So, when they announced 16nm tapeout with TSMC in the first week of February 2015, what kind of timeline should that have given them for deploying an appreciable quantity of any finished-product miner if the chip actually worked?
"Tapeout only means that they have functioning chips -- which back then would mean strictly very low yield per-wafer engineering samples to play with. Maybe they work per expected or (mostly likely) not. Considering TSMC first announced 16nm starting full tilt production for AMD around July last year (ref link?) it is possible KnC had earlier finagled getting a few test wafers slipped in but no way any large - and decent yield - amount of wafers that were production-grade.
I won't fault them on being, well, call it "overly-optimistic" about when 16/14nm would open up to customers other than Tier-1 simply because said T1 customers had for the last few years been transfixed by the light at the end of the 16/14nm tunnel as well. Problem is, it kept slipping further and further back... That said, KnC should have been closely following what was happening at the Foundries back then and tempered their enthusiasm with experience from past forays into new sizes.
Edit: Given the history of (finally) hitting 14/16nm nodes with decent yields only around Nov. of last year it sounds like that since TSMC at least ran samples for KnC to evaluate and given the general simplicity that 2112 says sha mining ASIC's have vs huge complexity that full up SOC or CPU's have they would have made nice tests for any foundry to use as process response benchmarks so that would be an incentive to run a batch or few of 'test' wafers with (again) someone else footing most of the foundry's actual process cost...
Wanna bet that what the foundry learned from running KnC's chips was applied to Bitmains and BitFury's? (and where applicable the Tier-1 folks as well) A foundry may not be able to suggest layouts 'other folks' used but they *can* apply information regarding how the various process steps are performed and the general results from their 'secret sauce' . That information is IP for the foundry to internally use as as desired
Of course back in Feb last year making the actual state of process readiness to run boutique chips known -- *that* would have heavily dampened any VC and pre-order/other funding...