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Topic: Is shorting BTC possible? (Read 3842 times)

wb3
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 11
^Check Out^ Isle 3
April 28, 2011, 05:36:55 PM
#29
Lets see how it would work,

You pay me 1 BTC / per month to control 1000 BTC that I won't really give you (I just credit it to you). If the value of the BTC goes down. Buy back the 1000BTC and repay me the 1000 BTC. You reap the difference in the exchange. I never really risked anything.

IRL, I would give you the 1000BTC as a loan, if the value falls, you buy another 1000 BTC at the cheaper exchange, pay back the loan and keep the difference, (minus the fees).

Shorting is gambling, but a little better, it is gambling with OPM (other peoples money). And that is not done with anonymity, people want to know who's nose to bleed.

I already explained how I believe it could work in post #5 of this thread. Basically, you don't lend them to me and let me sell them. You sell them for me (on the open market), while holding my dollars "hostage" and let me decide when to buy them back. This way you are simply gambling with your own money, since if you are wrong, the lender is still in full control and will force you to buy back the BTC if the exchange rate gets too high.

So you send me say $1000 dollars, and I don't give you the BTC. I just convert the BTC for you. Then you decide when you get to buy back the BTC that I didn't give you but will when you buy them back.

OK, deal.

But I won't buy the BTC, ahead of time, I will just say I did. You will have the $1000 dollar credit, still.  Then when you want to buy the BTC, I will then buy the BTC and give them to you.

I will do this for a fee of 1%, plus I get the interest on the $1000. Of course the fee will be consistent with the DTC (Days to Cover)

Your not really shorting anything, because I am just waiting for your next order before I take action. I will be shorting with you basically but I can't lose. I would even give you an ∞ DTC in case BTC doesn't fall for a 5% / mo

You would still make the difference profits cause I will pass that on to you for a zero sum, so from your point of view you won the bet. From my point of view, I say make another bet.

All the exchange would have to do is match your funds incase of an increase. In which case in reality, your short position is my PUT position. Either way I PUT it to you.
sr. member
Activity: 323
Merit: 251
April 28, 2011, 04:48:34 PM
#28
Lets see how it would work,

You pay me 1 BTC / per month to control 1000 BTC that I won't really give you (I just credit it to you). If the value of the BTC goes down. Buy back the 1000BTC and repay me the 1000 BTC. You reap the difference in the exchange. I never really risked anything.

IRL, I would give you the 1000BTC as a loan, if the value falls, you buy another 1000 BTC at the cheaper exchange, pay back the loan and keep the difference, (minus the fees).

Shorting is gambling, but a little better, it is gambling with OPM (other peoples money). And that is not done with anonymity, people want to know who's nose to bleed.

I already explained how I believe it could work in post #5 of this thread. Basically, you don't lend them to me and let me sell them. You sell them for me (on the open market), while holding my dollars "hostage" and let me decide when to buy them back. This way you are simply gambling with your own money, since if you are wrong, the lender is still in full control and will force you to buy back the BTC if the exchange rate gets too high.

shorting is done by the shorter.  it has to be controlled by the one doing the shorting b/c the timing is critical.  if you leave it up to the one who owns the coin you'd have no control of when he executes the trade.  suppose you asked me to short btc for you today and i decided to do it this morning instead of this afternoon.  you'd already have lost a bunch.
Not if you were a server that responded instantly.

Read post #5 again. I really don't see the issues with that implementation. It leaves the shorter in control of the timing and the other part in control of the risk.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
April 28, 2011, 04:01:20 PM
#27
Lets see how it would work,

You pay me 1 BTC / per month to control 1000 BTC that I won't really give you (I just credit it to you). If the value of the BTC goes down. Buy back the 1000BTC and repay me the 1000 BTC. You reap the difference in the exchange. I never really risked anything.

IRL, I would give you the 1000BTC as a loan, if the value falls, you buy another 1000 BTC at the cheaper exchange, pay back the loan and keep the difference, (minus the fees).

Shorting is gambling, but a little better, it is gambling with OPM (other peoples money). And that is not done with anonymity, people want to know who's nose to bleed.

I already explained how I believe it could work in post #5 of this thread. Basically, you don't lend them to me and let me sell them. You sell them for me (on the open market), while holding my dollars "hostage" and let me decide when to buy them back. This way you are simply gambling with your own money, since if you are wrong, the lender is still in full control and will force you to buy back the BTC if the exchange rate gets too high.

shorting is done by the shorter.  it has to be controlled by the one doing the shorting b/c the timing is critical.  if you leave it up to the one who owns the coin you'd have no control of when he executes the trade.  suppose you asked me to short btc for you today and i decided to do it this morning instead of this afternoon.  you'd already have lost a bunch.
sr. member
Activity: 323
Merit: 251
April 28, 2011, 03:51:43 PM
#26
Lets see how it would work,

You pay me 1 BTC / per month to control 1000 BTC that I won't really give you (I just credit it to you). If the value of the BTC goes down. Buy back the 1000BTC and repay me the 1000 BTC. You reap the difference in the exchange. I never really risked anything.

