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Topic: Lets see if you can read a simple graph. (Read 4698 times)

legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1001
September 14, 2013, 08:52:56 PM
#51
well if the price hits single digits im gonna go sell my house and buy in
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 14, 2013, 04:47:52 PM
#50
As they say, who laughs last laughs best.

Single digits = 0,001% chance
double digits = 40%
triple

edit:
Quadruple  digits = 99,999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999 %

Sounds foolproof, do you believe it yourself?
If so, any evidence besides that belief?
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
September 14, 2013, 03:46:12 PM
#49
As they say, who laughs last laughs best.

Single digits = 0,001% chance
double digits = 40%
triple

edit:
Quadruple  digits = 99,999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999 %
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 14, 2013, 02:56:42 PM
#48
As they say, who laughs last laughs best.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
September 14, 2013, 02:19:51 PM
#47
Graph says, "I sold under $6 and need to rationalize."

This made me laugh.  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 4200
Merit: 4887
You're never too old to think young.
September 14, 2013, 07:18:49 AM
#46
there is no volumen on the market except the omninous manipulating whales.

Threads like "Bitcoin will never extend more" and "Bitcoin is slowly shit" spread like mushrooms.

There is no single success-story of the bitcoin-universe. Except scammers and hackers.

By now every company or e-seller knows bitcoin and is tired of bitcoiners claims to accept it. Those who accepted don't have many payments.

Asics are a new megabubble which has to burst for sure.

We'll be soon back to normal, manipulation and illusion can't last forever. Than we'll continue the ride down. It will be like the yoyo-effect after a diet. Prepare!







ROFLMAO
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1003
WePower.red
September 14, 2013, 05:09:50 AM
#45
Good points Itcher, lots of things is not right at the moment.
full member
Activity: 364
Merit: 100
September 13, 2013, 08:29:39 AM
#44
there is no volumen on the market except the omninous manipulating whales.

Threads like "Bitcoin will never extend more" and "Bitcoin is slowly shit" spread like mushrooms.

There is no single success-story of the bitcoin-universe. Except scammers and hackers.

By now every company or e-seller knows bitcoin and is tired of bitcoiners claims to accept it. Those who accepted don't have many payments.

Asics are a new megabubble which has to burst for sure.

We'll be soon back to normal, manipulation and illusion can't last forever. Than we'll continue the ride down. It will be like the yoyo-effect after a diet. Prepare!





sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
September 12, 2013, 07:42:40 PM
#43


So confuuused, whose graph to uuuuse to predict the future - this graph or EM's graph?
Lol. You can make any graph look like any other graph using pan/zoom/etc.

That being said, I wouldn't discount the possibility of an even greater crash. When you're in the midst of it all you can do is guess because many of the most significant "permanent" growth industries had patterns like the "canonical bubble" in their adoption curve, if you zoom in to one spot. But the people who suggested canonical bubble at that point got burned. On the other hand, the true bubbles had plenty of people wanking to log graphs and they all got burned.
sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
September 12, 2013, 04:03:03 PM
#42
Here have a few zeros:

00000000000000O0000000000

(be careful don't pick the O)



legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 12, 2013, 01:58:39 PM
#41
Here have a few zeros:

00000000000000O0000000000

(be careful don't pick the O)
sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
September 12, 2013, 01:16:04 PM
#40
So that peak is supposed to equate to new paradigm ?

Doesn't work for me. I think we're still in the early take off, before long the peak will be another little ripple, just like the 2011 one is now. Its quite hard to think bitcoins is anything other than a very promising fledgling technology at the minute.

It is not even in the graph. We are like in 2009. It still have to grow x1000 (and even more later)
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
September 11, 2013, 09:41:01 AM
#39
So that peak is supposed to equate to new paradigm ?

Doesn't work for me. I think we're still in the early take off, before long the peak will be another little ripple, just like the 2011 one is now. Its quite hard to think bitcoins is anything other than a very promising fledgling technology at the minute.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
September 11, 2013, 06:48:24 AM
#38
I think the number of people who leveraged their way into their Bitcoin holdings is alarmingly high, and even some of the prominent Bulls in this forum agree with me on that. (Cypherdoc for example, correct me if I'm wrong Wink

This I can agree with and it's a point that makes me feel that a real crash to $10 or so would be a good thing. It would hurt me as well but to see those morons get flushed out of the system like that more than makes up for the loss. Wink But I'm afraid the momentum for that to happen is gone now, sadly not all human stupidity gets appropriately punished. If that were true we wouldn't have as many of them. Tongue
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 11, 2013, 05:42:31 AM
#37
@ Mucus: Sry, but your chart is rigged. Change the time interval and vote again. Kiss

No, I think it's just right.
We can argue if "First Sell off" was in 2011 or 2012 but they are clearly visible either way.

But resetting the poll is an interesting idea, I will do that once we got some significant market movement in a month or so.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 11, 2013, 05:35:14 AM
#36



Did I nail it? Is there a prize?

So Enthusiasm is at the same height as Despair? How does that work out?

Is Bitcoin bipolar?

I guess you're operating under the assumption that the graph will fit every bubble market ever at a 1:1 scale?

That is, if we can set aside the fact that our bubble started around $13, and that would mean "despair" would need to be a negative number to hold these proportions. I can't come up with a scenario where that would make sense, but I'd like to hear yours. Tell me what is going to make me pay someone, what would apear to be $20 or $30 a piece, to take my bitcoins, and I'll consider your point fair.



I have two answers for you:

First, consider the average Bitcoin be representative of a certain part of a defaulted bank loan, that would push it into the negative territory. That doesn't mean people actually pay money to get rid of their coins on the open market but rather they do so to get rid of their debt. I think the number of people who leveraged their way into their Bitcoin holdings is alarmingly high, and even some of the prominent Bulls in this forum agree with me on that. (Cypherdoc for example, correct me if I'm wrong Wink )

Second, I think Despair just is supposed to be below the mean, which in turn should match the non-bubble market loosely. Where ever that is in the case of Bitcoin we would still have to find out.
If you extrapolate the stable episodes it should be around 10-20 Dollar, more or less depending on the news.
legendary
Activity: 1974
Merit: 1030
September 11, 2013, 02:05:44 AM
#35
Interesting I expected the -- I refuse to vote -- option to be far more popular.

Yeah so did I. It's not too poor either so I'm satisfied Tongue.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
September 11, 2013, 02:03:13 AM
#34
You never cease to make yourself look stupid.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
September 10, 2013, 11:53:35 PM
#33
@ Mucus: Sry, but your chart is rigged. Change the time interval and vote again. Kiss
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1001
September 10, 2013, 07:59:03 PM
#32



Did I nail it? Is there a prize?

So Enthusiasm is at the same height as Despair? How does that work out?

Is Bitcoin bipolar?

I guess you're operating under the assumption that the graph will fit every bubble market ever at a 1:1 scale?

That is, if we can set aside the fact that our bubble started around $13, and that would mean "despair" would need to be a negative number to hold these proportions. I can't come up with a scenario where that would make sense, but I'd like to hear yours. Tell me what is going to make me pay someone, what would apear to be $20 or $30 a piece, to take my bitcoins, and I'll consider your point fair.

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