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Topic: inau's secret rocket - page 6. (Read 13335 times)

legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1003
January 31, 2012, 01:35:26 AM
#26
i still see only about 30k real ask orders Grin

we just witnessed the first leg of the great bitcoin comeback. we will far overshoot 7.20 on the next leg up...

are you ready?

Post the poop or GTFO!
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
January 31, 2012, 12:47:30 AM
#25
i still see only about 30k real ask orders Grin

we just witnessed the first leg of the great bitcoin comeback. we will far overshoot 7.20 on the next leg up...

are you ready?
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1001
January 30, 2012, 10:32:31 PM
#24
I'll guess oh...$4.50  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
January 30, 2012, 09:38:01 PM
#23
lets tally the events shall we.

the word is out you can easily buy drugs with bitcoin, bitcoin rocks, raw raw raw, the next day bitcoin is worth 30$

the day after that we learn that.. well bitcoin isn't as anonymous as we thought, and hackers love bitcoin. bitcoin is worth 15$

the fallowing week bitcoin is scrutinized, price continues to drop.

In the mist of a lot of bad news bitcoin speculators and small time investors are eager to buy 1,000 bitcoins at 1.xx$... but the market is not stupid and refuses to sell bitcoins below 2.xx.

the next day, we are all very relieved to see that bitcoin will indeed survive above 2$

the next week the NEWS has no choice but take back what they said and admit bitcoin is strong! prices rise, volume doubles

speculators, hoarders and traders Start selling their coins at the "top"! surprisingly it is very easy. Hundreds of thousands of coins are traded above 6$, every day for 2 weeks,

Bitcoinia users become overly confident that the market will bounce back from 6$ to 7$ and everyone goes long. the market dips down slightly causing a Zhoutongization effect! in under 2 hour we see a low 4.64$ and a high of 7$ only to close at 6$

another attempt at breaking 7$ starts only to be stopped at 6.66$

7$ seems like a yesterdays pipe dream, someone drops a knife. 10,000BTC wall at 5.20 effectively catches the knife.

the price beings to move up again.

5.75$ sounds sell alarms.

tomorrow... is anyone guess, i cant wait!  Cheesy



sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250
January 30, 2012, 07:15:00 PM
#22
I'm pretty tired of hearing about 'low' volume. So far, this month there have only been two days below $200K volume. In December there were 17 days below $200K. In November there were 22 days below $200K... So, compared to that recent history volume is not 'low'.

I think the whole problem with this perspective is that too many have become acclimated to a microscopic view of the market, obsessing about daily (hourly) wiggles and jumping at every bump and dip without really looking at anything in context...

Everything is just fine...

And for perspective: a year ago, Jan 29th 2011, MtGox volume was $644.  Not k: just $644.00 USD.  Bitcoins were selling for $0.44, so that's a whole 1436 btc traded that day.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
January 30, 2012, 06:20:41 PM
#21
I think that associating lowish volume with price drops is flawed. A large majority of Bitcoin trading is speculative, both buying AND selling. There is no drastic difference in the need for people to either buy bitcoins or buy dollars in this market environment. For example, during the rise from $2 to $7 we had many occasions of low volumes, yet the price was climbing up, slowly. Often there was a larger buy afterwards which lead to a rally of some kind.

If someone wants to argue this point, then there needs to be some data to support it. I have a hard time believing that lowish volume is always followed by a price drop. This was probably the case during the fall but we are in a different environment now. To me the price is on fairly neutral ground and it's truly quite hard to say where it'll go next.

In fact I think that a lot of times the reason we have a price drop after lowish volume is because someone is expecting a price drop and decides to go first, which then others follow. This is very important because a lot of what speculators do is based on what they think others will do.

I'm pretty tired of hearing about 'low' volume. So far, this month there have only been two days below $200K volume. In December there were 17 days below $200K. In November there were 22 days below $200K... So, compared to that recent history volume is not 'low'.

