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Topic: If Pirate Runs: The Danger of one entity with 500K BTC - page 4. (Read 11514 times)

full member
Activity: 153
Merit: 100
What do you mean if he runs? Actually he won't need to run, he can stay right where he is, drop offline, and retire. There isn't one single f'n thing any of you can do about it either. This is the free market in all its glory. No regulations, no accountability, no recourse when you get fucked in the ass without any lube. Pirate will get away with this scot free. There will be all the hand wringing, all the apologists, and all the blaming of the victims. But in the end, it all comes down to there being zero accountability in this "free" market. If there is no punishment for theft, then there is no deterrent. Nobody has ever been prosecuted for a Bitcoin theft, and they never will be. So thieves and con men will continue to operate and win every single time. Pirate used the core greed that most people on this site have, and he used it to great effect. Nobody ever went broke underestimating the greed of Bitcoiners. In fact, a lot of people have gotten rich off of it.

So, how much have you contributed to Pirate's retirement fund?
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 501
There is more to Bitcoin than bitcoins.
^^^
Word. Bitcoin truly need to be stress tested. Pirate is doing us all a favour.
This is true in many ways. Stress-testing the system, teaching lessons (some paid high tuition fees, though)...
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1001
For bitcoin's sake- I hope Pirate Returns the money, and the community stays away from such "financial innovation" in the future, even if it's not a ponzi.

For bitcoin's sake, I hope Pirate doesn't return the money. Even if he pays out in full, anyone giving Pirate money took a huge risk. If that risk is rewarded, imagine how eager people will be to get in on the next big thing completely indistinguishable from a scam. It can only get worse if he pays out.

It's bad either way.  If he returns the money, the market gets flooded and the price plummets again like it did in 2011, and potential bitcoin users are turned off for a long time.  If he doesn't return the money then you've got a thief running around with 500k bitcoins which he could drop at any moment.

We're all talking about 500k BTC in pirate's possession, but do we have any verifiable evidence that this is so, aside from his saying it is? This isn't rhetorical, I really don't know and would love to know if there's a sure fire way of making that determination.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
For bitcoin's sake- I hope Pirate Returns the money, and the community stays away from such "financial innovation" in the future, even if it's not a ponzi.

For bitcoin's sake, I hope Pirate doesn't return the money. Even if he pays out in full, anyone giving Pirate money took a huge risk. If that risk is rewarded, imagine how eager people will be to get in on the next big thing completely indistinguishable from a scam. It can only get worse if he pays out.

It's bad either way.  If he returns the money, the market gets flooded and the price plummets again like it did in 2011, and potential bitcoin users are turned off for a long time.  If he doesn't return the money then you've got a thief running around with 500k bitcoins which he could drop at any moment.
legendary
Activity: 1615
Merit: 1000
For bitcoin's sake- I hope Pirate Returns the money, and the community stays away from such "financial innovation" in the future, even if it's not a ponzi.

For bitcoin's sake, I hope Pirate doesn't return the money. Even if he pays out in full, anyone giving Pirate money took a huge risk. If that risk is rewarded, imagine how eager people will be to get in on the next big thing completely indistinguishable from a scam. It can only get worse if he pays out.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Oh god I laughed so hard. Everybody lies, even in real life.

No they don't.

Just to qualify my previous post, I don't have anything "invested" with pirate40, I was just saying if you steal that kind of money, people tend to kill you.
People who are stealing that kind of money can afford to create an entire fake identity.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 513
GLBSE Support [email protected]
Oh god I laughed so hard. Everybody lies, even in real life.

No they don't.

Just to qualify my previous post, I don't have anything "invested" with pirate40, I was just saying if you steal that kind of money, people tend to kill you.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1128
If it can be killed someone will do it eventually, so might as well be now, we'll be better off. If not it will just prove that it's stronger than people think.

Do you really think someone would do that? Just go on the internet and tell lies?

Oh god I laughed so hard. Everybody lies, even in real life.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 513
GLBSE Support [email protected]
If he runs we're going to find out how quickly he can be found with a 500K BTC price tag on his head, and when he is, will he still have the head?
hero member
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
Seal Cub Clubbing Club
Has anybody even heard from him since last night? You'd think he'd want to keep everybody up to date with current events to keep people at ease.
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 252
Proof-of-Stake Blockchain Network
btw, where's the confirmation that he controls 500k BTC?

[2012-08-17 16:15:10] pirateat40: will you be daytrading with your own funds after this?
[2012-08-17 16:16:15] boonies4u, Yes I hold personally over 30k BTC
[2012-08-17 16:16:45] pirateat40: is that your personal or the total funds of BS&T?
[2012-08-17 16:17:57] Azelphur, personally.  BST is over 500k BTC

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.1111794

Do you really think someone would do that? Just go on the internet and tell lies?
hero member
Activity: 991
Merit: 1011
btw, where's the confirmation that he controls 500k BTC?

