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Topic: If USB Block Erupters are not worth the trouble, what is? - page 2. (Read 7719 times)

newbie
Activity: 24
Merit: 0
thegenesisblock has a great calculator for all of those questions regarding mining and profitability;

Block Erupter sample;

http://mining.thegenesisblock.com/a/ad316a9479

Basically you make back a total of about 13 bucks and then you're at zero...  Very sad...  Mainly because I just got one going yesterday with another coming in tomorrow.  Ahh well...

Good luck!

sf2
sr. member
Activity: 273
Merit: 250
newbie
Activity: 47
Merit: 0

 If we look at that site , almost everything makes no ROI ?

That is correct, unfortunately.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250

 If we look at that site , almost everything makes no ROI ?

Smiley

ASICs are priced according to their utility in mining bitcoin.  As such, it is reasonable to expect them to be priced slightly higher than their lifetime returns.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250

 If we look at that site , almost everything makes no ROI ?
newbie
Activity: 47
Merit: 0

 Is there a reliable source where we can check the profitability of usb block erupters?

 Or better yet , is there any place we can check the profitability of anything Cheesy a 'trustworthy' place , because wherever I check , usb block erupters looks like a steal for 0.2 but everyone thinks they are not Cheesy

Here you go: http://mining.thegenesisblock.com/
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
I keep reading about all of the PHs coming onboard and have to wonder how long it will be before I see used 500 GHs units for sale cheap.

It will take just as long for brand new 500GH units to sell for a similar price (and even cheaper in preorder).
Those 28nm asics cost somewhere in the neighborhood of $25-$35 to produce. They will sell for whatever price miners are willing to pay at a given time, and that price will go down as fast as difficulty will go up.

Im not sure what you define as cheap, but 500GH for a a few hunderd dollar will happen before next summer unless almost all those asic vendors screw up big time. And at that price, it still wont give you a positive RIO.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250

 Is there a reliable source where we can check the profitability of usb block erupters?

 Or better yet , is there any place we can check the profitability of anything Cheesy a 'trustworthy' place , because wherever I check , usb block erupters looks like a steal for 0.2 but everyone thinks they are not Cheesy
full member
Activity: 137
Merit: 100
It's a mixture of them all.  The higher hashing power, the faster blocks will solved and every 2016 blocks the difficulty increases. 

...One thing it was helpful with was seeing, by playing with the "Generated BTC after days" value, was that indeed there is a return lifetime on ASIC hardware at the moment ... the return does asymptotically approach zero ... and quite quickly.

Does your calculator factor in the increased difficulty?  I'm curious because the more I read about the horrors of increased difficulty the more confused I get.  If it was only difficulty that we had to worry about, there shouldn't be too much worry.

It seems that the increase in hashing power is the killer here.  I mean if the hashing power remained the same after a difficulty increase then an individual would have the same share of hashing as before the increase.  Hence, forgetting about the luck factor here, the same relative income from mining.  Maybe I just don't get it.

/Frank
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
Blitz:The price affects the perception of the news
...One thing it was helpful with was seeing, by playing with the "Generated BTC after days" value, was that indeed there is a return lifetime on ASIC hardware at the moment ... the return does asymptotically approach zero ... and quite quickly.

Does your calculator factor in the increased difficulty?  I'm curious because the more I read about the horrors of increased difficulty the more confused I get.  If it was only difficulty that we had to worry about, there shouldn't be too much worry.

It seems that the increase in hashing power is the killer here.  I mean if the hashing power remained the same after a difficulty increase then an individual would have the same share of hashing as before the increase.  Hence, forgetting about the luck factor here, the same relative income from mining.  Maybe I just don't get it.

/Frank
legendary
Activity: 4592
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
That calculator has saved me from spending so much money.  Numbers always comes out in red!  Sad

Getting back to the statement by ckolivas :  “Highest risk + Highest potential gain<---> Lowest risk + Guaranteed loss”

I used the calculator at http://mining.thegenesisblock.com/ to see what the various hardware would produce.  I was surprised to note that even the fastest, and most expensive, unit advertised (the Virtual Mining Platinum Unit, 6 module + 6 cases) at 24,576 GHs will only be running at a profit for 8 months.  After that, the electricity costs take all of the efforts.  Note:  I don’t have a clue how accurate the calculator is, YMMV.  If the calculator is close to accurate, the days of mining for a profit are almost over. 

