Bears out of hibernation, autumn might be more dangerous. We're back to the weekly average here which can be important to note in momentum terms:
If we close below here on a 4hr bar its reasonable price pulls back some but otherwise its likely to just continue to cycle and from a wider view go sideways overall.
From a trading point of view I want to see more action around the 50 day average, if that were to occur then we'll have a lower high here which can be said to be bearish in a more important way then just pure speculation and waves of trading. However overall the market is especially strong for some time now and any negative view should be in the minority.
Price to watch: 57493
Closing high of the mid point to FEB, consider it something of a pivot now to the sea-saw between bears and bulls
It is interesting, curiously at the moment the price is going down a bit, could it be a correction and will it recover quickly?
Looking at your analysis, it reminds me of when I read a Cointelegraph article that I quote here:
However, the bears are unlikely to give up easily. They are likely to pose a stiff challenge at $61,825.84. If the BTC/USD pair turns down from this level but stays above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest the sentiment remains bullish as traders are buying the dips.
A break below the 50-day simple moving average ($52,376) will be the first sign that bears are making a comeback.
Source:
https://cointelegraph.com/news/price-analysis-3-29-btc-eth-bnb-ada-dot-xrp-uni-theta-ltc-linkWhich is a technically possible scenario, plus it may also turn into a little bearish trap for some to sell bitcoin cheap.