I think the whole problem with this perspective is that too many have become acclimated to a microscopic view of the market, obsessing about daily (hourly) wiggles and jumping at every bump and dip without really looking at anything in context...

Everything is just fine...
+1,000,000,000
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
January 30, 2012, 11:19:07 AM
#20
I'm pretty tired of hearing about 'low' volume. So far, this month there have only been two days below $200K volume. In December there were 17 days below $200K. In November there were 22 days below $200K... So, compared to that recent history volume is not 'low'.

I think the whole problem with this perspective is that too many have become acclimated to a microscopic view of the market, obsessing about daily (hourly) wiggles and jumping at every bump and dip without really looking at anything in context...

Everything is just fine...
+1

Duly noted.
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1056
Affordable Physical Bitcoins - Denarium.com
January 30, 2012, 11:15:13 AM
#19
I'm pretty tired of hearing about 'low' volume. So far, this month there have only been two days below $200K volume. In December there were 17 days below $200K. In November there were 22 days below $200K... So, compared to that recent history volume is not 'low'.

I think the whole problem with this perspective is that too many have become acclimated to a microscopic view of the market, obsessing about daily (hourly) wiggles and jumping at every bump and dip without really looking at anything in context...

Everything is just fine...
+1
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1056
Affordable Physical Bitcoins - Denarium.com
January 30, 2012, 10:52:53 AM
#18
I think that associating lowish volume with price drops is flawed. A large majority of Bitcoin trading is speculative, both buying AND selling. There is no drastic difference in the need for people to either buy bitcoins or buy dollars in this market environment. For example, during the rise from $2 to $7 we had many occasions of low volumes, yet the price was climbing up, slowly. Often there was a larger buy afterwards which lead to a rally of some kind.

If someone wants to argue this point, then there needs to be some data to support it. I have a hard time believing that lowish volume is always followed by a price drop. This was probably the case during the fall but we are in a different environment now. To me the price is on fairly neutral ground and it's truly quite hard to say where it'll go next.

In fact I think that a lot of times the reason we have a price drop after lowish volume is because someone is expecting a price drop and decides to go first, which then others follow. This is very important because a lot of what speculators do is based on what they think others will do.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
January 30, 2012, 09:45:46 AM
#17
I'm back in.  Go.

hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 508
Firstbits: 1waspoza
January 30, 2012, 09:27:19 AM
#16
I agree with The Dude.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1128
January 30, 2012, 07:40:35 AM
#15
The Dude said no.

legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1001
January 30, 2012, 06:53:45 AM
#14
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1003
January 30, 2012, 05:41:28 AM
#13
...i'm calling it this time. we're 'secretly' taking off. my call of the $5.50 low was a little off, but i did correctly identify a bottom. get ready...

Post your shits or it isn't happening.
 
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
January 30, 2012, 03:33:10 AM
#12
This thread title sounds like a boudoir apparel store for men.  Wink

i try my best
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
January 29, 2012, 11:37:47 PM
#11
This thread title sounds like a boudoir apparel store for men.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 960
Merit: 1028
Spurn wild goose chases. Seek that which endures.
January 29, 2012, 11:31:25 PM
#10
As metaphors on this forum go, I find the idea of a "secret rocket launch" to be one of the most distinct.

Anyway, we'll see; I'd like to see the price go up, even if I won't be able to help much. Smiley
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
January 29, 2012, 10:46:07 PM
#9
LOL...
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1001
January 29, 2012, 10:43:31 PM
#8
...i'm calling it this time. we're 'secretly' taking off. my call of the $5.50 low was a little off, but i did correctly identify a bottom. get ready...

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
January 29, 2012, 10:41:58 PM
#7
*mumbles something and goes back to drinking.

Cheers!  Cheesy

It's black and tan for me this evening.

I'm drinking Alexander Keith's Red Amber Ale  Grin

Cheers!
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