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Topic: Is it possible that Bitcoin becomes quiescent? (Read 340 times)

sr. member
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November 17, 2019, 06:23:37 AM
#34
In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?

if later the supply of bitcoin runs out, of course these bitcoin miners will be very frustrated because miners will receive redward from a block with a very small amount that is only enough to pay the electricity bill from the mining results, and when this event happens it all depends on what bitcoin protocol they will be increase the supply of bitcoin, maybe if they don't add it I think this is the end of the bitcoin concept.
hero member
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I also think like that, what if bitcoin has run out in the mines, are there no more miners, but after I thought again, surely Satoshi Nakamoto designed bitcoin in such a way that this crypto will always go according to circumstances.

Oh, we meet again. Spamming, even more, are we? Vomiting out more mess over the forum? You make me sick. You have no self-respect and honestly, are you proud of yourself? You don't deserve to be paid for a single one of your posts.

Posting without thinking again.... Yes he designed the crypto so it would always work, you don't need bitcoins to mine when there are 21 million bitcoins (minus burnt ones) in circulation in transactions all the time. Plenty to go around.

You don't mine Bitcoin, you mine blocks, and you receive a reward from a diminishing pool. There are three incentives for miners in my opinion, the award from the diminishing pool, the transaction fees, and the convenience of transaction handling. Bitcoin is not really efficient for small daily transaction, and this has resulted in the rise of side chains and ATMs. The owners of these services could well become miners to gain a bit of control of their transactions. Transfers between large investment houses need to be performed away from the exchanges, and this could be an incentive for such houses to start mining. Similar considerations apply when countries start to pay for tanker loads of oil with Bitcoin. It already happens with gold, and Bitcoin is a natural alternative. All of these may be handled by private  mining investment houses.

Will Bitcoin become quiescent? Well it depends on your interpretation of Bitcoin. Will it become dormant? My belief is that it will continue to grow in importance. Will it become quiet? The answer to this is almost certainly yes. You just need to look at the old British Empire to realise how it will happen. Most people believe that the British Empire is no longer in existence, but the truth is far more disturbing. The wealth was transferred into pyramids of holding companies in offshore tax havens. This is often referred to as the "veil of tiers", and central banks were invented to allow the old dynasties to purchase most of the world assets through QE, and other mechanisms. It still exists as an Anglosphere empire, and you only need to look at the Brexit manipulation to realise this. Never underestimate their creativity, and some people believe that Bitcoin is their creation. We know that they are building great wealth through Bitcoin, but we don't know how they will be using this. If they create their own mining factories, and restrict transaction address acceptance to known associates, then non-elites will have to rely on a few independent miners, or pay high fees to be accepted by the investment miners.


I agree with you that bitcoin is not as suited as it could be for daily transactions but that is ok since we can just use it for bigger purchases and leave the small stuff like a cup of coffee to lite coin or doge XMR or whatever you prefer. For me, bitcoin does it's job and it does it well. Why do say mining gives you control of your own transactions? You don't choose which transactions to mine. Or do you mean you know that there will always be mining support for the transactions since you are contributing to the mining yourself? Gold is an ancient asset I don't see how bitcoin can be compared since it is a currency and gold was replaces long ago as a medium of trade. I don't understand your second paragraph it's beyond me so no comment this time. xP
hero member
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In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?

Using a transaction is not only in the form of reality. You can see daily transactions on coinmarketcap, how many bitcoins are in the top 3 for cryptocurrency transactions around the world. That indicates that bitcoin is still needed and will continue to be needed as the development of technology from the blockchain.

We will never know what will happen in the future, but we can only be speculative if there are currently more and more bitcoin users, it is likely that bitcoin will continue to grow in the future.
sr. member
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In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?
If we are going to look at bitcoin during those times where technology has already advanced massively and cryptocurrency is just a common currency, we can say that bitcoin may end up being quescent. Bitcoin has been mined for so long and there are some experts telling us that at some point of time, it will become inactive. Having that worst case scenario, we should be thankful because we may get to live in a world where bitcoin will still be mined and only those who lives on those years will experience the worst thing that may happen to bitcoin.
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In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?
I think the system of blockchain would make it work for those people who will be mining bitcoin in the future. As they mine blocks, it will just circulate making its value stay still or go higher if lots of transactions will be made. On the other hand, there's also a possibility that bitcoin would be quiscent as time passes by. It will end up being like fiat which has a small growth of value from time to time. Though that's the case, we should just focus on what we have right now and on what we can achieve in the future, let fate decide on what will happen to bitcoin as we vanish in this world.
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In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?
lol when adoption comes people will not storing bitcoin already because surely they will use this as transaction material.

we are storing this for now as we are looking for adaptation since thats the start that Bitcoin will reach the highest value it can ever had.

but right after that?the Bitcoins will be in circulation and may be used together with the legit altcoins
hero member
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If Bitcoin is store of value, it's certainly safe to say it has acceptance. As long as it has the acceptance, a lot of transaction will be confirmed daily. Look at the below attached image. Current daily average confirm is almost 300k, at its peak, it was more than 450k. Within 2130, I guess the acceptance will increase massively, hence the number of transaction as well. Therefore, if people will use it as store of value, people will also use it as medium of payment. I guess the daily average transaction by that time will increase to at least 100x or no transaction as like Satoshi Nakamoto speculated (Thank you Theymos for promoting the brilliant quotes of Satoshi).

legendary
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You don't mine Bitcoin, you mine blocks, and you receive a reward from a diminishing pool. There are three incentives for miners in my opinion, the award from the diminishing pool, the transaction fees, and the convenience of transaction handling. Bitcoin is not really efficient for small daily transaction, and this has resulted in the rise of side chains and ATMs. The owners of these services could well become miners to gain a bit of control of their transactions. Transfers between large investment houses need to be performed away from the exchanges, and this could be an incentive for such houses to start mining. Similar considerations apply when countries start to pay for tanker loads of oil with Bitcoin. It already happens with gold, and Bitcoin is a natural alternative. All of these may be handled by private  mining investment houses.

