Late night update from Minnesota:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 50,092,210,887 (+0.80%)
Adjust time: After 128 Blocks, About 21.2 hours
Hashrate(?): 377,761,804 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.8 minutes
6 blocks: 59.5 minutes
Updated: 2:50 (3.9 minutes ago)
BTC Price: $244
Looks like I might still be in the hunt!
Topic: June 14th to June 28th Diff adjustment thread. Picks are closed!! - page 2. (Read 6555 times)
June 27, 2015, 02:54:59 AM
June 26, 2015, 10:12:05 PM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
part day
6-14-2014 108-----114 -6
full days
6-15-2015 142-----144 -2
6-16-2015 125-----144 -19
6-17-2015 143-----144 - 1
6-18-2015 165-----144 = +21
6-19-2015 147-----144 = +3
6-20-2015 138-----144 = -10
6-21-2015 125----144 = -19
6-22-2015 144----144 = 0
6-23-2015 144----144 = 0
6-24-2015 149----144 = +5
6-25-2015 160----144 = +16
6-26-2015 150----144 = +6
total 1840---1842 = -2
so real number is ( -0.108%) as of the end of 6-26-2015!
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
(+0.72%)
Price is about BTC/USD: $243.00
we have around 155 blocks left.
https://blockchain.info/blocks and on 6/27 so far
362725 03:05
362708 00:00 this is 18 blocks normal is 6 x 3 = 18
looks like we will get a new diff 10 pm sat eastern standard time. give or take a few hours.
part day
6-14-2014 108-----114 -6
full days
6-15-2015 142-----144 -2
6-16-2015 125-----144 -19
6-17-2015 143-----144 - 1
6-18-2015 165-----144 = +21
6-19-2015 147-----144 = +3
6-20-2015 138-----144 = -10
6-21-2015 125----144 = -19
6-22-2015 144----144 = 0
6-23-2015 144----144 = 0
6-24-2015 149----144 = +5
6-25-2015 160----144 = +16
6-26-2015 150----144 = +6
total 1840---1842 = -2
so real number is ( -0.108%) as of the end of 6-26-2015!
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
(+0.72%)
Price is about BTC/USD: $243.00
we have around 155 blocks left.
https://blockchain.info/blocks and on 6/27 so far
362725 03:05
362708 00:00 this is 18 blocks normal is 6 x 3 = 18
looks like we will get a new diff 10 pm sat eastern standard time. give or take a few hours.
June 26, 2015, 06:15:27 PM
There always seems to be a bump in network hash power right toward the end of adjustment. Coincidence, or by design I wonder?
fifth time in a row. And solid each time. my guess is by design.
June 26, 2015, 06:06:27 PM
Yeah, looks like it's going to exceed my 1% increase. Maybe that guy with the 1000 "BitFury Bulb" farm finally turned it on! 
Did anyone ever hear what the hashrate of the bulb was?
Did anyone ever hear what the hashrate of the bulb was?
June 26, 2015, 03:11:17 PM
There always seems to be a bump in network hash power right toward the end of adjustment. Coincidence, or by design I wonder?
June 26, 2015, 02:19:19 PM
yeah onwards and upwards we may clear 2% by the time this is over.
June 26, 2015, 02:03:36 PM
WoW antoher big push in the HashRate (390PH as per Bitcoinwisdom)
June 26, 2015, 01:50:09 PM
Looks like someone gonna win the jackpot !
I was hoping for my 4:20 ... but nope !
I was hoping for my 4:20 ... but nope !
June 26, 2015, 01:17:14 PM
It is so close, but I'm watching my chances slip away with this hash rate increase.
yeah we have drifted up a bit more.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 50,115,392,001 (+0.85%)
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
Difficulty 49692386355
Estimated 50151443039 in 209 blks
+0.67%
both have us over 0%
and it is possible to do a carryover!
below are the closest
-1.26% to -1.50% gallery2000
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75% tlhIwI --------------- corrected from -0.50%
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one went for -0.26% to -0.50%
-0.01% to -0.25% Kexkey
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one went for 0 which would be 0.4 btc prize with the bonus and rollover combined
+0.01% to +0.25% zebedee
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>no one took this pick +0.26% to +0.50%
+0.51% to +0.75% Amph---------------- settled Amph gets this
+0.76% to +1.00% alh
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% Lboss
+1.51% to +1.75% EMIF ----------and EMIF gets this.
