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Topic: I predict BTC/USD will fall to $2 by December 31, 2013 - page 2. (Read 7291 times)

sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
I was surprised to see this old post get dug up! I have no idea how I came to write this regrettably ultra-bearish dribble. But, I DID mention a few times that I am no psychic or statistician, or whatever. It just goes to show you that you can't just extrapolate on anything. Mea culpa. So sorry. I am just bad at predicting. You should never follow my advice or prediction or whatever. This IS a speculation forum, isn't it???
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
You guys are missing the point. We only have three days before a flash crash to $2. See you on the order books.
member
Activity: 83
Merit: 10
That was a lot of fun reading this old thread!
There is still couple of days before the 31 but I have a hard time figuring the price going down that much! Tongue
Especially China is back in the game..
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
lol. still a few days to go tbf
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

Probably even lower than that.

Its nice to finally see someone that isn't doing drugs, and think that we're going to hit $1k or $1M.

I haven't check in the last 24 hours, so I brought up MtGox expecting to see maybe $95 but it was $82 lol... dropping fast! Heheh.

yeah looks like we're even lower than that Smiley

Funny to see predictions half year ago, but to be fair, still some time for drop under $2 by December 31, 2013  Wink
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 1137
All paid signature campaigns should be banned.
Name:  jamesc760
Posts:  329
Activity: 238
Position:  Sr. Member
Date Registered:  April 05, 2013, 11:13:23 PM
Last Active:  Today at 09:38:10 PM


Any comment jamessc760?  How did you get to be so darn accurate?
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 501
This is the closest most accurate prediction I have ever seen...I will most certainly follow this person's advice at every corner. 




/sarcasm
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
How did this person know? They were right on the money
sr. member
Activity: 433
Merit: 250
BTC value has been dropping steadily. Bad news for Winklevoss twins. So, I am predicting it will fall all the down to $2 range by the end of this year.

Probably even lower than that.

Its nice to finally see someone that isn't doing drugs, and think that we're going to hit $1k or $1M.

I haven't check in the last 24 hours, so I brought up MtGox expecting to see maybe $95 but it was $82 lol... dropping fast! Heheh.

yeah looks like we're even lower than that Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 1137
All paid signature campaigns should be banned.
Sorry, what is activity? I see I have activity always the same as post count, but what is it?
When you first start out activity=post count but then as you grow and mature it becomes something else based on a combination of time spent and post count.
full member
Activity: 164
Merit: 100
Sorry, what is activity? I see I have activity always the same as post count, but what is it?
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1001
Okey Dokey Lokey
Thanks!  I will wait until then to buy.  Thanks again for all this valuable information.

Put a bet up or shutup, ...

JackRabiit:  850+ activity.  Wow.
Wait what? Thats a noteworthy amount?
Take a look around.  It is the highest value I have seen.
Oh holy shizzle!, I might even be here so often that i could become a moderator!, Woah!
Only people like Theymos have a activity count as high as mine. Gosh!
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 1137
All paid signature campaigns should be banned.
Thanks!  I will wait until then to buy.  Thanks again for all this valuable information.

Put a bet up or shutup, ...

JackRabiit:  850+ activity.  Wow.
Wait what? Thats a noteworthy amount?
Take a look around.  It is the highest value I have seen.
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1001
Okey Dokey Lokey
Thanks!  I will wait until then to buy.  Thanks again for all this valuable information.

Put a bet up or shutup, ...

JackRabiit:  850+ activity.  Wow.
Wait what? Thats a noteworthy amount?
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
lol on the cartoon above. which reminds to add


I am neither an expert, a psychic, nor a statistian.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Yep all those people that invested millions into Bitcoin development and holdings will just allow their investment to fail.

What choice do they have?  Are they going to buy up all the coins?  Spend them all by themselves?  The difference between investors and die hard bitcoiners is, investors know when to cut their losses and move on.  Diehard bitcoiners will go down with the ship, in pure denial.  That's either admirably courageous or dumb as hell.  Let each person decide for themselves.
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
Yep all those people that invested millions into Bitcoin development and holdings will just allow their investment to fail.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
Does this mean LTC will be worth more than BTC in August???  Shocked
full member
Activity: 187
Merit: 100
every week for the past month, btc value has been falling by $10US, and extrapolating it to the next few weeks gives me the following;


July 10 -- $70

July 17 -- $60

July 24 -- $50

,
,
,
August 21 -- $10

Once the $10 firewall is breeched, the race to $2 will happen in a few days.

Thus, by the end of August 2013, it will be $2 or less.

PS: I am neither an expert nor a psychic. Think of me as a devils advocate.

 Cheesy

newbie
Activity: 11
Merit: 0
every week for the past month, btc value has been falling by $10US, and extrapolating it to the next few weeks gives me the following;


July 10 -- $70

July 17 -- $60

July 24 -- $50

,
,
,
August 21 -- $10

Once the $10 firewall is breeched, the race to $2 will happen in a few days.

Thus, by the end of August 2013, it will be $2 or less.

PS: I am neither an expert nor a psychic. Think of me as a devils advocate.

I agree with your analysis as I came up with $2 as well. However the one thing I think you are missing is increasing difficulty of mining which sets the bottom price higher. Yes ASIC is driving price to that floor, but it is also driving difficulty up at the same time.

Right now I have them converging at $20, but it doesn't matter it will be easy to calculate when it gets there... whatever price it is. That is when to buy.

Better yet I am thinking of purchasing whatever the most efficient miner is at that time (assuming it can be shipped immediately) and either buying or mining based on the KW/GH ratio advantage at any given time.
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