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I think if this is carried out massively and orderly the recession that everyone is afraid of will pass quickly.
If the Fed continues to raise interest rates at high levels, inflation will fall rapidly, but too high interest rates can also lead to a recession. As far as I see now, we have not really entered a recession, although the crisis is still very serious, the unemployment rate is still not too high and the demand for spending has not fallen seriously. It can be said that we have not entered the recession period yet, recession and crisis are quite similar, but recession will be much worse than now.
I don't think it's going to be as bad as you think as everyone prepares to fight a recession. What I mean by an increase in interest rates is not an increase in scale, but it needs to be played or can be said to be a tug-of-war to see the line of stability for global economic growth. a recession will occur for countries that are too dependent on other countries.
The occurrence of a recession is caused by a decline in a country's economic growth which has been negative for two consecutive quarters. This condition is affected by the instability of investment, national income, consumption, spending, to export-import.
I think, the US announcement last July, was enough for every country to prepare and anticipate a global recession.
I also believe that there will be a recession but not on a global scale, the recession will have more impact on countries that are dependent on other countries.