Pages:
Author

Topic: I've figured out the bitcoin market (Read 2701 times)

legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
February 12, 2013, 12:39:31 PM
#34
Paul, in either case please warn in advance before cashing out. We will test whether or not the price would crash then.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
What's a GPU?
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
February 12, 2013, 12:27:43 PM
#32
Well as it goes if you always buy when the price goes up chances are that sooner or later you'd buy near the top.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
It's all fun and games until somebody loses an eye
February 12, 2013, 12:27:20 PM
#31

Every time I start moving money towards bitcoin, the price jumps while I am waiting for my money to get to the exchange.

Okay, lets test my theory. I started a deposit to MtGox today, which means the price should rise between now and Feb 12th (when Dwolla says the transfer should be complete). Current price: 22.08 USD per BTC (45.3 mBTC per USD)


Alright, my funds just got to MtGox, and the price stands at 25.71 USD. That is a 16.4% increase in less than a week.

So my theory must be correct, the price is influenced by my intention to buy more.

its the other way around.
your intention to buy more is influenced by price moments.

So you are saying one action was influenced by a future action?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
February 12, 2013, 12:20:34 PM
#30
I have used the scientific method (hypothesis followed by experiment).

It's pretty simple actually: Every time I buy the price goes down. Every time I sell the price goes up. Last night I bought in with half my capital, so we should now see a period of stability Roll Eyes

Every time I start moving money towards bitcoin, the price jumps while I am waiting for my money to get to the exchange.

Okay, lets test my theory. I started a deposit to MtGox today, which means the price should rise between now and Feb 12th (when Dwolla says the transfer should be complete). Current price: 22.08 USD per BTC (45.3 mBTC per USD)


Alright, my funds just got to MtGox, and the price stands at 25.71 USD. That is a 16.4% increase in less than a week.

So my theory must be correct, the price is influenced by my intention to buy more.

its the other way around.
your intention to buy more is influenced by price moments.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
It's all fun and games until somebody loses an eye
February 12, 2013, 12:08:58 PM
#29
I have used the scientific method (hypothesis followed by experiment).

It's pretty simple actually: Every time I buy the price goes down. Every time I sell the price goes up. Last night I bought in with half my capital, so we should now see a period of stability Roll Eyes

Every time I start moving money towards bitcoin, the price jumps while I am waiting for my money to get to the exchange.

Okay, lets test my theory. I started a deposit to MtGox today, which means the price should rise between now and Feb 12th (when Dwolla says the transfer should be complete). Current price: 22.08 USD per BTC (45.3 mBTC per USD)


Alright, my funds just got to MtGox, and the price stands at 25.71 USD. That is a 16.4% increase in less than a week.

So my theory must be correct, the price is influenced by my intention to buy more.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1010
February 07, 2013, 05:42:46 PM
#28
I have used the scientific method (hypothesis followed by experiment).

It's pretty simple actually: Every time I buy the price goes down. Every time I sell the price goes up. Last night I bought in with half my capital, so we should now see a period of stability Roll Eyes

Every time I start moving money towards bitcoin, the price jumps while I am waiting for my money to get to the exchange.

Okay, lets test my theory. I started a deposit to MtGox today, which means the price should rise between now and Feb 12th (when Dwolla says the transfer should be complete). Current price: 22.08 USD per BTC (45.3 mBTC per USD)

Will edit to show result of experiment.

Use Coinbase, they lock the price you pay, you just can't withdraw the bitcoins until your ACH deposit is complete.  They also take a commision, but if you're concerned about price fluctuation risk, the commision is relatively low.  The last time I bought some coins there, the market value of bitcoins went up more during the delay than the commision.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
It's all fun and games until somebody loses an eye
February 07, 2013, 03:37:33 PM
#27
I have used the scientific method (hypothesis followed by experiment).

It's pretty simple actually: Every time I buy the price goes down. Every time I sell the price goes up. Last night I bought in with half my capital, so we should now see a period of stability Roll Eyes

Every time I start moving money towards bitcoin, the price jumps while I am waiting for my money to get to the exchange.

Okay, lets test my theory. I started a deposit to MtGox today, which means the price should rise between now and Feb 12th (when Dwolla says the transfer should be complete). Current price: 22.08 USD per BTC (45.3 mBTC per USD)

Will edit to show result of experiment.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
February 07, 2013, 01:18:49 PM
#26
Just sold my remains. If my analysis is correct, we should be doing >$22 today! Congrats everyone.

Thank you!  Please let us know when you are buying back in ....    Wink

lol
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
February 07, 2013, 01:00:35 PM
#25
Just sold my remains. If my analysis is correct, we should be doing >$22 today! Congrats everyone.

Thank you!  Please let us know when you are buying back in ....    Wink
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
It's all fun and games until somebody loses an eye
February 06, 2013, 10:04:19 PM
#24
I have used the scientific method (hypothesis followed by experiment).

It's pretty simple actually: Every time I buy the price goes down. Every time I sell the price goes up. Last night I bought in with half my capital, so we should now see a period of stability Roll Eyes

Every time I start moving money towards bitcoin, the price jumps while I am waiting for my money to get to the exchange.
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
February 06, 2013, 03:05:51 PM
#23
Just sold my remains. If my analysis is correct, we should be doing >$22 today! Congrats everyone.

Have you tried making your mind to sell and stop when you are about to hit the sell button. Every time I do that, the price goes up.  Cheesy
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Love the Bitcoin.
February 06, 2013, 03:00:05 PM
#22
for science

lol
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
February 06, 2013, 02:48:02 PM
#21
Last night I bought in with half my capital, so we should now see a period of stability Roll Eyes

Just sold my remains. If my analysis is correct, we should be doing >$22 today! Congrats everyone.

lol wtf?

i THINK your doing it wrong...  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
February 06, 2013, 12:34:31 AM
#20
the bitcoin market.:

legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
February 05, 2013, 11:11:38 PM
#19
Whenever you go to a poker game, the first thing you do is try to identify the fish.  If you can't figure that out, you're the fish.

Guys, I've got some bad news for you.

You're the fish.

Listen, here's the thing. If you can't spot the sucker in the first half hour at the table, then you ARE the sucker.

Rounders, 1988

Rounders was late-90's not 80's
1998
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1016
Strength in numbers
February 05, 2013, 10:08:36 PM
#18
I must just be lucky, every time I buy three years later the price is way up.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
February 05, 2013, 07:19:46 PM
#17
I have used the scientific method (hypothesis followed by experiment).

It's pretty simple actually: Every time I buy the price goes down. Every time I sell the price goes up. Last night I bought in with half my capital, so we should now see a period of stability Roll Eyes

Best theory so far, I had exactly the same feeling for almost all financial transactions.
member
Activity: 115
Merit: 10
February 05, 2013, 05:15:50 PM
#16
[deleted]
hero member
Activity: 811
Merit: 1000
Web Developer
February 05, 2013, 04:03:08 PM
#15
I have used the scientific method (hypothesis followed by experiment).

It's pretty simple actually: Every time I buy the price goes down. Every time I sell the price goes up. Last night I bought in with half my capital, so we should now see a period of stability Roll Eyes

So basically you're the real world George Costanza  Wink
Actually the episode where George gets inside trading advice, he ends up holding out while Jerry sold while the stock was plummeting, a week or so later George was rollin in money and smoking cigars.

Hah, I forgot about that episode.  I was actually thinking about the one where George realizes every decision in his life has been wrong and decides to do the opposite of what his intuition tells him to do.
Haha I figured, just felt like calling you out on a technicality since I saw that episode the other night haha.
Pages:
Jump to: