to cex.io

but yes it seems my guess was way over optimistic Sad

I'm guessing the same way 0.06-0.08, (after split) some traders will compare the price to cex.io and also network hashrate is lower these days, if this will continue estimated next difficulty will be less than the current.
full member
Activity: 226
Merit: 100
...
I'm guessing we are going quickly back to 0.06/0.07
...

Quoted for future entertainment.

Bumped for quicker immediate entertainment.

let's see what happen after the vote compare to cex.io

but yes it seems my guess was way over optimistic Sad
newbie
Activity: 16
Merit: 0
In my opinion there are just 2 big theoretical differences between Cex.io and the proposal of PetaMine:

Hosting costs:

Cex.io = 0.26$/month/GH

PetaMine = 0.16$/month/GH


Share price:

Cex.io = 0.007

PetaMine = 0.0025


legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1007
Just like how the neptune was a good deal in November? Or like how the monarch was a great deal in August? Or hashfast? Or blackarrow? Or cointerra?

Judging by other's failure has nothing to do with the future.

Quote
The same way that nobody can predict the bitcoin difficulty we can't predict the exchange rate. Hoping/waiting for the exchange rate to increase seems too risky for me. I always make my decisions taking into consideration a fast increase in exchange rate, but also a stagnation for 6+ months.

So why gamble on the difficulty/exchange rate 6 months from now when you don't have to? If you expected a fast increase in exchange rate you should have just bought btc.

Read my reply again. I said I'm prepared for both situations. I don't expect anything, I'm just trying to be as balanced as possible.

Quote
Quote
If you were unlucky enough to preorder an august batch sp30 directly from the website in april you paid ~26 BTC for one ~6TH or $2.8/gh..

jimmothy's math: 26BTC*450$=~12000$/5400GH=2.8$/Gh <-- BIG MISINFORMATION, but actually it's 2.22$/Gh (for 5.4Th/s) and with the speed improve is down to 2$/Gh.

You know we are at $630/btc right?

If the sp30 is only 5400gh that would be $3/gh. That makes even the bfl monarchs look like a good deal.

So you are telling me that I paid for my March order 3$/Gh just because bitcoin is at $630 now? Next month when it will be at $1000 you will tell me that I paid 4.3$/Gh and so on.
I paid 2$/Gh in March! Calculating with today's price is simply stupid and so obvious bad intended. As previously said judging by looking back is easy Acting while looking into the future is the hard part.

The same analogy can be made for your 0 dividend AM shares. Unfortunately I don't know how many bitcoins you have invested into AM, but feel free to multiply them with 630$ and let me know how long will it take to get that amount back with your 0 dividends.

And your math sucks again. At $630/btc you come up with 2.7$/Gh, not 2.8$/Gh.
sr. member
Activity: 968
Merit: 250
cex   is so much more liquid, it attracts all types of freaks,  day trading ones, short term, bad at math freaks,  they pay block to block, theres value in all that.  theres more strategy  and factors at cex.  even tho 70 is pretty dam high, cex still has a way better product than cryptx.     
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 502
...
I'm guessing we are going quickly back to 0.06/0.07
...

Quoted for future entertainment.

Bumped for quicker immediate entertainment.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 509
It won't be bumped up to cex.io prices because that would require a massive amount of idiots to move to havelock.

Clearly the cex.io idiots have not found havelock or else b.mine would be equally overvalued as cex.io.

If peta matches b.mine cost per gh then it would be worth 0.04/share. But peta has retarded hosting fees and other problems that will probably reduce the value further.
full member
Activity: 226
Merit: 100

all I'm saying is that it should trade around CEX.IO price.

please enlighten me if you disagree and explain me why it shouldn't

thanks,

CEX.IO price is ridiculous if you only consider expected dividends, but its being played like a casino. The best possible illustration of "the greater fool theory". Wile your odds of winning are well below that of most bitcoin gambling sites, considering the demand, there is at least a reasonable chance of making of a profit, even though the share price is completely and utterly detached from future mining revenue expectations.

If you want to play that game on havelock with the total of the bid book often in low double digit numbers, you're nuts.

I would agree tha CEX.io is overpriced nerveless 0.06 is possible

time will tell
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040

all I'm saying is that it should trade around CEX.IO price.

please enlighten me if you disagree and explain me why it shouldn't

thanks,

CEX.IO price is ridiculous if you only consider expected dividends, but its being played like a casino. The best possible illustration of "the greater fool theory". Wile your odds of winning are well below that of most bitcoin gambling sites, considering the demand, there is at least a reasonable chance of making of a profit, even though the share price is completely and utterly detached from future mining revenue expectations.

If you want to play that game on havelock with the total of the bid book often in low double digit numbers, you're nuts.
full member
Activity: 226
Merit: 100
^You're not paying attention:

You guys are as predictable as labcoiners.  Any word from your master, good or bad--price spikes ...and deflates over the next day as reality seeps back in Cheesy

Edit:  Brevity.

all I'm saying is that it should trade around CEX.IO price.

please enlighten me if you disagree and explain me why it shouldn't

thanks,
legendary
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1000
Well hello there!
So, if the latest vote passes, I'm guessing that this now means that there will be no future increases in total hashing power?  Does this mean that Peta is now equivalent to CEX in terms of operation? 

Does anyone know if CryptX is planning on adding any more capacity in future and creating new POs?  If so, I imagine that the price per GH & therefore per share will decrease accordingly.

This is certainly an interesting development which potentially changes the game significantly.
Bingo.  Only with slightly higher hosting/elec. fee's so I don't believe they will be quite as attractive as cex.io gh's in the long run unless cryptx also lowers hosting costs.  That being said, if the vote passes, I doubt we will ever see 0.0735 unless cryptx or one of the "private" investors pushes it that high themselves or somebody new with a whole heap o coin decides it's a good deal.

Also, don't forget, just because cryptx says loan will be listed at 0.0735 that doesn't mean it will necessarily stay there.  If bitcoin price increases I suspect he will lower the cost on some of those shares as well at some point.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
^You're not paying attention:

You guys are as predictable as labcoiners.  Any word from your master, good or bad--price spikes ...and deflates over the next day as reality seeps back in Cheesy

Edit:  Brevity.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
... it just my view and might be very wrong

That's what makes it so entertaining.
full member
Activity: 226
Merit: 100
...
I'm guessing we are going quickly back to 0.06/0.07
...

Quoted for future entertainment.

why should it be much cheaper than cex.io

please explain it to me?

edit: "Guessing": To predict (a result or an event) without sufficient information. I'm not giving any financial advice! it just my view and might be very wrong
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