NBA. Phoenix at LA Clippers: Phoenix to win @2.76 (+176) at BitcoinRush
Why: This is just a great value. Why? Because Clippers winning this match only if Lou on fire, and I give a 50/50 chance for that, not 65/35 as bookies suggest. Phoenix are actually much better without defensive hole named Booker and also a quite good at road this season (7 wins already). LAC are just absolutely awful offensively, scoring only 42.4% FG in December.
Overall: -1,72 +5=0-7
Topic: Kobradobra's pick (NBA, NHL, tennis) - page 2. (Read 286 times)
NBA. Indiana at Atlanta: Over 214,5 @ 1.92 (-109) by BitcoinRush
Why: If Hawks managed to score 110 against Heat and top over with 214 points...imagine what it would like against Indiana. Both team are shooting good 3 and are awful at defending perimeter allowing their opponents to score more than 37,5% of threes combined in 63 shots...While scoring more than 38% in 54 shots combined. 3-pointer fest here.
Overall: -0,72 +5=0-6
Why: If Hawks managed to score 110 against Heat and top over with 214 points...imagine what it would like against Indiana. Both team are shooting good 3 and are awful at defending perimeter allowing their opponents to score more than 37,5% of threes combined in 63 shots...While scoring more than 38% in 54 shots combined. 3-pointer fest here.
Overall: -0,72 +5=0-6
NHL. Minnesota at Ottawa: Ottawa to win @1.87 (-115) by BitcoinRush
Why: A must-win game for Ottawa after horrible streak (1 win in 13 matches). Sens won two in a row, while Wild lost two in a row. Minny won only 1 out of 9 last game in regulation time and 4 times at SO/OT and 5 in a row in OT/SO in general, so the team due to loss streak. Also Wild won only 2 out of last 6 road games.
Overall: +0,28 +5=0-5
Why: A must-win game for Ottawa after horrible streak (1 win in 13 matches). Sens won two in a row, while Wild lost two in a row. Minny won only 1 out of 9 last game in regulation time and 4 times at SO/OT and 5 in a row in OT/SO in general, so the team due to loss streak. Also Wild won only 2 out of last 6 road games.
Overall: +0,28 +5=0-5
NBA. Boston at Indiana: Boston to win @ 1.75 (-134) by BitcoinRush
Why: Indiana is struggling against teams with good defense. For instance, Pacers record vs teams from top-10 in D efficiency 2-7 and only 2 wins were in money time (97-94 vs Spurs, 107-104 vs Toronto), while record vs teams from top-10 in Offensive efficiency is 7-4. Also this back to back and Boston is a bad matchup (lost 4 in a row).
Overall: +1,28 +5=0-4
Why: Indiana is struggling against teams with good defense. For instance, Pacers record vs teams from top-10 in D efficiency 2-7 and only 2 wins were in money time (97-94 vs Spurs, 107-104 vs Toronto), while record vs teams from top-10 in Offensive efficiency is 7-4. Also this back to back and Boston is a bad matchup (lost 4 in a row).
Overall: +1,28 +5=0-4
NBA. Philadelphia at Chicago: Phila -2,5 @ 1.99 (-101) by BitcoinRush
Why: Chicago won 5 in a row, with 4 out 5 wins in clutch. Team has been shooting lights out by its own standards in last 5 and it surely won't last forever. Meanwhile Phila lost 5 out 6, with 4 out of 5 losses in clutch time...So this meeting should even up this trends. Also Phily lost ONLY ONCE on a road to a team under .50 (current) - it was @ SAC when D'aron Fox hit a game winner and Phily blew a two possession lead in last minute.
Overall: 0,53 +4=0-4
Why: Chicago won 5 in a row, with 4 out 5 wins in clutch. Team has been shooting lights out by its own standards in last 5 and it surely won't last forever. Meanwhile Phila lost 5 out 6, with 4 out of 5 losses in clutch time...So this meeting should even up this trends. Also Phily lost ONLY ONCE on a road to a team under .50 (current) - it was @ SAC when D'aron Fox hit a game winner and Phily blew a two possession lead in last minute.
Overall: 0,53 +4=0-4
NBA. Indiana at Brooklyn: Indiana (-3) @ 2.00 (+100) by BitcoinRush
Why: Indiana barely lost to OKC and DET in last in two un-favourable matchups, but was close to winning despite poor FG and 3PG. Brooklyn is way too dependable on 3P shooting and playing fast tempo which is suitable for IND style. Also IND lost only ONCE (OKC) to a team under .50 (current record).
Overall: +1,53 +4=0-3
Why: Indiana barely lost to OKC and DET in last in two un-favourable matchups, but was close to winning despite poor FG and 3PG. Brooklyn is way too dependable on 3P shooting and playing fast tempo which is suitable for IND style. Also IND lost only ONCE (OKC) to a team under .50 (current record).
