Just-Dice.com : now with added CLAMs : Play or Invest - page 116.

FUR11

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 250

FURring bitcoin up since 1762

Quote from: RGBKey on February 06, 2014, 09:05:13 AM

I really wonder what his background was. Early adopter? Invested a lot early? We probably will never know.

According to what he's said in chat and to others, the claim is that he has a mining rig that generates 300BTC/day. I don't even know if that's possible, but that's the current rumor about him.

Also worth noting is that in the days before that 2200 loss, he was up I believe somewhere between 1600-2000 (although I was told that he lost somewhere around 600-800 in the days before THAT, and after big wins he would give away a ton of BTC).

He was def very interesting to watch play but I don't think he's been around much after that big loss.

joksim299

legendary

Activity: 2198

Merit: 1014

Bitdice is scam scam scammmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

Quote from: djarot on February 06, 2014, 09:00:27 AM

Quote from: imdabest239 on February 06, 2014, 04:18:47 AM

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

Holyyy

Shocking story!

waqas

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 250

Quote from: Kyraishi on February 06, 2014, 08:06:47 AM

Quote from: waqas on February 06, 2014, 07:04:04 AM

Quote from: imdabest239 on February 06, 2014, 04:18:47 AM

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

its a big win for dice but my investment is still in big -negative I am very upset about this

how are you in red after jd's profit bumping from 11500btc to 13113btc?

I never understand this because after investing I never been in green

RGBKey

hero member

Activity: 854

Merit: 658

rgbkey.github.io/pgp.txt

I really wonder what his background was. Early adopter? Invested a lot early? We probably will never know.

MoneyGod

sr. member

Activity: 406

Merit: 250

Quote from: djarot on February 06, 2014, 09:00:27 AM

Quote from: imdabest239 on February 06, 2014, 04:18:47 AM

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

Holyyy

some one try all life but have nothing like this and this person lost all in just a hour I am still in shocked for him Wink

djarot

sr. member

Activity: 350

Merit: 254

Quote from: imdabest239 on February 06, 2014, 04:18:47 AM

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

Holyyy

Kyraishi

hero member

Activity: 952

Merit: 513

Quote from: waqas on February 06, 2014, 07:04:04 AM

Quote from: imdabest239 on February 06, 2014, 04:18:47 AM

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

its a big win for dice but my investment is still in big -negative I am very upset about this

how are you in red after jd's profit bumping from 11500btc to 13113btc?

superresistant

legendary

Activity: 2156

Merit: 1131

Quote from: imdabest239 on February 06, 2014, 04:18:47 AM

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

Fuck. This is a lot of money.

waqas

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 250

Quote from: imdabest239 on February 06, 2014, 04:18:47 AM

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

its a big win for dice but my investment is still in big -negative I am very upset about this

imdabest239

full member

Activity: 126

Merit: 100

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

FUR11

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 250

FURring bitcoin up since 1762

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 03:29:28 AM

Quote from: FUR11 on February 04, 2014, 03:19:09 AM

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 03:15:10 AM

Would you continue to martingale from this position?

Me personally, when I'm playing gambling games with a house edge > 0, I'm playing to gamble. So yeah I'd martingale until I bust haha. But, you know, mathematics wise...you're going to lose in the long run. If you start with a very very small amount and have a very very large bankroll with a very very high max bet, it'll take (probably) a very long time for that long run to be reached...but every bet IS a losing bet.

assuming just-dice still keeps the same seed right?

I'll admit I know next to nothing about the seed stuff. I would assume that the odds are the same no matter what the seed is, but again I really don't understand that side of btc.

aksplace

sr. member

Activity: 602

Merit: 260

Quote from: FUR11 on February 04, 2014, 03:19:09 AM

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 03:15:10 AM

Would you continue to martingale from this position?

Me personally, when I'm playing gambling games with a house edge > 0, I'm playing to gamble. So yeah I'd martingale until I bust haha. But, you know, mathematics wise...you're going to lose in the long run. If you start with a very very small amount and have a very very large bankroll with a very very high max bet, it'll take (probably) a very long time for that long run to be reached...but every bet IS a losing bet.

assuming just-dice still keeps the same seed right?

FUR11

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 250

FURring bitcoin up since 1762

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 03:15:10 AM

Would you continue to martingale from this position?

Me personally, when I'm playing gambling games with a house edge > 0, I'm playing to gamble. So yeah I'd martingale until I bust haha. But, you know, mathematics wise...you're going to lose in the long run. If you start with a very very small amount and have a very very large bankroll with a very very high max bet, it'll take (probably) a very long time for that long run to be reached...but every bet IS a losing bet.

aksplace

sr. member

Activity: 602

Merit: 260

Quote from: FUR11 on February 04, 2014, 03:09:42 AM

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 03:07:46 AM

Quote from: FUR11 on February 04, 2014, 02:59:34 AM

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 01:38:52 AM

Mathematicians odds please Cheesy

Let's see here...on any given bet, the player has a 26.1193% chance of losing and a 73.8807% chance of winning.

