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Topic: Is the US national "debt" an illusion? (Read 6666 times)

legendary
Activity: 868
Merit: 1006
June 22, 2015, 02:08:38 PM
#93
The irony on all of this is that all money is debt if you think about it, so it basically means if all debt were to be paid, there would be no money available.. kinda of a mindfuck. Currency nowadays is just a mere money token, or coupon. Real money is gold and silver, and Bitcoin is the new real money. If the debt stops growing, the world's monetary fiat ponzi implodes.
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000
June 22, 2015, 12:36:41 PM
#92
It can't be illusion as there are physical records of liability. If there were no records and still claims, it could be considered as an illusion but unfortunately that is not the case. The US is under a debt of about  $16.394 Trillion Dollars. United States owes a lot of money. US debt is larger than the size of the economy  Shocked The debt ceiling is currently set at $16.394 Trillion and approaching rapidly  Cry

The OP compares the outstanding debt of the US with its assets/wealth. That is why there is a question on whether the debt is an illusion.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
June 22, 2015, 11:08:53 AM
#91
The issue is not as much the ratio of debt to wealth as much as it is the ability to pay off the debt.
Any other country with such high levels of debt/GDP would have a much lower rating from the rating agencies.
The US manages to get away with it because of its size.

There is no doubt that the United states of America national debt is not an illusion, since US is a super nuclear powered country, it spends it lot of budget on Defense department. Also note that it stands first major export for arms, missiles, and Defense Technology to all over the countries in the world, Russia stands Second next to the US in the world.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
June 22, 2015, 07:15:08 AM
#90
It can't be illusion as there are physical records of liability. If there were no records and still claims, it could be considered as an illusion but unfortunately that is not the case. The US is under a debt of about  $16.394 Trillion Dollars. United States owes a lot of money. US debt is larger than the size of the economy  Shocked The debt ceiling is currently set at $16.394 Trillion and approaching rapidly  Cry
legendary
Activity: 4438
Merit: 3387
June 22, 2015, 02:39:57 AM
#89
Wouldn't the total yearly budget deficit be destroyed simply by adding a surtax to the incomes of the super mega duper millionaires? Start with those who whine that their rates are too low - change their rates to 70% of their income or something, and disallow all deductions. And to harden social security, make their social security tax to be 15% of their income.
France actually tried something to that effect. Though I don't know how it fared in the long run (I guess we should ask Arthur Laffer), but I heard some celebrities giving up their French citizenship...
That's indeed the problem, when you tax the super rich guess what happens... they leave to Switzerland and alike places. The only thing that could stop them is public shame, so those that are public figures (top athletes, actors, etc) are risking that their native fanbase starts hating on them. But the anonymous rich bankers and so on? these guys simply don't give a fuck, they'll just move the money.

The U.S. is different. Leaving the U.S. doesn't matter. If you are a U.S. citizen, you must pay income tax no matter where you are in the world. The only way out is to renounce your citizenship, and even then you are handed a hefty tax bill.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1028
June 21, 2015, 07:46:24 PM
#88
Wouldn't the total yearly budget deficit be destroyed simply by adding a surtax to the incomes of the super mega duper millionaires? Start with those who whine that their rates are too low - change their rates to 70% of their income or something, and disallow all deductions. And to harden social security, make their social security tax to be 15% of their income.

France actually tried something to that effect. Though I don't know how it fared in the long run (I guess we should ask Arthur Laffer), but I heard some celebrities giving up their French citizenship...

Can't the top of the pyramid tier rich sacrifice just a little? do it at least to sustain social cohesion? because we are headed towards mass riots at this point. Who wants to be rich in a shitty world anyway?

Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if that blood is your own

That's indeed the problem, when you tax the super rich guess what happens... they leave to Switzerland and alike places. The only thing that could stop them is public shame, so those that are public figures (top athletes, actors, etc) are risking that their native fanbase starts hating on them. But the anonymous rich bankers and so on? these guys simply don't give a fuck, they'll just move the money.
legendary
Activity: 3486
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
June 19, 2015, 01:27:32 PM
#87
Wouldn't the total yearly budget deficit be destroyed simply by adding a surtax to the incomes of the super mega duper millionaires? Start with those who whine that their rates are too low - change their rates to 70% of their income or something, and disallow all deductions. And to harden social security, make their social security tax to be 15% of their income.

France actually tried something to that effect. Though I don't know how it fared in the long run (I guess we should ask Arthur Laffer), but I heard some celebrities giving up their French citizenship...

Can't the top of the pyramid tier rich sacrifice just a little? do it at least to sustain social cohesion? because we are headed towards mass riots at this point. Who wants to be rich in a shitty world anyway?

Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if that blood is your own
legendary
Activity: 3486
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
June 19, 2015, 08:53:14 AM
#86
In today's context, a world war is unlikely. Countries have too much to lose by going to war.
The US, however, might attack any country which is an irritant. Suppose the Sauds decide they want to price oil in Euros, they won't last very long.  Smiley

there are some poor countries that may go in war, they have nothing to lose, and much to gain if they can win the war, but their problem is that they don't hold a large military weapons, hence they prefer to leave the thing as they are now, the best they can do is helping another country or another movements, like ISIS, in destroying their enemies, if they share the same opponent

You may want to read what people thought on the eve of the WWI and how unaware they were of what lay ahead of them. The outbreak of war came as a complete surprise. It started as minor tensions between competing nationalisms in the Balkan cockpit swiftly evolved into a full-fledged warfare all over Europe (and beyond)...

Still wanna talk about some poor countries that have nothing to lose?
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1028
June 19, 2015, 08:36:54 AM
#85
All that wealth will soon evaporate when the markets crash. I keep telling my friend to sell their overpriced house, it's priced out of range for almost the whole target market and there is no upside. They have no plans to sell. It's too bad, when the house loses most of its value they'll probably sell. Real state investments are addictive and some people can't let go their properties even in critical situations.
hero member
Activity: 639
Merit: 500
June 19, 2015, 08:10:55 AM
#84
I have little doubt that US dollar is going to crash... crash really hard. I don't know when, perhaps not the next 5-10 years... but it will happen, and all the other fiat will follow. The result will either be world war or the build up of a new monetary system. In case we don't all die, then will gold,silver and digital currency play an important role in building up the new system.

It seems that you are confusing cause and effect. The end of many fiat systems had been a result of a preceding war (e.g. the spectacular destruction of the Weimar Republic monetary system after WWI). Needless to say that the present-day monetary system was established in 1944 when the end of the ongoing war was near while its results were abundantly clear...

So what you preach for may actually turn out to be nearer than you contemplate, though not in the order you assume

In today's context, a world war is unlikely. Countries have too much to lose by going to war.
The US, however, might attack any country which is an irritant. Suppose the Sauds decide they want to price oil in Euros, they won't last very long.  Smiley

there are some poor countries that may go in war, they have nothing to lose, and much to gain if they can win the war, but their problem is that they don't hold a large military weapons, hence they prefer to leave the thing as they are now, the best they can do is helping another country or another movements, like ISIS, in destroying their enemies, if they share the same opponent
legendary
Activity: 3486
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
June 19, 2015, 06:03:16 AM
#83
I have little doubt that US dollar is going to crash... crash really hard. I don't know when, perhaps not the next 5-10 years... but it will happen, and all the other fiat will follow. The result will either be world war or the build up of a new monetary system. In case we don't all die, then will gold,silver and digital currency play an important role in building up the new system.

It seems that you are confusing cause and effect. The end of many fiat systems had been a result of a preceding war (e.g. the spectacular destruction of the Weimar Republic monetary system after WWI). Needless to say that the present-day monetary system was established in 1944 when the end of the ongoing war was near while its results were abundantly clear...

