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Topic: I think it's wrong - page 2. (Read 236 times)

legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1565
The first decentralized crypto betting platform
January 08, 2023, 02:26:52 AM
#5
I think it's wrong to compare the old bear market history with the future bear market, things could play out differently, I was into crypto in 2019 and I am very sure that there was a bear market years back before 2017, in 2020 there was pandemic, no one saw that coming.

Past data from bitcoin's brief history is all we have to give us an idea of what the future will look like, and while I have repeatedly said that we should take such extrapolations and models with a grain of salt, at least we have something to go on.

What do you suggest we base probabilistic predictions on?
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1302
January 08, 2023, 02:26:05 AM
#4
Bitcoin is cyclical, its price movements and other whatnots happen in cycles, thus the past history is always a good focal point to predict the present and future, it doesn't mean that things will happen exactly the same way, but more often than not history somewhat always repeats itself one way or another.
Fast forward to 2023, someone I knew is expecting some kind of a new pandemic to put pressure on the world once again, he believed that the last pandemic was intentional, what do you think?
It is of no use discussing the propaganda of the pandemic here since the discussion is about Bitcoin. Yes, the pandemic will prolly go down as one event that slightly affected Bitcoin in the last couple of years, though the effect was pretty minimal. Mind you that a similar event in the form of another pandemic doesn't have to/wouldn't happen to prove that history repeats itself, what that axiom means is that when we are in a bear market, events that hamper the price of Bitcoin occurs, and when we are in a bull market events that cause an appreciation in Bitcoin price occurs.
Right now some people are still waiting for more downside without any DCA so far, this is a very big risk if you ask me.
I wouldn't call it risky because anytime is a good time to invest in Bitcoin, the only thing is they could miss out on some good ROI through investing pretty late.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1298
Lightning network is good with small amount of BTC
January 08, 2023, 02:25:21 AM
#3
What told you people that 2020 bitcoin price fall during the March 2020 was because of pandemic? Bitcoin price falled in 2019 too, also in 2018, getting to some prices above $3000 but not below. During the pandemic, bitcoin price increased too. People only link what is happening to what is causing bitcoin price fall without doing more research about the actual cause.

I will advice you to have a positive thinking, some people will always just have negative thinking about bitcoin price until they are finally seeing themselves missing the bull market.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 661
- Jay -
January 08, 2023, 02:20:09 AM
#2
and I am very sure that there was a bear market years back before 2017,
There has been at least 3 bear markets before this current one.

Fast forward to 2023, someone I knew is expecting some kind of a new pandemic to put pressure on the world once again, he believed that the last pandemic was intentional, what do you think?
That is some sensational thinking and without any evidence to support the claim, there is nothing to think about. There are so many personal opinions, but that should not guide your investment decisions.

Right now some people are still waiting for more downside without any DCA so far, this is a very big risk if you ask me.
Timing the bottom is irrelevant if you plan to hold for the long term. We already have discounted prices and with DCA can steadily grow our position.
Your investment decision is yours to make, and is independent of that of others.

- Jay -
sr. member
Activity: 952
Merit: 275
January 08, 2023, 02:03:44 AM
#1
I think it's wrong to compare the old bear market history with the future bear market, things could play out differently, I was into crypto in 2019 and I am very sure that there was a bear market years back before 2017, in 2020 there was pandemic, no one saw that coming.

Fast forward to 2023, someone I knew is expecting some kind of a new pandemic to put pressure on the world once again, he believed that the last pandemic was intentional, what do you think?

Right now some people are still waiting for more downside without any DCA so far, this is a very big risk if you ask me.



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