[2012-08-17 16:15:10] pirateat40: will you be daytrading with your own funds after this?
[2012-08-17 16:16:15] boonies4u, Yes I hold personally over 30k BTC
[2012-08-17 16:16:45] pirateat40: is that your personal or the total funds of BS&T?
[2012-08-17 16:17:57] Azelphur, personally.  BST is over 500k BTC

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.1111794

lol, made my day  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1001
It will cost him money because he will have to bear all the costs of manipulating the market himself and he will have to share the profits with anyone who chooses to follow along for the ride.

While he's pushing the price down to induce a panic sell, others are buying his Bitcoins for less than they are worth medium-term.  And then he has to compete with everyone else to buy any Bitcoins that are sold in panic as the market quickly rises.

While he's pushing the price up to sell above fair market value, others are selling him Bitcoins for more than they are worth medium-term. And then he has to compete with everyone else to sell Bitcoins at above fair market value to people who think the rise is real as the market quickly falls.

So long as there people who are anywhere close to equal to him in size in total, he will lose money every time he tries to manipulate the market. He can make Bitcoins unstable, but it will cost him to do it. People who have learned this lesson the hard way include Nelson Bunker Hunt and Allan A. Ryan.

This, as usual. Assuming pirate was behind the dump last weekend, the only thing that prevented him from losing a lot of money in the process was the lack of fiat in the exchanges because it was the weekend. It was a gamble, and only he/she knows whether it paid off. But he/she will only be able to get away with it once. I'm pretty sure there will be plenty of fiat on hand in the exchanges this weekend hoping he tries again.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
btw, where's the confirmation that he controls 500k BTC?

[2012-08-17 16:15:10] pirateat40: will you be daytrading with your own funds after this?
[2012-08-17 16:16:15] boonies4u, Yes I hold personally over 30k BTC
[2012-08-17 16:16:45] pirateat40: is that your personal or the total funds of BS&T?
[2012-08-17 16:17:57] Azelphur, personally.  BST is over 500k BTC

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.1111794
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1012
Democracy is vulnerable to a 51% attack.
It will cost him money because he will have to bear all the costs of manipulating the market himself and he will have to share the profits with anyone who chooses to follow along for the ride.

While he's pushing the price down to induce a panic sell, others are buying his Bitcoins for less than they are worth medium-term.  And then he has to compete with everyone else to buy any Bitcoins that are sold in panic as the market quickly rises.

While he's pushing the price up to sell above fair market value, others are selling him Bitcoins for more than they are worth medium-term. And then he has to compete with everyone else to sell Bitcoins at above fair market value to people who think the rise is real as the market quickly falls.

So long as there people who are anywhere close to equal to him in size in total, he will lose money every time he tries to manipulate the market. He can make Bitcoins unstable, but it will cost him to do it. People who have learned this lesson the hard way include Nelson Bunker Hunt and Allan A. Ryan.
legendary
Activity: 1221
Merit: 1025
e-ducat.fr
The pump-and-dump scheme will work as long as there is panic selling and panic buying: people who are in it for the long run have little to fear.
Meanwhile this kind of speculative attack is reminiscent of George Soros..
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 1064
Bitcoin is antisemitic
Even if you can't regularly do $15 to $8, even 1-2$ in change often enough could eventually give you monopolistic power over the bitcoin system.

That is the only plausible way he could really do >7% weekly consistently in my view. On the other hand, long periods of price stability like the one around 5$ seem to contradict this idea.  

In any case, many other markets are manipulated by big hidden hands: should I not buy gold and silver for this reason?
full member
Activity: 162
Merit: 100
^^^
Word. Bitcoin truly need to be stress tested. Pirate is doing us all a favour.
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1001
rippleFanatic
Still hypothetically,  Wink  I hope the bitcoin community has considered the very real danger posed by an individual in control of 500K of BTC. Sure there are accounts with balances almost as high but what is to prevent Pirate or anyone else with so much BTC from cyclically crashing the market and buying up more coins?

Other competitors in a market prevent players from consistently out-performing the market. Sure, when you have the most funds you have the biggest advantage, like the having the most chips at a poker table. But how do you know you have the most funds? If you sell intending to buy cheaper, you're betting that there's no well-funded buyer at that price. You could be wrong, and be selling to a better-funded accumulator(s), who will only sell back to you at a higher price. That's how people lose to the market.

Anyone trying to outperform the market can (and will) lose eventually, especially if its growing. (in a shrinking market its easier to continue winning, but the gains shrink until you're the only player).


For bitcoin's sake- I hope Pirate Returns the money, and the community stays away from such "financial innovation" in the future, even if it's not a ponzi.

For bitcoin's sake - I hope he does not make the payouts. If he does, then he was such a fantastic trader I'll eat my hat (I discount the possibility of gains from money laundering or any other non-trading activity). If he does, the scourge of (actual) imitation ponzis which would follow would be utter chaos.


btw, where's the confirmation that he controls 500k BTC?
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
If a ponzi scheme can "destroy bitcoin" then it should be destroyed. I hope he tries.
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