I keep reading about all of the PHs coming onboard and have to wonder how long it will be before I see used 500 GHs units for sale cheap.

/Frank   

I preferred my more simple standard pool calculator that I added so you could choose a diff % per change and a number of days and it would work out the BTC return at that number of days assuming that % each diff ...

Unfortunately I only have my local copy available at home coz ... my internet server it was on got ddosed ... and that server had nothing else on it that would promote being ddosed ... so that was weird.

One thing it was helpful with was seeing, by playing with the "Generated BTC after days" value, was that indeed there is a return lifetime on ASIC hardware at the moment ... the return does asymptotically approach zero ... and quite quickly.
full member
Activity: 137
Merit: 100
I was going to say bullshit, but thought about my garage full of real gold prospecting equipment.  How much I spent vs that little vial of gold I have.  Yeah, I could find a nugget (btc hitting $1,000) and roi on gold, but we all know and keep fooling ourselves it will pan out.  Smiley

...
Not the point of my post.
Commonly known as misdirection.

So the people selling ASIC hardware are basically trying to screw people on hardware that will never ROI, the people buying ASICs are screwing themselves with machines that cannot predictably pay themselves off, and the community trumpets each new ASIC vendor that comes out even though every game in town is playing with "pre-orders".

Full stop.  

If Coinbase and BitInstant can get venture funding to the tune of several millions, and they just process payments, why doesn't venture funding go into something like a K1/N1/BE that will provide ROI based on projections?  If AM tomorrow released a product guaranteed to ROI people would buy them like hotcakes, so even if the profit point is $5 that is $5 per unit, and that is lowball.  And a few million will cover design, development, fab, testing, assembly, and boxing of a ready-to-ship product.  Then it is price based on BTC/Diff and profit away while the technology remains valid and the market remains full of suckers.

The market is ready for anyone to release *shipping now* hardware and both the manufacturer and the miner can profit, but this industry is full of greedy bastards and this has yet to happen.  It is proven people will buy working, proven hardware, even at a premium.  Charge less of a premium, be the only person selling shipping, ROI-worthy products, and you'll own the market for long enough to make cubic shit-ton of money. 

Reactor,

I agree with you at some point at this market level of value per Bitcoin. If these units make very little BTC, and the value goes up to say $1,000 per BTC, it will pay for itself. But it would be better to by the BTC instead of buying the hardware. No one can see the future.

I see it as a hobby. Not to quit my job for.
full member
Activity: 137
Merit: 100
That calculator has saved me from spending so much money.  Numbers always comes out in red!  Sad

Getting back to the statement by ckolivas :  “Highest risk + Highest potential gain<---> Lowest risk + Guaranteed loss”

I used the calculator at http://mining.thegenesisblock.com/ to see what the various hardware would produce.  I was surprised to note that even the fastest, and most expensive, unit advertised (the Virtual Mining Platinum Unit, 6 module + 6 cases) at 24,576 GHs will only be running at a profit for 8 months.  After that, the electricity costs take all of the efforts.  Note:  I don’t have a clue how accurate the calculator is, YMMV.  If the calculator is close to accurate, the days of mining for a profit are almost over. 

I keep reading about all of the PHs coming onboard and have to wonder how long it will be before I see used 500 GHs units for sale cheap.

/Frank   

sr. member
Activity: 262
Merit: 250
...
Not the point of my post.
Commonly known as misdirection.

So the people selling ASIC hardware are basically trying to screw people on hardware that will never ROI, the people buying ASICs are screwing themselves with machines that cannot predictably pay themselves off, and the community trumpets each new ASIC vendor that comes out even though every game in town is playing with "pre-orders".

Full stop.  

If Coinbase and BitInstant can get venture funding to the tune of several millions, and they just process payments, why doesn't venture funding go into something like a K1/N1/BE that will provide ROI based on projections?  If AM tomorrow released a product guaranteed to ROI people would buy them like hotcakes, so even if the profit point is $5 that is $5 per unit, and that is lowball.  And a few million will cover design, development, fab, testing, assembly, and boxing of a ready-to-ship product.  Then it is price based on BTC/Diff and profit away while the technology remains valid and the market remains full of suckers.

