Topic: I will pay 0.3 BTC for an insurance policy against btc-e - page 2. (Read 3836 times)

Have you read the OP?

insurance provider's don;t use your $100 a year contribution ot pay you out...

They bet on the fact, that 10 million people are paying $100 and that only a few of them a year actually require the use. generating profit. Something like Katrina hit's and insurance companies pay out more than they have and boom. gone.

This whole process is silly..

i think you are better off using that 0.3 btc to get a bunch of hard-/thumb-drives and storing your BTC offline. a paper wallet stored in a save place(s) would probably be even better.

of course you have to research how to backup your wallet/secret-key. but that should all be possible within 0.3 BTC. you could start by trying to backup 0.3 BTC

this way the probability of BTC-e going down becomes mostly irrelevant. the less people you have to trust the better...

mandelbert, WTF?

Your insurance would fall under "specialty insurance," and that's ALWAYS more expensive than traditional insurance.

This would be most similar to K&R insurance (Kidnap and Ransom Insurance) that businessman get when traveling to dangerous foreign countries.






A more realistic offer would be:     100 BTC (INSURER) FOR 12 BTC (YOU)




Ref: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kidnap_and_ransom_insurance

Well the point was not starting an argument. It was asking for a service, and doing some kind of an experiment to see if it will actually work along the way. The experiment obviously failed. I actually expected that in a way, I guess. Oh well...

To defend myself a bit:

* At my age I do pay about ~$100 per year for my life insurance. I don't expect to pay that when I'm 80 though. Again it's all about probabilities.
* I am working with btc so there are no fiat delays
* I specifically said that if btc-e is down for an hour or so that is fine. That includes ddos.
* The eight day term is there exactly to protect the insurer if btc-e is down due to ddos during the last hour of the 7-day period. They have additional day to recover before the insurance activates. I was actually trying to be fair.
* Hiring someone to hack btc-e and getting measly 250 BTC through some elaborate forum scam? If I was really aiming to hack btc-e I would aim for 1000s, considering their volume, and I would keep it secret...
* "for any reason" - that means other scenarios I might not think about such as btc-e having a rogue employee, disk crash, building fire, whatever. Anything catastrophic enough such that it affects all users and as such is easily verifiable. Not me being silly and forgetting a password.
* With a 2 out of 3 key scheme the escrow does not have to actually hold 250 btc, only to hold one key and mediate in case of a dispute.

If you read my terms closely you will see I was actually trying to be fair. The only thing you could argue I am not being fair about is the price. But that's up to how you estimate the probabilities. If instead of 0.3 btc I was offering 100 btc, would you go for it now? What's your price then?

If you pay $100 per year for life insurance, from birth to age 100, thats $10k over your lifetime, and your beneficiary gets $250k. Sounds like a good deal to me.

Back on topic, this deal looks more like a setup than anything else. It either says to me, you think you can have BTC-E ddosed for less than $250k for a week (which I'm sure you could)  Or you find that the risk to reward ratio is good enough to try to win on a technicallity.



Of the things I highlighted, this seems like a trick to try and weasel a technicallity. If you are unable to withdraw your money from BTC-E after 8 days because you forgot your password, you would techincally win. Or if you request a wire transfer to your bank, chances are it will take more than 8 days, in which case, you also win. While you said you would not hack BTC-E, you didn't say that you wouldn't hire someone to try.

And if that isn't enough, assuming you are being completely legit, and feel like gambling with the big stakes, how are you going to get someone to escrow $250,000 in BTC. There are some trusted people about, but I wouldn't trust anyone with that kind of money.

OK, I see that asking for 250 BTC is probably too much. I was hoping some old miner with deep pockets will pop up, doesn't seem so.

Suppose instead of 250 BTC it's only, say 10 BTC. Other terms stay the same. What would be your price then? I won't hold anyone for it - just interested in what people think.

Anyone taking part in a crazy deal like this would be stupid to not include some deal like that. If someone steals your car and you get paid for it the insurance company owns your car if it's ever recovered. It's the same if you wreck it, they own what's left. I'm sure there's something similar about stolen property in a home owners insurance policy too, not to mention a deductible and the fact that a claim isn't always a total loss.

 

Thanks. You are mostly right, except I think there is no "my" 250 btc and "their" 250 btc. If I buy fire insurance and my house burns down (say 250K in damage), my insurance company does not expect me to give them the house after it's rebuilt. That's why I pay the premium for - to cover the damage and that's all.

And a fire insurance for a 250K house is probably about ~300$ per year (depending on various factors). And that's for a _whole year_. I am looking for coverage for _one week_.

To the naysayers, I'll say this. Do you have life insurance? A typical life insurance will pay 250K, and for that you pay ~100$ per year. Who wants to risk 250K for 100$ per year? Is this a joke? No, it's called insurance and it's based on probabilities.

This is what insurance companies do all the time.  

I'm afraid though that it is going to be hard to find anyone to take you up on your offer because on the surface it doesn't sound that great, risk 250 BTC for .3 BTC.  

An insurance company might also want some verification that you actually have 250 BTC in btc-e however and that when it is recovered if btc-e goes down the 250 BTC go to them (since they will have already paid you "your" 250 btc).  However, you've explicitly said you wont verify that, so this is just basically a short term option (or high odds bet) on btc-e.

Good Luck!

Who needs your 300$ if they have 250k $?
This is one crazy offer.

jajajjaja this has to be a joke

Haha..you want someone to escrow 250,000$ worth of bit coins to earn 0.3 ? You must be gone funny in the head m8 lol

It's a matter of probabilities - if you think the chances of btc-e going down _during one week_ are less than 0.12%, then this is a good deal.

You have insurance on your car right? This is basically the same thing.

Also, you don't have to risk 250 BTC. As I said, I might consider paying proportionally so you can put 50 and I'll pay 0.06. For one week, that's 6.4% interest rate so it's actually quite a good offer.

I don't think anyone would do this, why risk 250 BTC for 0.3 BTC? 

I have some money in btc-e.
I want to move my money out, but due to withdrawal limits it will probably take me some time.
I rather avoid losing money due to btc-e.com being hacked, disappearing, defaulting etc.

Here is the deal i'm offering:

1. I will pay 0.3 BTC to escrow
2. You will pay 250 BTC to escrow (or less - see below)
3. The insurance period will start immediately after both payments are confirmed by the escrow
4. The insurance period will last one week (7 calendar days = 168 hours)
5. During the insurance period, in the case btc-e.com is hacked, defaults, disappears, or I am otherwise unable to withdraw my money from it for any reason, AND this situation is still occurring 192 hours (8 calendar days) after the beginning of insurance period, I will receive 250 BTC from the escrow. You will keep the insurance premium.
6. If #5 above does not happen (btc-e.com is not hacked, defaults, etc.), the 250 BTC will be returned to you after 7 calendar days, together with the premium.
7. Note that I am not interested in the case where btc-e.com is down for an hour or so and then recovers - only if I am unable to get my money out after 8 calendar days from the beginning of the insurance period, will the insurance be activated.

The event of btc-e.com being hacked, defaulting, disappearing and so on should be catastrophic enough to be easily determined. Also, I will not have to prove that I actually had 250 BTC in btc-e (I might have more or less at any given time). And no - I don't plan on hacking btc-e myself 

I will pay escrow fees.

If you have 250 BTC and you think the chances of such event happening _during one week_ are lower than 0.12% (0.3/250), then this should be a good deal for you.
Also, if you have less than 250 BTC, I might consider paying proportionally to what you are able to put (e.g. for coverage of 125 BTC I'll pay 0.15 BTC). 50 BTC minimum please.

I will post the results of the agreement in this thread. This is also an opportunity for you to increase your trust.

I don't think this has been tried before, it will be interesting to see how it will turn out.