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Topic: If I Was a Whale (or Do Guardian Whales Exist?) (Read 3311 times)

legendary
Activity: 1178
Merit: 1014
Hodling since 2011.®
December 09, 2013, 07:40:27 AM
#22
Oh my god what a load of bullshit

This is the speculation sub-forum, lucas.  What I wrote certainly may not be true, and I acknowledge that in the original post.  But I don't see how this is bullshit.  Do you think the great whales of bitcoin want to harm it instead?  Perhaps they wouldn't do what I describe, but you must agree that they would act to *support the bitcoin system* because their fates are intertwined.

I think, in line with Speculation sub-forum, that bitcoin is a game to make money. People with a lot of many have a lot of money precisely because they do not stop at some number and always work to get more. A whale with 40k BTC exposure to bitcoin markets movements will do everything to protect their investment.

I think there is people like that around nothing special about it. Just try to imagine yourself in summer of 2010 trying to cooldown your 2x QX9775 in your Intel D5400XS running 24/7 @ 58 Mhs and the picture becomes much clearer. Doesn't it? To protect that kind of investment they will do everything... riiiiiiight...
KFR
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
Per ardua ad luna
I suppose "proper use" might just be defined as increasing your wealth.  But it might also be interpreted as something more philanthropic.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Fact of life: for those who can't make proper use of money, even if you give them your money for free, they'll still eventually lose it to others who can make better use of it.
newbie
Activity: 41
Merit: 0
It is a speculation, however...
Certainly using the bitcoins to buy things would be a better way to expand bitcoin and have it succeed. Of course most businesses cash out the bitcoins used causing the market to drop. (The current price doesn't really matter if you're in it to let it become widespread)
As we see with a lot of 'whales' that want bitcoin to succeed: they use their bitcoin to start new bitcoin-based businesses.
Cashing out on exchanges to keep the things going isn't a very good strategy. Unless you want to reward greedy traders.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
IF you were greedy enough to still have 40,000 bitcoins, your surely not going to give them away.

Why would still having 40,000 bitcoins suggest you were greedy?  Would not the greedy people cash out after the first doubling, or in fear after the first crash?  It seems to me that anyone that has held their coins this long is motivated by more than greed. 
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 255
People do not make enough money and then stop. That is not how life works.

See: Warren Buffet.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
IF you were greedy enough to still have 40,000 bitcoins, your surely not going to give them away.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
full member
Activity: 135
Merit: 113
whale eater
I eat smaller whales. Cool Cool
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
People do not make enough money and then stop. That is not how life works.

I'm not suggesting they stop.  I'm saying it's like a reverse tragedy of the commons effect: a fortune of the commons. 

To keep your coins, you must lose your coins.
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
People do not make enough money and then stop. That is not how life works.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
That's one approach.  However, it would probably just be easier for the whale to slowly convert a portion BTC to fiat and use it to fill panic sell orders.  If the whale were successful over the course of years to stabilize the price against panics, arguably it would increase confidence in BTC and perhaps, in fiat terms, make his diminshed pile of BTC just as valuable as the original pile.

Realistically, I think that large institutional investors are the only way to safeguard the price against chickens and daytraders.  This will take time.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007

I think it's more likely that they would be selling when it gets too high and buying when it gets too low to stablise, rather than increasing volitility, though.


Agree with selling when it gets too high, but I actually think volatility helps us shake loose our mindset of thinking in terms of $ and start thinking in terms of BTC instead.

I also liked your comment about certain great whales being less concerned with just "making money."  I think at a certain point people are more concerned with shaping the world, hoping to make it a better place, and leaving a legacy that will be remembered fondly in history books. 
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
Oh my god what a load of bullshit

This is the speculation sub-forum, lucas.  What I wrote certainly may not be true, and I acknowledge that in the original post.  But I don't see how this is bullshit.  Do you think the great whales of bitcoin want to harm it instead?  Perhaps they wouldn't do what I describe, but you must agree that they would act to *support the bitcoin system* because their fates are intertwined.

I think, in line with Speculation sub-forum, that bitcoin is a game to make money. People with a lot of many have a lot of money precisely because they do not stop at some number and always work to get more. A whale with 40k BTC exposure to bitcoin markets movements will do everything to protect their investment.

Fair enough lucas.  But if the goal is to make money, then would you rather be a whale with 40,000 BTC at $1000 / BTC or a whale with 20,000 BTC at $10,000 / BTC?  Could not making money actually involve losing coins?  And thus the quote from Zangelbert:

To keep your coins, you must lose your coins.

legendary
Activity: 889
Merit: 1013
I like this image of a giant whale in the sky looking after everyone Smiley I think it's more likely that they would be selling when it gets too high and buying when it gets too low to stablise, rather than increasing volitility, though.

bitcoin is a game to make money. People with a lot of many have a lot of money precisely because they do not stop at some number and always work to get more. A whale with 40k BTC exposure to bitcoin markets movements will do everything to protect their investment.

that's definitely true for the conventional super rich, but a lot of early adopters of bitcoin got involved mainly because they objected to that system, especially the global banking system. They're politically motivated. Also, if you look at people like Soros and even (gasp) Bill Gates, once they get rich enough, making more money stops being such a priority, it's more about how they can affect the world. In this case, it would be the world of bitcoin, and the freedom from banks and governments it offers, if it's ever stable enough to become widely adopted.

full member
Activity: 189
Merit: 100
Hello
Or perhaps said whale would still be greedy and unload several shots of 5,000 bitcoins a pop, spread fear and buy back twice as much with half the cash.  But to your question, yes I believe both exist, those that manipulate for cash and those that manipulate for BTC
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Oh my god what a load of bullshit

This is the speculation sub-forum, lucas.  What I wrote certainly may not be true, and I acknowledge that in the original post.  But I don't see how this is bullshit.  Do you think the great whales of bitcoin want to harm it instead?  Perhaps they wouldn't do what I describe, but you must agree that they would act to *support the bitcoin system* because their fates are intertwined.

I think, in line with Speculation sub-forum, that bitcoin is a game to make money. People with a lot of many have a lot of money precisely because they do not stop at some number and always work to get more. A whale with 40k BTC exposure to bitcoin markets movements will do everything to protect their investment.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
Sure, why not? Any case, if the market can't handle these bumps then bitcoin will never succeed. It's a good thing on the whole.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
Oh my god what a load of bullshit

This is the speculation sub-forum, lucas.  What I wrote certainly may not be true, and I acknowledge that in the original post.  But I don't see how this is bullshit.  Do you think the great whales of bitcoin want to harm it instead?  Perhaps they wouldn't do what I describe, but you must agree that they would act to *support the bitcoin system* because their fates are intertwined.
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