Maybe , time will tell, or the opposite happens as in the real world and the small players quit because they don't make enough profit to keep doing it,
Hmm, Electricity costs money, VPS costs money, the very definition of small in reference above is that the small hubs have less resources to draw upon.
Thinking people are going to keep spending time and money on something that has no profit in it ,
that is a hobby and hobbies can only be maintained by drawing upon another economic resource.
Hobbies are fun, but they are the 1st thing people drop in hard times.
Competing with a large hub , which is making profits means the large hub can continue improving while the small hub continues to do less,
until no one uses the hobby hub.
If you want a real world examples, look at modern farming , the statement Get Large or Get out is used by many in agriculture.
Larger operations always push out smaller ones, a study of walmart verses mom & pop store is a proven point.
Doubtful LN hubs will be any different.
If you had read the FINCERN article , You realize: Blockchains & miners have been granted immunity from being convicted as money transmitters according to FINCERN.
LN Hubs have been granted no such immunity , and since they create their own promissory notes to pay in bitcoin or whatever else, directly face prosecution as a money transmitter.
And the US isn't the only country in the world to run a LN hub ...
True the US is not the only country in the world.
But they are the only country to tax their citizens even if they make money in another country, and have proven they can force other countries to comply.
Any LN hub , no matter what the country , if they process funds of a US citizen will be held to the US AML/KYC regulations, US Gov are pricks like that.
Plus other countries Japan/South Korea/China/Canda/Europe and others all have their own AML/KYC regulations,
there is really almost no where to be a money transmitter without regulations, if you know of one post it.
KYC is easily solvable, it just requires that any one you allow to use your hubs give you their ID and you file it in your records and report people to the feds,
when they exceed their regulations on money transfer.
But you have to in addition to following their KYC regulations also purchase a Money transmitter license and that is the rub.
Your small time hubs can not afford the time or money to be a legitimate money transmitter , because they don't have the resources,
and that was an intended consequence from the very design of LN by blockstream ,
so that Banks would be the only ones able to maintain LN and gain complete control over bitcoin.