+1.76% to +2.00% jonnybravo0311
+2.01% to +2.25% tertius993
June 26, 2015, 09:32:11 AM
It is so close, but I'm watching my chances slip away with this hash rate increase.
June 26, 2015, 08:41:31 AM
Yeah let's hope for a bit of badluck so we stay under 50G 
June 25, 2015, 09:58:23 PM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
part day
6-14-2014 108-----114 -6
full days
6-15-2015 142-----144 -2
6-16-2015 125-----144 -19
6-17-2015 143-----144 - 1
6-18-2015 165-----144 = +21
6-19-2015 147-----144 = +3
6-20-2015 138-----144 = -10
6-21-2015 125----144 = -19
6-22-2015 144----144 = 0
6-23-2015 144----144 = 0
6-24-2015 149----144 = +5
6-25-2015 160----144 = +16
6-26-2015 150----144 = +6
total 1840---1842 = -2
so real number is ( -0.108%) as of the end of 6-25-2015!
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
(+0.24%)
Price is about BTC/USD: $243.00
So far if the numbers hold we will be under 50 bill diff.
we have around 307 blocks left
part day
6-14-2014 108-----114 -6
full days
6-15-2015 142-----144 -2
6-16-2015 125-----144 -19
6-17-2015 143-----144 - 1
6-18-2015 165-----144 = +21
6-19-2015 147-----144 = +3
6-20-2015 138-----144 = -10
6-21-2015 125----144 = -19
6-22-2015 144----144 = 0
6-23-2015 144----144 = 0
6-24-2015 149----144 = +5
6-25-2015 160----144 = +16
6-26-2015 150----144 = +6
total 1840---1842 = -2
so real number is ( -0.108%) as of the end of 6-25-2015!
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
(+0.24%)
Price is about BTC/USD: $243.00
So far if the numbers hold we will be under 50 bill diff.
we have around 307 blocks left
June 25, 2015, 12:33:56 PM
We have a huge push in the Hashrate at the moment. I guess it will stay like that for the rest of the current Diff.
I smell +1-2% at least
I smell +1-2% at least
https://blockchain.info/blocks
362517 17:26
362402 00:04
so 116 blocks in 17.5 hours should be 6 x 17.5 = 105 so 11 plus today with 6.5 hours to go.
June 25, 2015, 10:10:56 AM
We have a huge push in the Hashrate at the moment. I guess it will stay like that for the rest of the current Diff.
I smell +1-2% at least
I smell +1-2% at least
June 25, 2015, 09:15:52 AM
Looks like bitwisdom is showing a tad positive:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 49,810,584,803 (+0.24%)
Adjust time: After 398 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?): 371,584,155 GH/s
(it could jump back to negative it's a small positive at this point)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 49,810,584,803 (+0.24%)
Adjust time: After 398 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?): 371,584,155 GH/s
(it could jump back to negative it's a small positive at this point)
If you look at the bitcoinwisdom chart it looks like it spent most of the current cycle in the negative territory, so for the adjustment to be at or above zero it would need to have a spike up during those last ~300 blocks. Which it appears to be doing. I expect a very small change this time. Incredibly we have a couple of empty spots on both sides of zero so it could be yet another rollover
yeah two shots at a miss also if you count 0, three shots at a miss. at this moment we are negative -0.66%
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 362492
Total BTC 14.312M
Difficulty 49692386355
Estimated 49363464644 in 388 blks
Network total 398950.450 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 6.73 / 535 s
but with 388 blocks left we can change a lot
June 25, 2015, 08:26:50 AM
Looks like bitwisdom is showing a tad positive:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 49,810,584,803 (+0.24%)
Adjust time: After 398 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?): 371,584,155 GH/s
(it could jump back to negative it's a small positive at this point)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 49,810,584,803 (+0.24%)
Adjust time: After 398 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?): 371,584,155 GH/s
(it could jump back to negative it's a small positive at this point)
