The mtGox issue was just excess liquidity, that'd be a spike down and back up again not so negative especially longer term. The wider issue now and maybe every low for BTC is confidence and the genuine backbone belief to the usage not just now but ever, future build in its basic utility and also growth towards greater populations of use.
Always this market will be tested, at the very start of Bitcoin despite some very clever invention and innovation people said no matter what it had to rip itself apart. They weren't all being negative specifically but because its an arguable point on every economic system thats ever tried to work, from feathers and shells exchanged in ancient times to the modern treasury bill system. All of it is a ticking time bomb because theres always problems, greed is a constant not a question and corruption, theft everything is there waiting to destroy honest exchange so why not Bitcoin also to fail; BTC must end as all value systems are ultimately self-destruction that is the reasoning this year, always tbh. Now we're on lows, these are the questions is it real or a dream to wake from.
Bear market right now
To me its way to late to state that argument, calling a bear out when we were 40k was the time really. Clever if you can see a negative cycle reoccurring and get ahead of it. Now really I think optimism is the idea to formulate and when to be the optimist. Going out in the middle of a thunderstorm in shorts would be bad timing but its not unknown for sunshine after the rain, in fact its entirely reasonable to start an estimate ahead of time.
The bottom price is less important then timing and I dont see BTC itself is altered by the failures of those who had used it, thats just the normal cycle and we're paired with a horrible swing in Dollar that makes entire countries and enterprise systems suffer in their exchange rate some of the fall in BTC is external imo but we also gained some similarly from that cycle also so avoid over focusing imo.
We are already in the recession, ever since the war started between Russia and Ukraine.
Bigger then the war, is the inflation problem with instability in currencies. Neither is any positive of course.