Do remember to come back in three years time and post about how lucky this guy was.
totally different scenario to the early adopters in many ways....
....not least of all that you or I could have become near millionaires by investing a small amount of capital. As it turns out, you invested an absolute pittance and I invested jackshit/spent all my single digit Bitcoins on Silk Road.
This guy is investing a small fortune. Totally different fkn ball game at a totally different phase of Bitcoins development. Can you really say that we aren't yet going to test the $266 April 2013 high? I doubt it, but with Bitcoin anything is possible so I wouldn't be writing that off.
Bitcoin is overblown. Simple as that. Hyper-inflated value derived from from a speculative mania based entirely upon hoarding, restricted supply, and lack of market liquidity. Reverse any of these factors (such as having around 500K stolen coins looking to convert themselves into USD and Bitcoin could easily go in the opposite extreme.
Bitcoin
might go to $5K within the next 18 months. But it also may just hit the $200s, or even less depending on how some totally unpredictable events happen to play out. As they say, don't go putting yer house on it.
You are a slave to your own assumptions. You constantly talk in absolute terms "small amount of capital", "small fortune" ... by who's standards? What that $300k would mean to you in your personal position, isn't the same as what it would mean to other people.
. How do you know what this guys circumstances are, I am fairly sure from the way the story was phrased this house was *spare*. So why is he "out of his mind" exactly?
Until you can see the world from other people's points of view you are about the least qualified person on here to make judgements about anything. You are hamstrung by your own belief that the way you see the world is the way it is.
I would have thought that someone who spent so much money on silk road would have a deeper understanding of the essential nature of things and the role of their own perception in understanding the universe around them.