As I edited my post above:
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Avarage of past year: 85,6175%
Math fail.
Average for the past year including incomplete November but including December (as you did) is 97% luck
Found 200 Expected 206.53
i just took the average of each month. Added, and devided, so average is correct i presume.
well anyway: when i look at the block performance, i (me, personally) see that theaverage of the past 2 year is 96,68%
Oh, its great that the performance was outrageausly good in 2015, but what good does it do for the current miners? When you calculate the performance from day1 it might be 101,49% indeed, but the past 2 years it didn't, and it seems to be declining only... Last year:92,65% so, thats everyone that started in november 2017, right? (60 weeks average...)
i dont want to throw mud or anything, dont get me wrong. (i didnt start the numbers actually, in respect to Kanopool...)
So why 2.2 years?
Why not the last 12 months (as displayed)?
Or the last 4 years?
Saying a 2.2 year average reflects what happens now is making the well known incorrect assumption that mining history affects the mining future.
In fact to look at it in an ever worse light - this month is terrible so far - 54% luck - so why is it worse than the 2.2 year history?
Answer: coz it's random
You are also making a completely incorrect statement in there
"but the past 2 years it didn't, and it seems to be declining only"
No it isn't - yes you can choose results to make it look that way, but no it isn't.
The range you chose starts with the month of the worst 2 blocks of all time on the pool (last November) and ends with the (so far incomplete) month of the worst luck ever on the pool - this November.
That's commonly called rigging the results
Luck goes up and down - if you select results to show based exactly on when luck is worst - then yep you can show bad luck for any pool.
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