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Topic: Incredibly high volume on BTC-e - Bot gone crazy? (Read 2378 times)

hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
https://youtu.be/PZm8TTLR2NU
When I last looked btc-e had over 40k bitcoin transactions, thats fucking huge for them. bitstamp had like 9k.. what the hell is going on? some major dumpers and some major buyers... Something is going on...
Just your run of the mill whale market manipulation. Nothing to be concerned about really, the game remains the same for us plebs.
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
When I last looked btc-e had over 40k bitcoin transactions, thats fucking huge for them. bitstamp had like 9k.. what the hell is going on? some major dumpers and some major buyers... Something is going on...
full member
Activity: 143
Merit: 100
  Thank you bot or whale.
   Just bought 1 BTC at $480 . I hope the price drops a wee bit more.  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 585
Merit: 250
If you look at the Fibonacci fan lines from high of $668.42 down to $309 on the btc-e chart, it is quite obvious that if the price had remained above $500 for another 12-24 hours then the price would have broke through the final line.  (and there was some pretty strong resistance at $500 before that strange trading began). 

EDIT: Also I was just looking at the bitstamp chart, the fibonacci fan from high of $683.86 down to $442 was also approaching a crucial moment, the 38.2% retracement.     This trading happened at a pivotal moment in both bitstamp and btc-e price. Make of it what you will.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
Nice theories! I guess they may be true, but I think it's even more probable that it is some BTC-e-internal bot trying to get the trading volume higher in order to get more exposure for BTC-e (which they accomplished) and also appear in the first slot on Bitcoinity!


If it were btc-e simply trying to boost trade volume i would expect it to build up much more naturally. Otherwise I really can't see how they would benefit from pulling a stunt like this!!!

Yeah, that's what I - amongst a few others here - thought as well, but then again does it matter? Do the people over at BTC-e care usually? I guess the Mere Exposure Effect applies in any case! (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mere-exposure_effect)
sr. member
Activity: 585
Merit: 250
Nice theories! I guess they may be true, but I think it's even more probable that it is some BTC-e-internal bot trying to get the trading volume higher in order to get more exposure for BTC-e (which they accomplished) and also appear in the first slot on Bitcoinity!


If it were btc-e simply trying to boost trade volume i would expect it to build up much more naturally. Otherwise I really can't see how they would benefit from pulling a stunt like this!!!
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
Btc-e past 24hr trade volume: 40,000btc

btc-e normal 24hr trade volume: ~4000 btc

Therefore, estimated extra volume:   40,000 - 4000 =  36,000btc extra traded

If we assume this was 2 malfunctioning bots, and with a trade fee of 0.2%, this would mean the wallet balance of the bot would only needed to contain 0.2% (1/500th) of the extra 36,000btc traded.

36,000 x 0.2% = 72btc

So from this calculation, if the malfunctioning bot theory is true then someone has just lost about 72btc... Although, I'm not to sure about that. Would it really have continued for over a day?


Another theory/possibility is that this trading was intentional, perhaps by a big whale trying to cause panic and a price crash before buying back in at lower price.  Although, for this be profitable you would have to first recoup the 72btc I calculated above.

So.... 72btc x $500 = $36,000 . Let's assume $36,000 was lost in fees to btc-e

As the price has only fallen $20 (4%), down to $480 since the "attack" started, this trader/manipulator would have to buy at least 1875btc ($900,000) worth of bitcoin to just marginally benefit from the new lower price he created, and to buy this quantity he would push the price right back up to above $500.   

Maybe they thought there actions would have a much stronger impact on the market price?? Or, maybe I'm completely wrong!






Nice theories! I guess they may be true, but I think it's even more probable that it is some BTC-e-internal bot trying to get the trading volume higher in order to get more exposure for BTC-e (which they accomplished) and also appear in the first slot on Bitcoinity!
sr. member
Activity: 585
Merit: 250
Btc-e past 24hr trade volume: 40,000btc

btc-e normal 24hr trade volume: ~4000 btc

Therefore, estimated extra volume:   40,000 - 4000 =  36,000btc extra traded

If we assume this was 2 malfunctioning bots, and with a trade fee of 0.2%, this would mean the wallet balance of the bot would only needed to contain 0.2% (1/500th) of the extra 36,000btc traded.

36,000 x 0.2% = 72btc

So from this calculation, if the malfunctioning bot theory is true then someone has just lost about 72btc... Although, I'm not to sure about that. Would it really have continued for over a day?


