These days we shouldn't choose who will win a game base on the odds and what the papers has to say like who's the favorite and you'd agree with me that Juventus are really not too strong when it comes to this league cup competitions, not only Juventus but all bigger teams are always not strong enough to face the smaller clubs.
This is why I say the league cups are not meant for the bigger boys but the smaller clubs in the Serie A, these smaller teams can go as far as to end the game in a penalty shootouts just to secure a place in the next round.
I believe Juventus must be terrified in facing one of the weaker side in Serie A(an upset might happen) and it seems like smaller teams have marked it that this trophy is theirs and no big side can beat them to it. I also agree with you with what you said that this game will end in a penalty shootouts, I don't see Juve having an easy game tonight.