So what you preach for may actually turn out to be nearer than you contemplate, though not in the order you assume

In today's context, a world war is unlikely. Countries have too much to lose by going to war.
The US, however, might attack any country which is an irritant. Suppose the Sauds decide they want to price oil in Euros, they won't last very long.  Smiley

The First World War had been even more inconceivable back then, right on the verge of it. No one could even dare to think when it will start, how bloody it will be, or how long it will last. It happened all of a sudden and then belligerent nations went totally mad. Saudis can't decide to price oil in Euros since they are allowed to sell oil for the US dollars in the first place, and then invest the proceeds into the US Treasuries...
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1026
★Nitrogensports.eu★
June 18, 2015, 07:56:44 PM
#82
I have little doubt that US dollar is going to crash... crash really hard. I don't know when, perhaps not the next 5-10 years... but it will happen, and all the other fiat will follow. The result will either be world war or the build up of a new monetary system. In case we don't all die, then will gold,silver and digital currency play an important role in building up the new system.

It seems that you are confusing cause and effect. The end of many fiat systems had been a result of a preceding war (e.g. the spectacular destruction of the Weimar Republic monetary system after WWI). Needless to say that the present-day monetary system was established in 1944 when the end of the ongoing war was near while its results were abundantly clear...

So what you preach for may actually turn out to be nearer than you contemplate, though not in the order you assume

In today's context, a world war is unlikely. Countries have too much to lose by going to war.
The US, however, might attack any country which is an irritant. Suppose the Sauds decide they want to price oil in Euros, they won't last very long.  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3486
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
June 18, 2015, 05:12:32 PM
#81
I have little doubt that US dollar is going to crash... crash really hard. I don't know when, perhaps not the next 5-10 years... but it will happen, and all the other fiat will follow. The result will either be world war or the build up of a new monetary system. In case we don't all die, then will gold,silver and digital currency play an important role in building up the new system.

It seems that you are confusing cause and effect. The end of many fiat systems had been a result of a preceding war (e.g. the spectacular destruction of the Weimar Republic monetary system after WWI). Needless to say that the present-day monetary system was established in 1944 when the end of the ongoing war was near while its results were abundantly clear...

So what you preach for may actually turn out to be nearer than you contemplate, though not in the order you assume
newbie
Activity: 19
Merit: 0
June 16, 2015, 02:22:44 PM
#80
I tend to agree with many of the forward-thinking viewpoints that are shared on forums like this. However, I feel there is misinformation being circulated regarding the US national debt. The core question that must be answered: What is the national wealth?

Private wealth in the US is almost $70 trillion. But dig deeper: What is the mineral wealth in our national parkland? What are the Rocky Mountains, Mendocino County, and ANWR worth? What is the aggregate oil wealth in public lands? What is the value of the US military in the jungle of international relations?

I argue that the $18 Trillion national debt pales in comparison to the national wealth of the United States. There is no better example of this than the revenue generated from Obama's successful energy exploration campaign.

When you take a look at the massive swaths of valuable land held by the federal government, it becomes clear that the total federally-owned real estate, oil, minerals, etc. within the borders of the USA could be valued in the quadrillions of dollars.

One thing has become increasingly clear to me: the United States HAS debt, but it is really not IN debt.

The purpose of the Federal Reserve is to govern the people through the money supply. The threat of hyperinflation or deflationary depression is exaggerated. The resource wealth of the United States - as well as the large, rich, taxable population - provides a backstop that keeps our currency strong, even in expansionary environments.

I believe this backstop is far more valuable than prior generations' use of precious metal reserves. I concede gold and silver are more tangible, but defining the national wealth by reserves of scarce metals is nothing more than a form of social brainwashing intended to keep resource-rich Americans feeling poor.

Conspiracy theorists and John Birchers who measure the national debt against gold reserves are engaging in monetary child's play. However, the Federal Reserve's ability to spend the past decade in crisis while hiding the money supply (M3) from the American public is brilliant. A brilliant scam that must come to an end in the United States, as it has in central banks throughout Europe and across the globe.

The strength of the dollar in FOREX markets in the wake of QE3 invalidates many conspiracy theories. As a market student and participant, I believe the dollar is legitimately strong and would remain strong through QE4, QE5, and QE6.

Is it time to end the myth of false scarcity? Is the easy answer - a dramatic increase in the debt ceiling to fund the Small Business Administration, Farm Service Agency, and regional banks - the best path for the US economy?

Recently an interesting statistic was released. The USA has fewer corporations today than 40 years ago, despite having three times as many citizens. If "corporations are people," do we just need more "people?"

Or is a multi-decade Japanese-style depression a better way to break the will of American men, break the daughters of the revolution into prostitution, seize American's weapons, and ultimately rejoin the British Crown and join the New/Old World Order?

I ask that question only half-sarcastically, because that appears to be the the intent of the current world order, and the path the United States is headed. Especially if either Hillary "Forester de Rothschild-RHODam" Clinton, or Jeb "Lehman is now Barclays" Bush are elected president.

This is serious business.

Sure, a new monetary system would be nice. But is a total revolution possible? Perhaps it is time to submit to reality, and finally admit that Reagan was right.

Mine eyes have seen the glory of the coming of a new hashtag.

Matthew Libman
Charleston, SC

Dosn't really matter how much you inflate worthless paper. 0 times 1000 is still 0.
You can say that it is big trouble, but in reality its just worthless fiat. a few zeros more dont make any change.
The only change is that your work is worth less. For the state a few zeros dosnt make any diffrence what so ever, they can just print more paper
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 510
June 14, 2015, 02:09:12 PM
#79
I have little doubt that US dollar is going to crash... crash really hard. I don't know when, perhaps not the next 5-10 years... but it will happen, and all the other fiat will follow. The result will either be world war or the build up of a new monetary system. In case we don't all die, then will gold,silver and digital currency play an important role in building up the new system.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
June 14, 2015, 11:39:27 AM
#77
The richest country in the world is in the biggest debt. Hahah, that's why they fear Russia. Russia has maximum resources and minimum debt.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
be your self
June 14, 2015, 07:52:36 AM
#76
I argue that the $18 Trillion national debt pales in comparison to the national wealth of the United States. There is no better example of this than the revenue generated from Obama's successful energy exploration campaign.



Imagine when you compare Russia's little debt with it vast natural resources!! This is why the US fears Russia, because Russia's potential far exceeds what the US has been able to create so far.

So what happens if a war between Russia and US breaks down? Who has an upper hand?
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
June 14, 2015, 06:50:30 AM
#75
I don't agree to the notion that having national debt is the same as stealing from the future.

Here is the reasoning: A generation from now, the people will have to consume the food that is produced in the future, drive cars that are produced in the future and so on. Everything that is consumed, is consumed in the now, and have to be produced in the now.

But to produce in the moment, you rely on a capital structure that is partly from the past. When you drive over a bridge, that capital was produced in the past. The house you live in was build in the past. The tractor that make the farmer more producive was produced in the past. Therefore it is important that the capital structure is properly maintained and and adjusted to needs, and grown if you want a higher prosperity level. Currently we have gross distortions and capital consumption due to ZIRP  and money printing. That means a smaller, less adapted capital structure, which means the next generation will have lower prosperity.

hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
June 13, 2015, 09:08:58 PM
#74
i know it the new youngers is just getting problems already at Portugal they just bought car and house with loan of 40 years.... they lost the job and the back tooked the house the car currently those new generation returned to live with father and mother where they didnt should left to have their own house without a safe job... as Portugal others countries facing the same problem how in their mind earning 1000 euros ,buying a car and a house with bank paying around 300 euros montly would they really thinked without any savings they could pay it for 40 years?if they had some saved before try a house and a car or why not just the house why needed to have more than a thing just to show?
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