Thanks for the referencing
Worth remembering that on longer-term time-frames where the indicator remains most relevant (Weekly/Monthly) the signal remains unconfirmed. It's signalling now, but can change by end of day tomorrow given the MAs have only just crossed over, and the positive price action is currently only +2% from the hash rate recovery signal. But otherwise yes, it's a relatively reliable signal for upside price action.
The "worst" signals it has provided would be in December 2019 at $7,385 where price rallied +40% before dropping lower -46% below signal, followed by August 2021 at $43,829 with +58% before dropping to where we are now, -59% below that buy signal. It has otherwise signalled anything from trend reversals, end of consolidations as well as continued upside price momentum.
The lowest downwards price action used to be around -15%, but now it's -59% based on the most recent confirmed signal a year ago. So not as reliable as it used to be in fairness.
Here's otherwise a summary of buy signals:
1. $4.08, December 27th 2011
2. $5.09, May 20th 2012
3. $6.46, June 22nd 2012
4. $20.55, February 2nd 2013
5. $234, January 28th 2015
6. $234, May 2nd 2015
7. $238, May 28th 2015
8. $612, September 4th 2016
9. $3652, January 11th 2019
10. $7245, December 27th 2019
11. $7505, April 24th 2020
12. $9306, July 12th 2020
13. $19,226, December 2nd 2020
14. $44,612, August 7th 2021
15. $20,834, August 19th 2022
Weekly chart signals
1. $5.28, December 26th 2011
2. $6.35, June 18th 2012
3. $23.80, February 4th 2013
4. $227, January 26th 2015
5. $231, May 25th 2015
6. $3533, January 7th 2019
7. $7385, December 30th 2019
8. $7706, April 2020
9. $9303, July 2020
10. $19,375, December 2020
11. $43,829, August 2021
12. ...