If you look at the bitcoinwisdom chart it looks like it spent most of the current cycle in the negative territory, so for the adjustment to be at or above zero it would need to have a spike up during those last ~300 blocks. Which it appears to be doing. I expect a very small change this time. Incredibly we have a couple of empty spots on both sides of zero so it could be yet another rollover
June 25, 2015, 07:21:41 AM
Looks like bitwisdom is showing a tad positive:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 49,810,584,803 (+0.24%)
Adjust time: After 398 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?): 371,584,155 GH/s
(it could jump back to negative it's a small positive at this point)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 49,810,584,803 (+0.24%)
Adjust time: After 398 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?): 371,584,155 GH/s
(it could jump back to negative it's a small positive at this point)
June 24, 2015, 08:38:03 PM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
part day
6-14-2014 108-----114 -6
full days
6-15-2015 142-----144 -2
6-16-2015 125-----144 -19
6-17-2015 143-----144 - 1
6-18-2015 165-----144 = +21
6-19-2015 147-----144 = +3
6-20-2015 138-----144 = -10
6-21-2015 125----144 = -19
6-22-2015 144----144 = 0
6-23-2015 144----144 = 0
6-24-2015 149----144 = +5
6-25-2015 160----144 = +16
total 1690---1698 = -8
so real number is ( -0.471%) as of the end of 6-25-2015!
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
(+0.24%)
Price is about BTC/USD: $243.00
So far if the numbers hold we will be under 50 bill diff.
we have around 472 blocks left
part day
6-14-2014 108-----114 -6
full days
6-15-2015 142-----144 -2
6-16-2015 125-----144 -19
6-17-2015 143-----144 - 1
6-18-2015 165-----144 = +21
6-19-2015 147-----144 = +3
6-20-2015 138-----144 = -10
6-21-2015 125----144 = -19
6-22-2015 144----144 = 0
6-23-2015 144----144 = 0
6-24-2015 149----144 = +5
6-25-2015 160----144 = +16
total 1690---1698 = -8
so real number is ( -0.471%) as of the end of 6-25-2015!
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
(+0.24%)
Price is about BTC/USD: $243.00
So far if the numbers hold we will be under 50 bill diff.
we have around 472 blocks left
June 24, 2015, 06:53:24 AM
Morning bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 50,349,638,137 (+1.32%)
Adjust time: After 547 Blocks, About 3.7 days
Hashrate(?): 357,065,121 GH/s
And price is around 243 so still not a bad week.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 50,349,638,137 (+1.32%)
Adjust time: After 547 Blocks, About 3.7 days
Hashrate(?): 357,065,121 GH/s
And price is around 243 so still not a bad week.
June 24, 2015, 02:07:28 AM
My late night update from bitcoinwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 50,308,957,959 (+1.24%)
Adjust time: After 581 Blocks, About 4.0 days
Hashrate(?): 351,673,066 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.5 minutes
6 blocks: 59.0 minutes
Price $245
My poorly calibrated eyeball thinks that the last difficulty jump moved us to a pretty stable state, and what we are seeing now is the normal "variance". I think that we see drops, and then subsequent jumps due to some amount of miner relocation. Just watching the HaoBTC thread and videos make it clear that there is a fair amount of PH that's down for a few days and then "springs back to life" after it has found a new, lower cost home.
The game is all about efficiency and electricity cost. A fact which is probably obvious to all.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 49,692,386,355
Estimated Next Difficulty: 50,308,957,959 (+1.24%)
Adjust time: After 581 Blocks, About 4.0 days
Hashrate(?): 351,673,066 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.5 minutes
6 blocks: 59.0 minutes
Price $245
My poorly calibrated eyeball thinks that the last difficulty jump moved us to a pretty stable state, and what we are seeing now is the normal "variance". I think that we see drops, and then subsequent jumps due to some amount of miner relocation. Just watching the HaoBTC thread and videos make it clear that there is a fair amount of PH that's down for a few days and then "springs back to life" after it has found a new, lower cost home.
The game is all about efficiency and electricity cost. A fact which is probably obvious to all.
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