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Topic: ❢❢❢ How many coins is a lot? (Finally, answer inside!) (Read 4293 times)

legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1028
OP has a lot of maths there. I think OP's approach is owning a "percentage of all coins". It doesn't take into account of the demand for bitcoin and price of bitcoin. If bitcoin is worth $300, 400btc is a lot, whereas bitcoin is $50, 400btc is not.
Yeah back in the day 800 coins were next to shit nothing. Nobody expected BTC to even reach dollar parity let alone 1000. It could go to 1MM in the future and then 800 is tonnes.
member
Activity: 108
Merit: 10
Tipsters Championship www.DirectBet.eu/Competition
q: how many coins is a lot?
answer: at least 5x the amount that the people around you have

simple
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
World Class Cryptonaire
Following. Nice methodology. Sometimes when you cannot observe the stuff directly, it is indeed valuable to construct the distribution solely based on theory, maths and bounds. Otherwise you have nothing to play with, and obviously something is better than nothing, if you know the limits of the something.

My current understanding of the number of bitcoin owners is in the ballpark of 2-5 million (many services report that many wallets), but when we put this into the Gini perspective, the results show that only about 100k own a meaningful amount.

In Satoshi Roundtable, my closing comment was that Bitcoin early adopter period (usually defined as the first 0.1%-2.5% of the eventual adoption of the technology) is hopefully about to begin in 2015 (innovator stage of the 0-0.1% being soon fulfilled Wink )

Don't you think that the innovators are the first 2.5%? Currently we are at about 0.025% if we say there are 2 million users with 8 billion people worldwide.

Something like this is my only real reference: http://www.ou.edu/deptcomm/dodjcc/groups/99A2/theories.htm but I'd love to hear more of your opinion on the matter.

Following.
hero member
Activity: 674
Merit: 500
Q7
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Wow...I couldn't grasp all the calculation despite having read through until the end but hey, that's a nice figure. For me, even if I have 1000, I will still yearn for more. Nothing is a lot of me.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
Following. Nice methodology. Sometimes when you cannot observe the stuff directly, it is indeed valuable to construct the distribution solely based on theory, maths and bounds. Otherwise you have nothing to play with, and obviously something is better than nothing, if you know the limits of the something.

My current understanding of the number of bitcoin owners is in the ballpark of 2-5 million (many services report that many wallets), but when we put this into the Gini perspective, the results show that only about 100k own a meaningful amount.

In Satoshi Roundtable, my closing comment was that Bitcoin early adopter period (usually defined as the first 0.1%-2.5% of the eventual adoption of the technology) is hopefully about to begin in 2015 (innovator stage of the 0-0.1% being soon fulfilled Wink )
sr. member
Activity: 317
Merit: 252
Corrected. It's the middle of the night here. I'm exhausted. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
Those who liked? Not those who agreed with the calculations for mathematical reasons?
sr. member
Activity: 317
Merit: 252
Thank you all who agreed with the calculations for mathematical reasons in the OP.

Posted an update. Bumped Gini to the very ruthless level of 0.95. Added another caveat. Enjoy!

sr. member
Activity: 317
Merit: 252
too bad bitcoin is worse than the worst country on earth for wealth distribution in my opinion....

I agree. I think Gini = 0.9 might be too low. I'll adjust my calculations.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1005
What if bitcoin reaches a semi-decent adoption (used by 200M or so people), will someone be well-off with 40btc?

Oh yes, certainly.

21 million coins, divided by 200m means everyone will have just about 0.1 coins in average.

40 bitcoins would be quite a large sum then.
legendary
Activity: 1473
Merit: 1086
What if bitcoin reaches a semi-decent adoption (used by 200M or so people), will someone be well-off with 40btc?

Just do the math! In your scenario an average user has 0,105 bitcoins. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
dafar consulting
What if bitcoin reaches a semi-decent adoption (used by 200M or so people), will someone be well-off with 40btc?
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
too bad bitcoin is worse than the worst country on earth for wealth distribution in my opinion....
So you are a communist or you just don't understand how the fiat economy works?
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1015
That makes me hold even harder Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1043
#Free market
Thanks for this analysis/theory, I think also .10 btc is a lot or also 10 euros ( you can be rich also with 20 dollars).
legendary
Activity: 2294
Merit: 1182
Now the money is free, and so the people will be
too bad bitcoin is worse than the worst country on earth for wealth distribution in my opinion....
legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
awesome post that gets me thinking.....

gotta get me some more coins Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1937
Merit: 1001
Appreciate the approach here Smiley
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