Over a sample of 12 rolls:

2.64% of the time the player will win all 12.
11.2% of the time the player will go 11-1
21.81% of the time the player will go 10-2
25.71% of the time the player will go 9-3
20.45% of the time the player will go 8-4
11.57% of the time the player will go 7-5
4.77% of the time the player will go 6-6
1.45% of the time the player will go 5-7
.32% of the time the player will go 4-8
.0502% of the time the player will go 3-9
.0053232% of the time the player will go 2-10
.0003422% of the time the player will go 1-11
.0000101% of the time the player will go 0-12

So if your question is "what are the odds that over 12 rolls you'd win 3 or fewer times", the answer would be .0558755% of the time. Or once every 1790 sets of 12 rolls (on average).

Thanks, probability of at most 1 successes in 5 tries with p=0.9591 Probability of occurrence: 0.0000135337..

Again thanks, was wondering

No prob. Any excuse for me to manually do a bunch of math I'll take. Because I'm very cool.

Would you continue to martingale from this position?

FUR11

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 250

FURring bitcoin up since 1762

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 03:07:46 AM

Quote from: FUR11 on February 04, 2014, 02:59:34 AM

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 01:38:52 AM

Mathematicians odds please Cheesy

Let's see here...on any given bet, the player has a 26.1193% chance of losing and a 73.8807% chance of winning.

Over a sample of 12 rolls:

2.64% of the time the player will win all 12.
11.2% of the time the player will go 11-1
21.81% of the time the player will go 10-2
25.71% of the time the player will go 9-3
20.45% of the time the player will go 8-4
11.57% of the time the player will go 7-5
4.77% of the time the player will go 6-6
1.45% of the time the player will go 5-7
.32% of the time the player will go 4-8
.0502% of the time the player will go 3-9
.0053232% of the time the player will go 2-10
.0003422% of the time the player will go 1-11
.0000101% of the time the player will go 0-12

So if your question is "what are the odds that over 12 rolls you'd win 3 or fewer times", the answer would be .0558755% of the time. Or once every 1790 sets of 12 rolls (on average).

Thanks, probability of at most 1 successes in 5 tries with p=0.9591 Probability of occurrence: 0.0000135337..

Again thanks, was wondering

No prob. Any excuse for me to manually do a bunch of math I'll take. Because I'm very cool.

aksplace

sr. member

Activity: 602

Merit: 260

Quote from: FUR11 on February 04, 2014, 02:59:34 AM

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 01:38:52 AM

Mathematicians odds please Cheesy

Let's see here...on any given bet, the player has a 26.1193% chance of losing and a 73.8807% chance of winning.

Over a sample of 12 rolls:

2.64% of the time the player will win all 12.
11.2% of the time the player will go 11-1
21.81% of the time the player will go 10-2
25.71% of the time the player will go 9-3
20.45% of the time the player will go 8-4
11.57% of the time the player will go 7-5
4.77% of the time the player will go 6-6
1.45% of the time the player will go 5-7
.32% of the time the player will go 4-8
.0502% of the time the player will go 3-9
.0053232% of the time the player will go 2-10
.0003422% of the time the player will go 1-11
.0000101% of the time the player will go 0-12

So if your question is "what are the odds that over 12 rolls you'd win 3 or fewer times", the answer would be .0558755% of the time. Or once every 1790 sets of 12 rolls (on average).

Thanks, probability of at most 1 successes in 5 tries with p=0.9591 Probability of occurrence: 0.0000135337..

Again thanks, was wondering

FUR11

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 250

FURring bitcoin up since 1762

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 01:38:52 AM

Mathematicians odds please Cheesy

Let's see here...on any given bet, the player has a 26.1193% chance of losing and a 73.8807% chance of winning.

Over a sample of 12 rolls:

2.64% of the time the player will win all 12.
11.2% of the time the player will go 11-1
21.81% of the time the player will go 10-2
25.71% of the time the player will go 9-3
20.45% of the time the player will go 8-4
11.57% of the time the player will go 7-5
4.77% of the time the player will go 6-6
1.45% of the time the player will go 5-7
.32% of the time the player will go 4-8
.0502% of the time the player will go 3-9
.0053232% of the time the player will go 2-10
.0003422% of the time the player will go 1-11
.0000101% of the time the player will go 0-12

So if your question is "what are the odds that over 12 rolls you'd win 3 or fewer times", the answer would be .0558755% of the time. Or once every 1790 sets of 12 rolls (on average).

aksplace

sr. member

Activity: 602

Merit: 260

Quote from: Mivexil on February 04, 2014, 02:36:28 AM

Quote from: aksplace on February 04, 2014, 01:38:52 AM

Mathematicians odds please Cheesy

http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=probability+of+at+most+3+successes+in+12+tries+with+p%3D0.739

0.05%. Somebody was crap out of luck that day, but it happens.

Thanks for that link, we need to get something like that. According to that page shouldn't the possibility of occurrence at most be .0005%? So the "law of probability"
of this martingale in this run at most 3 successes in 11 tries with p=0.85 would be Probability of occurrence: 0.0000275524%

Mivexil

member

Activity: 112

Merit: 10