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Topic: Is anyone worried how fast BTC is climbing in price? - page 5. (Read 8435 times)

sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
No. Second Market entering bitcoin market can easily quadruple the price in just few months. $200 is peanuts.

Bitcoin has yet a long way to go to reach the market can of Angry Birds., which is around $7 billion http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2141123/Angry-Birds-creators-float-stock-market-5-5-BILLION-puzzle-game-hits-200-million-users-month.html Wink

Bitcoin barely made it past $2billion.
legendary
Activity: 1002
Merit: 1000
Bitcoin
1 year !




sorry for the bad crop in the previous post !
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
Y axis are $, but some are missing a 0.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
I'm a bit worried.  Smiley

Took some decent profits already... had to, really. It went up so quickly while I was sleeping I couldn't move my limit orders... still got plenty to sell if this goes parabolic, though.  Smiley

This is parabolic now is it not?

To keep a realistic eye on the price, we must use a log scale graphic.. 1$ to 10$ is tenfold, as from 10$ to 100$, 100$ to 1000$.. That's why the log scale grapghic are way more realistic, from an investment point of view.

I dont see any parabolic or bubble here yet :



Whats on the y axis?
legendary
Activity: 1002
Merit: 1000
Bitcoin
I'm a bit worried.  Smiley

Took some decent profits already... had to, really. It went up so quickly while I was sleeping I couldn't move my limit orders... still got plenty to sell if this goes parabolic, though.  Smiley

This is parabolic now is it not?

To keep a realistic eye on the price, we must use a log scale graphic.. 1$ to 10$ is tenfold, as from 10$ to 100$, 100$ to 1000$.. That's why the log scale grapghic are way more realistic, from an investment point of view.

I dont see any parabolic or bubble here yet :

sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
The price is going up too fast. High risk of bubbling.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Annuit cœptis humanae libertas
-your grandma starts mining altcoin

LOL! Shocked

One of my grandmothers is pretty much 100 years old, and surprisingly sharp and sprightly for someone whose lifespan covers what appears to most of us like almost an eternity, but she barely manages to use a PC with dial-up modem to be honest. I can just envisage her setting up a bank of LTC FPGAs... hahaha... Grin
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
S-curve of course, but that S doesn't start inflecting until wayyyyyyyy later, like when a significant percentage of the population owns a significant amount of BTC.

you know that bitcoin is mainstream when...

-there are loads of bitcoin magazines at the newsstands
-there are bitcoin tv shows on every channel
-the taxman starts accepting payments in btc
-a bitcoin wallet is a feature of windows 10
-reports about the first trillionaires hit the news
-your kid demands its pocket money in btc
-your grandma starts mining altcoin
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
S-curve of course, but that S doesn't start inflecting until wayyyyyyyy later, like when a significant percentage of the population owns a significant amount of BTC.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Chinese investment
sr. member
Activity: 509
Merit: 250
Disrupt the banking system!
I'm not shocked at the price gains. I think it's moreso the market movements.  Markets with the higher volumes, and more aggressive volumes, are the ones that will win in the long run.. and by win, I mean, control the overall price through leading other markets (Gox for example, 2 years ago).
copper member
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1007
Post your ann & bounty just contact me
Difficulty jumps at least 30% every 10 days, but we are just start to see a 30% rise in price since September, very reasonable pace

Is there a correlation you think?  I mean apart from possible ASIC companies pushing up price, so their business model does not fail?

Here is the 2013 chart I put together (you need FireFox to view though)

hero member
Activity: 615
Merit: 500
Nope, I don't trade bitcoin for "useless" fiat fraudster paper very often. I do flip altcoins, however. In future speculation I will keep a close eye on the gold price too, because if both bitcoin and gold are exploding versus USD, that is a clear sign of USD collapsing rather than commodities simply bubbling up.

You wouldn't want to buy my cold-stored bitcoin from me anyway because you can buy it on an exchange like Bitstamp or Coinbase for less than 0,1% of the price. Grin (Put another way, by the time my time comes round to selling BTC en masse, there won't be any need to.)

legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1020
Some notes to remember about Bitcoin.

1) It's a different market, and the world hasn't seen one like it as far as I'm aware.  Thus, to make the assumption that you can analyze or predict the economy based upon effective market analysis tactics in the same way that you would analyze fiat currencies or the gold markets isn't necessarily true.

2) If you do some research about Bitcoin and simply look at the math behind it, mass adoption of Bitcoin would likely necessitate the formation of what would appear to be some of the most gargantuan bubbles ever seen.  Hell, even an influx of only 1% of the worlds GDP over the course of a few years would create a 'bubble' so large that our heads would be spinning in euphoric delirium.

3) New systems, let alone economic ones, are prone to mass instability/volatility.  They have to be, and this is an inevitable result between the ratio in size between the smaller system and the larger system(s) in which it is nested, and with which it receives and relays its inputs and outputs.  As systems grow and become more balanced, the effects of "extreme cases" (in Bitcoin, these are your whales and your 'manipulators') are minimized.

TL;DR:  If you've been around this market for more than a year or two, $20-$30 swings in a day isn't very shocking...you just take this into account when safeguarding your assets.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
Difficulty jumps at least 30% every 10 days, but we are just start to see a 30% rise in price since September, very reasonable pace
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
There are many peoples who don't know bitcoin yet so I believe price will be much higher than now. I don't worry about it.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
There are still SO many people who think parabolic is the only possible shape for price increases. S-shape is a perfectly viable option. And seeing as we aren't at the bottom of the $13-$266 jump, that wasn't parabolic in the sense that most people use the word.

"What goes up must come down" - yes but in what time-frame?

You could say the AM radio has become obsolete but there is one in almost every automobile in existence, as well as on countless portable CD/radio devices. It's so ubiquitous we don't even think about it anymore. S-shape.

Watch out for people who start out with an unstated assumption that parabola is the only possible shape for price moves, without even entertaining any other possibilities.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
awesome, please put it in memespeculation thread!  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1168
Merit: 1000
Adoption curve?    Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy





copper member
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1007
Post your ann & bounty just contact me



The Silk Road crash jerked us out of stability. The price is trying to find its new home.

I think the Silk Road Incident, was just capitulation.  When there is capitulation in the markets the price usually goes up (or down depending on the trend)


Does anyone have the figures for these charts?!?!  If I could get my hands on the

OHLC  (open-high-Low-close)  I can input it into my MetaStock EoD and analyse the charts.

The longer further back the better.

But I think it is the traders of BTC that is messing this up, they dont have to follow any rules here, it is out of the SEC (or any legal body's) jurisdiction.

With the added danger that BTC is getting the same level of Television Coverage as GM during Distribution Periods.

i just found the RAW DATA thanks to you guys, I will put a proper LOG chart


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