Sorry but I had to stop reading your post right there. The way I see it, you just found a way to f yourself exponentially. It is because the charts only give you the past data. They don't really tell you anything about the future. If you want to trust btc, look at its fundamentals. Look at its adoption rate. See how many mercs do business with btc. A good chart doesn't mean anything if btc fees keeps rising and the network becomes unusable for many people. All of that could come down very quickly. Slowly at first, then suddenly.
So you're saying the past performance of a coin doesn't matter? How do you trust something without knowing how it has performed in the past?
If it wasn't for history how do we know the effect the halving has on Bitcoin price? Of course, it's not a certainty that this halving will have the same effect on price as others, but it is only because of the past that we can speculate that.
If you want to do business with someone on the forum, you'll most likely use his/her trust history, that's their past. If you want to use a service, sometimes you check the reviews.
I'm not saying Bitcoin price history is the only thing you look at, but it's going to be among the things to look at.
Bitcoin price has gone from the lowest point to a point where nobody believed it would (except the visionary, of course) and back to a very low point. A level that people doubted if it would ever recover but then again, it recovers again and shocks people, something within a very short period, other times slowly. This is what should always give a holder hope to keep holding his Bitcoin.
If you check my post history, you'll see that I always complain about high network fees because I believe that's where the real adoption starts. There's no point in the whole world accepting Bitcoin if the cost of using Bitcoin is relatively higher than its alternative. Or if you want to use a lower fee you have to wait hours, days, or even weeks.
But this post was directed at "holders".
When you're holding Bitcoin for years, you don't really care about the transaction fees. Ridiculously high network fees are a problem when you want to use Bitcoin as a currency or when you want to exchange it for fiat.