And with crypto, who the hell knows what the real valuation should be for any of them? Your guess is as good as anyone else's. I think the crypto market is probably the best example of an efficient market, because a coin is worth exactly what the market says it's worth at any given point.
Well, I would like to disagree.
In a perfectly efficient market, all information about a particular coin will be available to everyone in it.
This is in stark contrast to the actual information that most coins show, which is often very scant.
If crypto is an efficient market, then Bitconnect, OneCoin and all of those other scams wouldn't have got to the size they had.
You know EMH is just a theory; In reality, there's no such thing as perfectly efficient market where there's no overvalued and undervalued stocks. I think maybe semi-strong is the highest attainable form of efficiency in the US stock market.
Previously my point is to distinguish commodity vs stocks. You can see the quality (present) by its price tag since the stock market is "reasonably efficient." Try to do that in crypto and you'll get busted real quick.
Crypto market isn't even a weak form per the definition since up to this date I believe it's possible to earn excess return using historical data. Furthermore, publicly available information is not robust to the point that some of "the team" are anonymous, no accountability, etc.