IRL, I would give you the 1000BTC as a loan, if the value falls, you buy another 1000 BTC at the cheaper exchange, pay back the loan and keep the difference, (minus the fees).

Shorting is gambling, but a little better, it is gambling with OPM (other peoples money). And that is not done with anonymity, people want to know who's nose to bleed.

I already explained how I believe it could work in post #5 of this thread. Basically, you don't lend them to me and let me sell them. You sell them for me (on the open market), while holding my dollars "hostage" and let me decide when to buy them back. This way you are simply gambling with your own money, since if you are wrong, the lender is still in full control and will force you to buy back the BTC if the exchange rate gets too high.
wb3
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 11
^Check Out^ Isle 3
April 28, 2011, 03:35:21 PM
#25
Possible but not practical. You would need to have some one loan(give an option) you the stock, BTC, (for a fee) with a promise of returning them at a future date. Then if the BTC falls you can buy them at a lower price an return the BTC to the owner.

Basically Margin accounts. Buy on credit. This will not happen in a system with anonymity. Or it shouldn't. However, it could be possible between exchanges but that would be scary.

Lets see how it would work,

You pay me 1 BTC / per month to control 1000 BTC that I won't really give you (I just credit it to you). If the value of the BTC goes down. Buy back the 1000BTC and repay me the 1000 BTC. You reap the difference in the exchange. I never really risked anything.

IRL, I would give you the 1000BTC as a loan, if the value falls, you buy another 1000 BTC at the cheaper exchange, pay back the loan and keep the difference, (minus the fees).

Shorting is gambling, but a little better, it is gambling with OPM (other peoples money). And that is not done with anonymity, people want to know who's nose to bleed.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
April 28, 2011, 02:17:58 PM
#24
no one wants him to succeed more than me.  in fact i'm a huge supporter of his judging from the volume i do with him.  i'll shut up happily when he gets his act together.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 13
April 28, 2011, 01:58:06 PM
#23
I have been trying to time any emails to him with respect to the fact that he is porbably 13 or 14 hours ahead of me so that may be why I have been fortunate with quick responses.

the exchange is a 24/7 service with problems that could happen while he's sleeping.  let me put it a different way:  we  all love btc b/c its a distributed network with redundancy built in to prevent a takedown.  mtgox is the antithesis of this.  why should we depend on one person?

This is a fair point, and one day, we hope bitcoin will be big enough to profitably support an exchange with 24/7 support.  Right now, mtgox is bitcoin's "big" exchange... and you can see that the definition of "big" is quite small.

MagicalTux lives in Japan, so it is likely that he is asleep when you're awake, and vice versa.

legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
April 28, 2011, 11:44:56 AM
#22
I have been trying to time any emails to him with respect to the fact that he is porbably 13 or 14 hours ahead of me so that may be why I have been fortunate with quick responses.

the exchange is a 24/7 service with problems that could happen while he's sleeping.  let me put it a different way:  we  all love btc b/c its a distributed network with redundancy built in to prevent a takedown.  mtgox is the antithesis of this.  why should we depend on one person?
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
April 28, 2011, 10:49:43 AM
#21
I have been trying to time any emails to him with respect to the fact that he is porbably 13 or 14 hours ahead of me so that may be why I have been fortunate with quick responses.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
April 28, 2011, 08:11:11 AM
#20
Yes on firefox I've been able to cancel orders to adjust rates with no issues, i've actually mostly used my iphone to do this and it hasn't been an issue at all.  Also Mark has been really quick to answer my couple of emails and each time he's been really helpful.

Mark responsiveness has been spotty for me.  as a newbie, i don't know if i just caught him at a bad time with his Japan travels or what.  one of his excuses was that he was asleep when i emailed him. well it took him 12 hrs to get back to me.  if ur trading pennies or small dollars u might say this isn't a big deal.  but in the instance i describe above, it involved thousands of dollars. i understand that this technology is early and that he doesn't have a support staff.  my counter to that tho is look at all the money being traded daily.  i refuse to believe that i am the only one experiencing these issues.  if he wants his business to grow someone has to be immediately available for support.  mtgox is the current std for pricing this mkt so its role is critical.  professionals have or will enter this mkt and he has to be ready.  they, we, or i are compulsive ppl unlike he might be used to dealing with.  i have to give him credit tho in one instance he did exactly what i wanted but only after i brought my issue up here on the forum.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
April 28, 2011, 08:03:36 AM
#19
as far as mtgox is concerned, i can only say Thank God for all u guys who have explained the problems and the solutions more clearly and responsively than the owners of the site.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
April 28, 2011, 08:01:44 AM
#18
Yes on firefox I've been able to cancel orders to adjust rates with no issues, i've actually mostly used my iphone to do this and it hasn't been an issue at all.  Also Mark has been really quick to answer my couple of emails and each time he's been really helpful.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
April 28, 2011, 08:00:20 AM
#17
i assume you're referring to the Depth Table?  i can see that but there are no links or buttons that allow or even imply an ability to cancel an order.  i'm using Mac OSX Snow Leopard.  anyone else with same problem?

