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Topic: How SOON will the BTC rally begin? - page 2. (Read 6990 times)

hero member
Activity: 505
Merit: 500
May 06, 2015, 10:44:32 PM
#64
2025 maybe 2030.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
May 06, 2015, 10:25:53 PM
#63
It's too easy and seemingly obvious that everyone has their hearts set on the halving before anything major changes but we all know this market does its own thing regardless. Newer options to bring in higher net worth types can instill new demand which is what drives the price so I'd bet we get a decent rally sometime in the fall and perhaps another mega rally leading up to the halving.
It's a hard mathematical thing with known consequences. After the halving it will cost twice as much in electricity to produce a bitcoin. Prices will go up or the network will weaken, there are no other options. And with all the money flowing in, it seems unlikely it will be allowed to collapse altogether.
I guess what I meant is that I've been seeing so many people mention that the halving will be the salvation from this bear market in and of itself. I'm well aware that coinage will immediately become scarcer by 50% upon the halving but I was insinuating that other tools will becoming into the market that will drive the price bullish prior to and perhaps w/ full knowledge of the upcoming halving.

Exactly, the exact consequences and procedure is crystal clear. The market, on the other hand, is anything but that. It will already be priced in now - to a small degree, of course. And it will be priced in over the following months after the halving. Just take a look at how the last halving took place, I think that's a good and valid reference point.

Right, markets generally look ahead 6 months to a year, so the halving will be priced in long before it actually occurs.

Yeah well the halvening was supposed to be priced in last time also and we ended up having a massive bull rally.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
May 05, 2015, 10:30:27 AM
#62
If you believe in BTC and understand the implications of its design then it doesn't matter when the next rally is. It will come when the time is right. Chill.

 Cool

This would imply that the adoption indeed goes up and BTC continues to gain more traction. I'm still not entirely convinced of this. I think BTC also qualifies for a pure investment asset, as well. This could really still go both ways!
hero member
Activity: 505
Merit: 500
May 04, 2015, 07:51:05 PM
#61
If you believe in BTC and understand the implications of its design then it doesn't matter when the next rally is. It will come when the time is right. Chill.

 Cool

You said it perfect.
legendary
Activity: 2002
Merit: 1040
May 04, 2015, 07:50:44 PM
#60
If you believe in BTC and understand the implications of its design then it doesn't matter when the next rally is. It will come when the time is right. Chill.

 Cool
hero member
Activity: 505
Merit: 500
May 04, 2015, 07:46:15 PM
#59
Poll result is making me both happy and sad happy that more people believe that BTC will rally in this month  ;)and sad because top one is sept 2016, thats a big time to wait  Cry
i will stick with may 2015. Cool

No rally this month dude. Its gonna take time Like I explained earlier. Just wait it out and you'll be ok.
hero member
Activity: 635
Merit: 500
BlasterKVs the king of xbox modding
May 04, 2015, 06:08:26 PM
#58
Poll result is making me both happy and sad happy that more people believe that BTC will rally in this month  ;)and sad because top one is sept 2016, thats a big time to wait  Cry
i will stick with may 2015. Cool
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
May 04, 2015, 04:38:46 PM
#57
It's too easy and seemingly obvious that everyone has their hearts set on the halving before anything major changes but we all know this market does its own thing regardless. Newer options to bring in higher net worth types can instill new demand which is what drives the price so I'd bet we get a decent rally sometime in the fall and perhaps another mega rally leading up to the halving.
It's a hard mathematical thing with known consequences. After the halving it will cost twice as much in electricity to produce a bitcoin. Prices will go up or the network will weaken, there are no other options. And with all the money flowing in, it seems unlikely it will be allowed to collapse altogether.
I guess what I meant is that I've been seeing so many people mention that the halving will be the salvation from this bear market in and of itself. I'm well aware that coinage will immediately become scarcer by 50% upon the halving but I was insinuating that other tools will becoming into the market that will drive the price bullish prior to and perhaps w/ full knowledge of the upcoming halving.