Overall: +1,53 +4=0-3
NHL. Montreal at Ottawa (Winter Classic): Under 5.5 @1.87 (-116) By BitcoinRush
Why: Both teams lacks truly skilled offensive and fast players which could be critical in Winter Classic. Ottawa will rely on their physicality and try to keep composure in D. Montreal inconsistent in offense in last 7: 2, 6, 10, 3, 2, 2, 2 and 5 out of 6 last Sens matches went Under.
Overall: +0.53 +3=0-3
Why: Both teams lacks truly skilled offensive and fast players which could be critical in Winter Classic. Ottawa will rely on their physicality and try to keep composure in D. Montreal inconsistent in offense in last 7: 2, 6, 10, 3, 2, 2, 2 and 5 out of 6 last Sens matches went Under.
Overall: +0.53 +3=0-3
NBA. LA Clippers at Washington: over 209,5 @ 1.9 (-109) by BitcoinRush
Why: Both teams are in Under trend last games: LAC is 5 out 7 on the road and WSH 6 out of 7 overall. The only OVER game for Wiz were...at Clippers. WSH underperfomrning in offense too often and with Wall back it might change. The Clippers will rely on 3s with Gallinari and Rivers out.
Overall: -0.34 +2=0-3
Why: Both teams are in Under trend last games: LAC is 5 out 7 on the road and WSH 6 out of 7 overall. The only OVER game for Wiz were...at Clippers. WSH underperfomrning in offense too often and with Wall back it might change. The Clippers will rely on 3s with Gallinari and Rivers out.
Overall: -0.34 +2=0-3
NBA. Miami at Charlotte: Miami to win @2.71 (-171) by BitcoinRush
Why: Heat are playing decent ball bar a horrible 4th quarter vs Portland and are 8-6 at road this season. The only loss on a road to team with negative record (current) was in 1st match of the season. Miami won 2 out of 4 last in Charlotte, while Hornets are struggling with injuries - even though Kemba, Batum and Kaminsky are going to play this one, their are far from their physical best. Good value here.
Overall: +0.66 +2=0-2
Why: Heat are playing decent ball bar a horrible 4th quarter vs Portland and are 8-6 at road this season. The only loss on a road to team with negative record (current) was in 1st match of the season. Miami won 2 out of 4 last in Charlotte, while Hornets are struggling with injuries - even though Kemba, Batum and Kaminsky are going to play this one, their are far from their physical best. Good value here.
Overall: +0.66 +2=0-2
Lakers at Cleveland: Lakers +9,5 @1.95 (-105) by BitcoinRush
Why: LA are playing nice defense in last three and looks like Ball guy is finally stepping up. CLE ATS record at home is 2-12-1 and looks like Wade is out again and maybe Love too. Lakers bench is just much better and team improved after the last break.
Overall: -1.05
Why: LA are playing nice defense in last three and looks like Ball guy is finally stepping up. CLE ATS record at home is 2-12-1 and looks like Wade is out again and maybe Love too. Lakers bench is just much better and team improved after the last break.
Overall: -1.05
Chicago at Winnipeg: Winnipeg to win* @1.75 (-134) by BitcoinRush
Why: Even when Jets were a non-playoff and Chicago were a Western leader this matchup was a toss-up. Winnipeg won 4 out of 5 their last encounters and also lost only once in regulation time at home this season. CHI are just in decline and barely won their last 3 matches against outsiders.
*- OT and SO included
Overall: -2.0
Why: Even when Jets were a non-playoff and Chicago were a Western leader this matchup was a toss-up. Winnipeg won 4 out of 5 their last encounters and also lost only once in regulation time at home this season. CHI are just in decline and barely won their last 3 matches against outsiders.
*- OT and SO included
Overall: -2.0
Hi, decided to start a thread with betting tips. I'll try to beat the line of Bitcoinrush
1 bet = 1 unit
I'll start with CHI - UTAH (or UTAH @ CHI). I'm from Europe so we usually write a home team first. But i'll use and NA format (Utah at Chicago).
Utah - Chicago: Utah (-4) @ 1.91 (-110) by BitcoinRush
Why: CHI is surely tanking for Ayton/Doncic/Bamba and 4th win in a row would be well against season strategy, while Utah struggling in last matches mostly because of schedule. The CHI offense will find it hard to get cheap points. CHI overperfoming in offense last 3 matches, so it's due to a slip. Utah should get their shit together after 3 losses in a row.
Overall: -1.0
1 bet = 1 unit
I'll start with CHI - UTAH (or UTAH @ CHI). I'm from Europe so we usually write a home team first. But i'll use and NA format (Utah at Chicago).
Utah - Chicago: Utah (-4) @ 1.91 (-110) by BitcoinRush
Why: CHI is surely tanking for Ayton/Doncic/Bamba and 4th win in a row would be well against season strategy, while Utah struggling in last matches mostly because of schedule. The CHI offense will find it hard to get cheap points. CHI overperfoming in offense last 3 matches, so it's due to a slip. Utah should get their shit together after 3 losses in a row.
Overall: -1.0
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