Another theory/possibility is that this trading was intentional, perhaps by a big whale trying to cause panic and a price crash before buying back in at lower price.  Although, for this be profitable you would have to first recoup the 72btc I calculated above.

So.... 72btc x $500 = $36,000 . Let's assume $36,000 was lost in fees to btc-e

As the price has only fallen $20 (4%), down to $480 since the "attack" started, this trader/manipulator would have to buy at least 1875btc ($900,000) worth of bitcoin to just marginally benefit from the new lower price he created, and to buy this quantity he would push the price right back up to above $500.  

Maybe they thought their actions would have a much stronger impact on the market price?? Or, maybe I'm completely wrong!
legendary
Activity: 4466
Merit: 3391
LTC/USD volume was also extremely high. It could have been an arbitrage play, or perhaps two dueling arbitrage bots.



The guy that wrote that article has no idea. He makes it seem like he knows, but he is just guessing like everyone else.
full member
Activity: 211
Merit: 100
In time of big fluctuation, increase volume is expected as some think it is a bargain to buy at cheaper price.

And if selling continue, the recent buyer might just suddenly turn bearish and sell what they just bought and further increase more volume and bigger drop in price.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
I think the bot just got switched off. Back to normal soon.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
Maybe there are some whales trying to manipulate the market so the volume is high.

I don't think so. The volume is incredibly high. Also, the buying/selling seems to follow some very odd pattern and happens at a very fast pace. This ain't no manipulation by whales. It's a bot.
newbie
Activity: 27
Merit: 0
Maybe there are some whales trying to manipulate the market so the volume is high.
jr. member
Activity: 41
Merit: 10
There's an incredible surge in volume on BTC-e at the moment: http://bitcoinity.org/markets/btce/USD! It seems to be caused by some bot gone awry, as some incoherent buying and selling is happening. Someone may be losing big time on fees currently. What do you think is going on?

Could be:

1) Multiple bots fighting each other on trend.
2) Multiple bots "painting" the tape to create the illusion of resistance.

3) hoards of russian buyers and sellers not knowing what to do if they are blocked from SWIFT banking transfers Grin

they'll just hack jpmorgan, goldmansachs, bankofamerica etc., but to be honest banning russia from swift will actually kill usd as a reserve currency, so no way usa will ever ban them, russians will go away themselves when their version of swift is ready
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1000
There's an incredible surge in volume on BTC-e at the moment: http://bitcoinity.org/markets/btce/USD! It seems to be caused by some bot gone awry, as some incoherent buying and selling is happening. Someone may be losing big time on fees currently. What do you think is going on?

Could be:

1) Multiple bots fighting each other on trend.
2) Multiple bots "painting" the tape to create the illusion of resistance.

3) hoards of russian buyers and sellers not knowing what to do if they are blocked from SWIFT banking transfers Grin
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
There's an incredible surge in volume on BTC-e at the moment: http://bitcoinity.org/markets/btce/USD! It seems to be caused by some bot gone awry, as some incoherent buying and selling is happening. Someone may be losing big time on fees currently. What do you think is going on?

Could be:

1) Multiple bots fighting each other on trend.
2) Multiple bots "painting" the tape to create the illusion of resistance.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
Very bullish right now looking in from a trading aspect.
BTC rocket is around the corner...

You do actually see that we crashed well into the $470s today!? I wouldn't exactly call that bullish and the harbinger for a new rocket or moon trip! Cheesy What makes you think this is a positive thing?

Volatility is up, that means more people entering the market. Maybe even big money!

You do realize that the trading on BTC-e is some bot gone mad/awry/crazy or whatever!? We've had volatility for some weeks now again, but it just seems to be going down for the time being, which isn't a good sign.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
https://youtu.be/PZm8TTLR2NU
I've been thinking that myself. You can just feel it in the air that BTC is gearing up for another rocket trip.
member
Activity: 71
Merit: 10
Very bullish right now looking in from a trading aspect.
BTC rocket is around the corner...

You do actually see that we crashed well into the $470s today!? I wouldn't exactly call that bullish and the harbinger for a new rocket or moon trip! Cheesy What makes you think this is a positive thing?

Volatility is up, that means more people entering the market. Maybe even big money!
legendary
Activity: 1159
Merit: 1001
Willie has returned!

Only this time, he now works for Skynet.   Shocked

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