Exactly, the exact consequences and procedure is crystal clear. The market, on the other hand, is anything but that. It will already be priced in now - to a small degree, of course. And it will be priced in over the following months after the halving. Just take a look at how the last halving took place, I think that's a good and valid reference point.

Right, markets generally look ahead 6 months to a year, so the halving will be priced in long before it actually occurs.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
May 04, 2015, 01:15:02 PM
#56
It's too easy and seemingly obvious that everyone has their hearts set on the halving before anything major changes but we all know this market does its own thing regardless. Newer options to bring in higher net worth types can instill new demand which is what drives the price so I'd bet we get a decent rally sometime in the fall and perhaps another mega rally leading up to the halving.
It's a hard mathematical thing with known consequences. After the halving it will cost twice as much in electricity to produce a bitcoin. Prices will go up or the network will weaken, there are no other options. And with all the money flowing in, it seems unlikely it will be allowed to collapse altogether.
I guess what I meant is that I've been seeing so many people mention that the halving will be the salvation from this bear market in and of itself. I'm well aware that coinage will immediately become scarcer by 50% upon the halving but I was insinuating that other tools will becoming into the market that will drive the price bullish prior to and perhaps w/ full knowledge of the upcoming halving.

Exactly, the exact consequences and procedure is crystal clear. The market, on the other hand, is anything but that. It will already be priced in now - to a small degree, of course. And it will be priced in over the following months after the halving. Just take a look at how the last halving took place, I think that's a good and valid reference point.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Trust me!
May 04, 2015, 12:27:04 PM
#55
When/If we break through $260 we might see some quick buying action. It remains to be seen whether we bounce off of $305/$315 or go through that. If we manage to take those hurdles, as well, it's moon time. At that point we're pretty much definitely in a bull market again. I don't know of many charts that may suggest otherwise!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1004
May 04, 2015, 01:40:24 AM
#54
next big bitcoin rally will when reward halving occurs. before that we can see some price bumps but can't expect a big rally

i expect a big raise before that to be honest, because everyone know there will be a raise by then, thus everyone will begin to buy before that, and therefore many others will start buying even before those who know that will raise, starting a reverse chain, that it will bring a price increase much early

I am agree with you guys, next big rise may happen when reward halving occurs, which needs 2 more years

It's a long long time, guys we need make more fiat now and buy enough bitcoin before that rise, so we will catch that huge rise in the future, let's be rich. Cheesy

Maybe next big rise will happen before that because of good apps, or some countries have financial crisis. Like 2013 huge rise.

Next halving date will be in summer 2016. "2013 huge rise" happened around and because of the last halving.
sr. member
Activity: 285
Merit: 250
May 04, 2015, 12:54:30 AM
#53
bitcoin now is suck but i believe in a couple years  Cheesy they will go $10,000 !
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1000
Satoshi is rolling in his grave. #bitcoin
May 03, 2015, 10:04:24 PM
#52
Well obviously, if nothing major changes, the next rally will be halving-related. But instead of believing that the price will pump up with the halving being closer, it
is also possible that the pump will begin after the halving is done, when everyone who expected double returns starts doubting pump will even happen. Then, when every weak hand sells, booom.
In the end its all pure gamble, there are just too many variables involved for anyone to be certain.
hero member
Activity: 505
Merit: 500
May 03, 2015, 05:07:28 PM
#51
not for another few years at least and it wont be like last time it will take much longer to make the same gains.
legendary
Activity: 1568
Merit: 1001
May 03, 2015, 10:55:16 AM
#50
next big bitcoin rally will when reward halving occurs. before that we can see some price bumps but can't expect a big rally

