Do you think Chinese New Year will really influence on Bitcoin price? Why would China influence on Bitcoin, since they have banned it? If the price starts to drop, that it is obvious speculation and holders should not worry about it much. Everything about China and cryptocurrency I dont take serious anymore. Check out Bitcoin prices last year during Chinese New Year. It rose from $33k to $48k. So it last year Chinese New Year helped Bitcoin.
China sacrificed its influence on crypto universe on the moment they completely banned it and hunted crypto businesses down on their territory. Glad these companies fastly migrated to another countries and settled their operations again without much prejudice to the market.
Take a look on February 1 - February 12 in 2020. Bitcoin price barely showed any major change. It even gained few hundreds. But in March there was a significant price drop. Same period in 2019 - again no significant price changes in Bitcoin. I dont count gains and looses of a hundred dollars as an influence from Chinese New Year. For me, Chinese New Year in crypto is a fairy tale to scare new people and be a reason to hide speculations. Moreover, why would Bitcoin be afraid from someone that has banned it?
I don't think that the Chinese New Year or any holiday for that matter has an effect on the price.
We all have heard about this in 2018 and then 2019 when people around are shouting that the price will go up after Chinese New Year because they are going back to invest again. But it was not the case because obviously, it was already a bear cycle. And that is what we are experiencing right now.
If majority of people believe that there's something will happen at that day then provably we can see a short term effect knowing the hype could build up if many people talk about something good on bitcoin especially if the person who talk about it is an influencial person who want to manipulate the peoples outlook towards current condition. But this is only have less chance knowing that bear market scare is more doninant these days.