The only browser that is stable with MTGox is Firefox.

i am using Firefox.  heres some of the problems as i see it.  u enter your order and click Buy.  beneath the Buy Bitcoin button u see a line popup saying Buying Bitcoins.  this lasts a second or two but then ur left with the same window with your order numbers still in place.  in a professional trading program a separate window pops up listing out ur order and indicating clearly that the order went thru and is complete.  in mtgox, ur left wondering what happened, so in my case i pushed it again and again and again.  with the list of orders so far down the page on my laptop i didn't realize i was initiating multiple orders when i only wanted one.  so then after multiple pushes i go over to the acct history button and i can see that i've purchased multiple times even tho i could have just scrolled down the page.  in one order i set a limit price in USD and for some reason it bought me those btc at a slightly higher price.  emailed Mag Tux for explanation but no reply.  of course now i know to scroll down the Trade page after hitting the Buy button but a newbie, like i was, wouldn't know that necessarily.  i can't believe i'm the only one this happened to.  expensive lesson.  on one of these inadvertent multiple orders it took my balance to zero.  at that pt i didn't realize i had left a trail of limit bid orders on the Depth page.  a few days later i wired more money and the instant it was posted to my acct the program initiated all those buys b/c the market price was below those limit orders.  nasty surprise.  the program should eliminate all those orders if ur balance has been zeroed out.  this also creates a false impression of the depth of the market for all market participants b/c those bids would still be up if i hadn't sent more money.
legendary
Activity: 1222
Merit: 1016
Live and Let Live
April 28, 2011, 07:05:26 AM
#16
i assume you're referring to the Depth Table?  i can see that but there are no links or buttons that allow or even imply an ability to cancel an order.  i'm using Mac OSX Snow Leopard.  anyone else with same problem?

The only browser that is stable with MTGox is Firefox.
newbie
Activity: 20
Merit: 0
April 28, 2011, 07:00:58 AM
#15
i assume you're referring to the Depth Table?  i can see that but there are no links or buttons that allow or even imply an ability to cancel an order.  i'm using Mac OSX Snow Leopard.  anyone else with same problem?

It's at the bottom of the trade page, below the forms for buying and selling there is a table of your open orders with an option to cancel.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
April 28, 2011, 06:52:32 AM
#14
i assume you're referring to the Depth Table?  i can see that but there are no links or buttons that allow or even imply an ability to cancel an order.  i'm using Mac OSX Snow Leopard.  anyone else with same problem?
full member
Activity: 144
Merit: 100
April 28, 2011, 02:04:33 AM
#13
cypherdoc, it sounds like you are unable to see the table of open orders on the Trade page.  From there you can cancel open orders.  If you have an open order without enough funds and funds later become available, the order becomes active and can execute unexpectedly if you weren't aware of it.

There used to be a bug in the site layout where the table was placed below a very large empty space if the browser window was too narrow.  I didn't see the table and thus had similar problems to the ones you describe.  The layout bug has been fixed for me for a long time, but perhaps your browser is still affected.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
April 28, 2011, 12:43:04 AM
#12
another example today is i put in a buy limit order at a specific price for a certain #btc.  somehow my order got filled at a higher price than the limit price. 
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
April 28, 2011, 12:30:42 AM
#11
as a user of mtgox i can say they can barely handle this fx much to my chagrin.  theres all sorts of bugs in their protocol as far as i'm concerned

Specific technical details, please.

Otherwise, this is just FUD.



today my wire hit their acct at 10:39 am and  6 separate buys were executed simultaneously at this time w/o me even entering in the order.  i have an email out to the owner of the site asking for an explanation and no response and it is 12 h later.  another thing is if you enter an order which is not completely filled you are stuck with that order.  you can't take it down.  i have alot of experience with stock trading on commercial programs and this mtgox is rudimentary in comparison.  communication with the owners is difficult at best.  i think they're trying their best but it seems to be run by just Magical Tux and he is a busy guy (i hear he's travelling in Japan and i wouldn't be so available either if i was doing that) and can't/won't answer all my questions or concerns.  considering the amount of money and the volume of trades going on now he needs to consider some help to keep customers happy some of whom are trading big money.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 13
April 28, 2011, 12:11:30 AM
#10
as a user of mtgox i can say they can barely handle this fx much to my chagrin.  theres all sorts of bugs in their protocol as far as i'm concerned

Specific technical details, please.

Otherwise, this is just FUD.

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