If we trace back the previous btc halving, the price obviously rises just after the halving but we don't know how the market reacts on this coming halving event, so we have to take chances of course.
If the Pandemic stops this 2nd quarter then for sure there will be some changes mate and may see some good point on how the Halving will effect the growth of market again though nothing is certain.
Some being hopeless but many are also positive that this halving event could help much.
Might we say that this is just an assumption and yet, we are speculating the future of crypto? Either it happens or not, people will also have to accept it. Price fluctuation is inevitable, the trend keeps changing all the time. Therefore, we can't expect that halving will put as at ease and think that pumps will come along.
Maybe not along but will happen soon,if not in this year then the following will may right?
The previous halving has a positive result and I do believe that this could also the same but thinking how the price moves, it is a bit different from before. A lot of factors that could help to twist the market trend and so much more about how coronavirus makes it.
But the previous Halving take effect months after the event so realistically this will happen also now?anything can come now or in future but lets not lose hope.
Most likely it won't stop in the 2nd quarter, maybe in the 3rd quarter. However the economic damage that it created can last for years. Keep in mind many people lost their jobs and it will take years to refill those jobs.
Usually businesses lay people off, say 100 people and then they start to hire people slowly, first 50, then 25 and maybe if business is good the remaining 25. Hence its a domino effect. Less people working, less goods and services pretty much.
Like I said before. The issue is that bitcoin is following equities, hence when its not going down. SP500 keeps printing higher and higher, however people are still losing their jobs. Eventually most earnings for companies will be negative and stocks will eventually stop rising and either go to new low or trade sideways and bitcoin will follow. Don't think the halving in 1 month will have much effect really. If stocks go up that day, so will bitcoin. If they go down, so will bitcoin.