The market is ready for anyone to release *shipping now* hardware and both the manufacturer and the miner can profit, but this industry is full of greedy bastards and this has yet to happen.  It is proven people will buy working, proven hardware, even at a premium.  Charge less of a premium, be the only person selling shipping, ROI-worthy products, and you'll own the market for long enough to make cubic shit-ton of money. 

Reactor,

I agree with you at some point at this market level of value per Bitcoin. If these units make very little BTC, and the value goes up to say $1,000 per BTC, it will pay for itself. But it would be better to by the BTC instead of buying the hardware. No one can see the future.

I see it as a hobby. Not to quit my job for.
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 501
...
Not the point of my post.
Commonly known as misdirection.

So the people selling ASIC hardware are basically trying to screw people on hardware that will never ROI, the people buying ASICs are screwing themselves with machines that cannot predictably pay themselves off, and the community trumpets each new ASIC vendor that comes out even though every game in town is playing with "pre-orders".

Full stop.  

If Coinbase and BitInstant can get venture funding to the tune of several millions, and they just process payments, why doesn't venture funding go into something like a K1/N1/BE that will provide ROI based on projections?  If AM tomorrow released a product guaranteed to ROI people would buy them like hotcakes, so even if the profit point is $5 that is $5 per unit, and that is lowball.  And a few million will cover design, development, fab, testing, assembly, and boxing of a ready-to-ship product.  Then it is price based on BTC/Diff and profit away while the technology remains valid and the market remains full of suckers.

The market is ready for anyone to release *shipping now* hardware and both the manufacturer and the miner can profit, but this industry is full of greedy bastards and this has yet to happen.  It is proven people will buy working, proven hardware, even at a premium.  Charge less of a premium, be the only person selling shipping, ROI-worthy products, and you'll own the market for long enough to make cubic shit-ton of money. 

The Problem is that no machine at any price can promise a return on investment because there is an unlimited number of them and a finite number of bitcoins to be mined.
legendary
Activity: 2926
Merit: 1386
I don't understand why you NEED a Pi for the BitFurys?  That doesn't really make any sense.  Yes, the BitFury Blades, but the USB ones?  I call BS.

There are no drivers for standard computers as i know. CGminer is not able to use them nor any other miner atm.
Bitfury uses their own program called chainminer (?) for mining with them
Yes, and chainminer is currently only on the RPi.
One day that may change, but not yet.

So they can work on normal computers, and don't need a RPi?  They just need some drivers written.  Glad we sorted that one out then.  Roll Eyes




The R Pi is a pretty 'normal computer."
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
...
Not the point of my post.
Commonly known as misdirection.

So the people selling ASIC hardware are basically trying to screw people on hardware that will never ROI, the people buying ASICs are screwing themselves with machines that cannot predictably pay themselves off, and the community trumpets each new ASIC vendor that comes out even though every game in town is playing with "pre-orders".

Full stop.  

If Coinbase and BitInstant can get venture funding to the tune of several millions, and they just process payments, why doesn't venture funding go into something like a K1/N1/BE that will provide ROI based on projections?  If AM tomorrow released a product guaranteed to ROI people would buy them like hotcakes, so even if the profit point is $5 that is $5 per unit, and that is lowball.  And a few million will cover design, development, fab, testing, assembly, and boxing of a ready-to-ship product.  Then it is price based on BTC/Diff and profit away while the technology remains valid and the market remains full of suckers.

The market is ready for anyone to release *shipping now* hardware and both the manufacturer and the miner can profit, but this industry is full of greedy bastards and this has yet to happen.  It is proven people will buy working, proven hardware, even at a premium.  Charge less of a premium, be the only person selling shipping, ROI-worthy products, and you'll own the market for long enough to make cubic shit-ton of money. 
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
...
Not the point of my post.
Commonly known as misdirection.

You would know more about that than I would.
legendary
Activity: 4592
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
...
Not the point of my post.
Commonly known as misdirection.
newbie
Activity: 12
Merit: 0
alt coin with gpu cost way too much power, i tried and it didn't work out that well
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