i expect a big raise before that to be honest, because everyone know there will be a raise by then, thus everyone will begin to buy before that, and therefore many others will start buying even before those who know that will raise, starting a reverse chain, that it will bring a price increase much early
Yeah this in conjunction w/ the newer apps/ETFs/exchanges/whatever else the will be coming is what I was driving at to bump the price in the short to mid term and putting a stake in the bear market. The halving is just an inevitable part of the protocol that's beneficial outside of market forces and developments.
legendary
Activity: 1568
Merit: 1001
May 03, 2015, 10:50:40 AM
#49
It's too easy and seemingly obvious that everyone has their hearts set on the halving before anything major changes but we all know this market does its own thing regardless. Newer options to bring in higher net worth types can instill new demand which is what drives the price so I'd bet we get a decent rally sometime in the fall and perhaps another mega rally leading up to the halving.
It's a hard mathematical thing with known consequences. After the halving it will cost twice as much in electricity to produce a bitcoin. Prices will go up or the network will weaken, there are no other options. And with all the money flowing in, it seems unlikely it will be allowed to collapse altogether.
I guess what I meant is that I've been seeing so many people mention that the halving will be the salvation from this bear market in and of itself. I'm well aware that coinage will immediately become scarcer by 50% upon the halving but I was insinuating that other tools will becoming into the market that will drive the price bullish prior to and perhaps w/ full knowledge of the upcoming halving.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
May 03, 2015, 04:35:18 AM
#48
next big bitcoin rally will when reward halving occurs. before that we can see some price bumps but can't expect a big rally

i expect a big raise before that to be honest, because everyone know there will be a raise by then, thus everyone will begin to buy before that, and therefore many others will start buying even before those who know that will raise, starting a reverse chain, that it will bring a price increase much early

I am agree with you guys, next big rise may happen when reward halving occurs, which needs 2 more years

It's a long long time, guys we need make more fiat now and buy enough bitcoin before that rise, so we will catch that huge rise in the future, let's be rich. Cheesy

Maybe next big rise will happen before that because of good apps, or some countries have financial crisis. Like 2013 huge rise.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1070
May 03, 2015, 02:22:01 AM
#47
next big bitcoin rally will when reward halving occurs. before that we can see some price bumps but can't expect a big rally

i expect a big raise before that to be honest, because everyone know there will be a raise by then, thus everyone will begin to buy before that, and therefore many others will start buying even before those who know that will raise, starting a reverse chain, that it will bring a price increase much early
member
Activity: 73
Merit: 10
May 03, 2015, 01:47:40 AM
#46
It's too easy and seemingly obvious that everyone has their hearts set on the halving before anything major changes but we all know this market does its own thing regardless. Newer options to bring in higher net worth types can instill new demand which is what drives the price so I'd bet we get a decent rally sometime in the fall and perhaps another mega rally leading up to the halving.
It's a hard mathematical thing with known consequences. After the halving it will cost twice as much in electricity to produce a bitcoin. Prices will go up or the network will weaken, there are no other options. And with all the money flowing in, it seems unlikely it will be allowed to collapse altogether.

true it will in theory cost twice as much but may not in practice. A good example is here in new zealand where a smelter takes quite a bit of our total power at a very low price. When that was to be raised by the power provider (a government owned company) the government gave it 400 million so it could "afford' not to raise its prices so much. (the smelter  had said the higher prices would mean 400 job losses in a high unemployment region so the government caved in). Chinese miners may have deals that have the same effect ie as the price rises it is deemed in the public interest if the state subsidies things so the actual effective price rise is nothing like double.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
May 03, 2015, 01:24:23 AM
#45
It's too easy and seemingly obvious that everyone has their hearts set on the halving before anything major changes but we all know this market does its own thing regardless. Newer options to bring in higher net worth types can instill new demand which is what drives the price so I'd bet we get a decent rally sometime in the fall and perhaps another mega rally leading up to the halving.
It's a hard mathematical thing with known consequences. After the halving it will cost twice as much in electricity to produce a bitcoin. Prices will go up or the network will weaken, there are no other options. And with all the money flowing in, it seems unlikely it will be allowed to collapse altogether.
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