I did some rough calculations based on our sales figures and at least for the case of BFL, we will not cause a 10x increase. I can't speak for the other manufacturers numbers, of course.
Topic: Info about BFL Power Draw - page 2. (Read 4075 times)
I think difficulty will sky rocket. 10 fold minimum, just in the next few months
Very much likely. In my analysis last month I predicted 7x increase minimum, but 10-12 is more likely.
Reference: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1L8hKZinune9Cc7tWY9Pmx8J17BOxor7QNQAV03xROOc/edit
It will. Closer to 30x based on my calculations.
And where can we find these calculations?
I think difficulty will sky rocket. 10 fold minimum, just in the next few months
Very much likely. In my analysis last month I predicted 7x increase minimum, but 10-12 is more likely.
Reference: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1L8hKZinune9Cc7tWY9Pmx8J17BOxor7QNQAV03xROOc/edit
It will. Closer to 30x based on my calculations.
And where can we find these calculations?
I'm assuming you're just plugging those numbers into here: http://bitcoinx.com/profit/index.php
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
I'm hoping that the difficulty doesn't go too much further than doubling. I know the ASCI will cause a spike, but it will settle after a little. As in every market, new technology will cause surge but the market will come to a balance again. Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
I'm assuming you're just plugging those numbers into here: http://bitcoinx.com/profit/index.php
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
I'm hoping that the difficulty doesn't go too much further than doubling. I know the ASCI will cause a spike, but it will settle after a little. As in every market, new technology will cause surge but the market will come to a balance again.
It will. Closer to 30x based on my calculations.
I think difficulty will sky rocket. 10 fold minimum, just in the next few months
this
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_Serial_Bus#USB_3.0
Possibly 7.5W for a jalapeno. Maximum current on the bus is 25W at 5V.
Possibly 7.5W for a jalapeno. Maximum current on the bus is 25W at 5V.
The 80W draw quoted is for the Single. The 3.5GH you've used is for the Jalapeno, which is USB powered (assuming USB3, that's less than 4.5W).
You'll probably see difficulty increase at minimum tenfold within 3 months of first product shipping.
You'll probably see difficulty increase at minimum tenfold within 3 months of first product shipping.
Damn idk why I didn't catch that!
That bumps his profit numbers up another 150. Again, I think that's too optimistic, but w/e. 
All we know is that it won't be more than their current products, so < 80W for the SC Single, and < 1250W for the SC MR.
Keeping the 80W draw in mind,
Bitcoin difficulty : 5388095.905910 (Once it doubles)
Drop is reward : 25
Keeping in mind that the Conversion rate doesn't change ( Which it probably will) 11.84 per bitcoin
Mining at 3.5Ghash/s
Power Consumption : 80w
Electricity rate: .15kWh
Time Frame: 18 months
Cost of mining hardware : 168 USD
That will return you close to 1,000 dollars.
Not a bad investment. With a 18month turn around.
The 80W draw quoted is for the Single. The 3.5GH you've used is for the Jalapeno, which is USB powered (assuming USB3, that's less than 4.5W).
You'll probably see difficulty increase at minimum tenfold within 3 months of first product shipping.
I'm assuming you're just plugging those numbers into here: http://bitcoinx.com/profit/index.php
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
I'm hoping that the difficulty doesn't go too much further than doubling. I know the ASCI will cause a spike, but it will settle after a little. As in every market, new technology will cause surge but the market will come to a balance again.
When doing my own calcs, I've been counting on a 10x increase. I'd rather it be lower and get more than I expected than to get my hopes up and be disappointed.
I've been thinking around 10,000,000 difficulty at least= 120 TH network total by late Nov early Dec
Until Jan/Feb/March,then maybe 300 TH network total=40,000,000 difficulty
I'm assuming you're just plugging those numbers into here: http://bitcoinx.com/profit/index.php
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
I'm hoping that the difficulty doesn't go too much further than doubling. I know the ASCI will cause a spike, but it will settle after a little. As in every market, new technology will cause surge but the market will come to a balance again.
When doing my own calcs, I've been counting on a 10x increase. I'd rather it be lower and get more than I expected than to get my hopes up and be disappointed.
I'm assuming you're just plugging those numbers into here: http://bitcoinx.com/profit/index.php
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
I'm hoping that the difficulty doesn't go too much further than doubling. I know the ASCI will cause a spike, but it will settle after a little. As in every market, new technology will cause surge but the market will come to a balance again.
I'm assuming you're just plugging those numbers into here: http://bitcoinx.com/profit/index.php
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
Now remember that the difficulty is expected to more than just double. Try sticking another 1 in front of that difficulty, or lowering the profitability decline down to 0.20.
They are great little units by today's standards! But you wont make $1000USD over 18 months..
All we know is that it won't be more than their current products, so < 80W for the SC Single, and < 1250W for the SC MR.
Keeping the 80W draw in mind,
Bitcoin difficulty : 5388095.905910 (Once it doubles)
Drop is reward : 25
Keeping in mind that the Conversion rate doesn't change ( Which it probably will) 11.84 per bitcoin
Mining at 3.5Ghash/s
Power Consumption : 80w
Electricity rate: .15kWh
Time Frame: 18 months
Cost of mining hardware : 168 USD
That will return you close to 1,000 dollars.
Not a bad investment. With a 18month turn around.
All we know is that it won't be more than their current products, so < 80W for the SC Single, and < 1250W for the SC MR.
Does anyone have any information about predicted power draw of the SC's? 
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