Will Bitcoin become quiescent? Well it depends on your interpretation of Bitcoin. Will it become dormant? My belief is that it will continue to grow in importance. Will it become quiet? The answer to this is almost certainly yes. You just need to look at the old British Empire to realise how it will happen. Most people believe that the British Empire is no longer in existence, but the truth is far more disturbing. The wealth was transferred into pyramids of holding companies in offshore tax havens. This is often referred to as the "veil of tiers", and central banks were invented to allow the old dynasties to purchase most of the world assets through QE, and other mechanisms. It still exists as an Anglosphere empire, and you only need to look at the Brexit manipulation to realise this. Never underestimate their creativity, and some people believe that Bitcoin is their creation. We know that they are building great wealth through Bitcoin, but we don't know how they will be using this. If they create their own mining factories, and restrict transaction address acceptance to known associates, then non-elites will have to rely on a few independent miners, or pay high fees to be accepted by the investment miners.

sr. member
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In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?
In my opinion there will still be transactions but with the consequence transaction costs will be high because that is the market law.
The smaller the number of transactions, the higher the transaction costs and vice versa. But I'm sure bitcoin in the future is not only an asset for wealth, but is also used as a universal payment tool in all sectors.
Because on the other hand there are still many altcoins that might still be able to coexist with bitcoin.
sr. member
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In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?

That's a long way to go and we are not there anymore to see what would be the scenario and the events that's going to happen after all Bitcoin are mined, but our next generation of holders and miners will have a fix for this, maybe in the future, future generation will have free electricity, because inventors and creators keeps inventing to the betterment of humanity, I'm sure electricity and power will be one of them.
sr. member
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There is a possibility but the chances are low. Being dormant relies on public demand, and we cannot tell but of Bitcoin would still improve over that time, like faster transactions and overall improvements in performance, then it might not happen. By that time, technology would also improve such as having faster and cheaper mining components that would make mining profitable even only with transaction fees.
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In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?
That question is asked pretty often. No one can exactly say what will happen but I think situation will go like this:
At some point bitcoin is similar to gold, it has miners too like bitcoin. When all gold will be mined, employees will be out of job (maybe? or start digging in different and different places) --- when all bitcoin will be mined, miners won't be out of job. Because here we have transaction fees which needs miners to confirm it. Nowdays tx fee doesn't seem huge in usd yeah? But what about if bitcoin rises and becomes for example 100K and even more? Just imagine, then transaction fees which currently seems for example 500$, will be 50 000$ which is pretty amazing and close to mining reward.
sr. member
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I also think like that, what if bitcoin has run out in the mines, are there no more miners, but after I thought again, surely Satoshi Nakamoto designed bitcoin in such a way that this crypto will always go according to circumstances.
sr. member
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In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?
Yes, It would be really a problem to the crypto community if the remaining bitcoins will already mined then it would be really become a huge problem because the produces of bitcoin will be lessen as well as the transaction in which this transaction is one of the very most important factor, because just what like you've said transaction fees are the rewards for the bitcoin that has been mined. But I think after this happens or maybe in the year 2130, bitcoin will stiill function and work because many people will still operate and use bitcoin so probably bitcoin will still work until that year comes.
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Perhaps after all coins are mined it would make sense to increase the block size to let more transactions in = higher payout for miners.
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There is still very little reward for miners until you are willing to invest heavy amount on mining hardware and electricity bills. In my view when all BTC are mined by 2140 then transaction fee will be adjusted in a way to compensate nodes that are taking care of the BTC network.
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Rewards are smaller, but the smallest pieces will become more expensive with higher transaction cycles, this will always be understood in every consensus that takes place. Even if there is an exodus from miners,they will understand that the network will continue to be involved in adjustment mode, so that bitcoin will continue to reflect circulation positively and develop better than before.
hero member
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In the year 2130 all of the Bitcoins will have been mined and the only reward at this point is transaction fees,if most people are using Bitcoin just as a store of wealth, then there are very few transactions, which means there is very little reward for mining and so a lot of computers would pull out of the Bitcoin network. Would this be a problem? If large Bitcoin transactions occured sparingly in 2130 and beyond, would the Bitcoin concept still work?
With the current 18 million supply and $8800 worth, there are billions of volumes, therefore there will be much more than that in 2130. If the bitcoin was the only coin on the market, it could be right but the use of bitcoin to get others, and the possibility of being useful as a future payment, rejects what you say. Years later, there is even the possibility that it will be used instead of the states' money.
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Most likely not, the market will not allow it to be in the same price for a long time.
legendary
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This was my fear with the introduction on the side-chain technologies like the Lightning Network too, because most transactions will move off-chain and then there will be a significant drop in the on-chain transactions in the future.

Looking at it now, I realize that channels needs to be opened and closed and those actions will generate transactions in the future. A lot of other projects will also use smart contracts and these transactions will be done on-chain, so these projects will stimulate transactions in the future.

Bitcoin is just one giant experiment and a lot of businesses built their business around it, so I doubt that they would just leave it to die, they might create a mining project, just to maintain their core business, even if that is not profitable.  Wink
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