low price because of repeated large sells

Jack of Diamonds

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Quote from: Cluster2k on July 18, 2011, 08:19:42 PM

Quote from: ThomasV on July 18, 2011, 02:17:02 AM

Quote from: Nagle on July 18, 2011, 02:08:22 AM

If you're mining and hoarding Bitcoins, you're speculating. It's exactly as if you made some money, then spent it by buying Bitcoins for speculation purposes.

ROTFL. If you're not buying Bitcoins, you're speculating. It's exactly as if you bought thousands of Bitcoins, then sold them for speculation purposes.

So, does that mean I'm also speculating in postage stamps, baseball cards, vintage vases, old wine, and classic cars.... by not buying them? Great :-)

Well.. Take gold for example. Assuming you don't own nor have previously owned gold bullion, you are speculating the price will not hold up and will crash at any time.

Your opportunity cost is a few hundred % over the years.

If you believed it's a sound investment & had the courage to invest in it, you would speculate by buying gold.
Similarly, by not buying relatively cheap BTC at $13 per piece, you are speculating it's overpriced and not worth spending your money on as an investment.

Opportunity cost of not buying BTC at current rates is unknown, but previous people who had the chance to buy at $0.2, $0.5 per coin etc.. Were obviously speculating there would be a bear market & potentially lost tens, hundreds of thousands of dollars.

johnyj

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Beyond Imagination

Actually I think the price is reasonable, if it is higher, there will be more people buying mining equipment to make coins and drive up the difficulty and lower the profitability further.

Currently the return of the investment is just at normal business level. If it is too profitable, then all the money will rush into this business thus make competetion harder and drop the profitability

Vladimir

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True. In medium term bitcoin goes either to 1000$ or to 0$. If so, than it really makes not such a big difference whether it was bought at 10$ or at 30$.

Noam

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Guys, the shifts between $30 and $12 are temporary and quite frankly - completely insignificant.

Just looking at the medium/long term trends going on in this world (dwindling USD value, other world currency inflation, global government instability and people uprising) I have no doubt that BTC will be worth thousands of USD and possibly more in future years.

bitcon

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IF someone crashes the market by making a large sale, then that just gives us an opportunity to purchase BTC at early adopter prices..

Cluster2k

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Quote from: ?? on ??

Quote from: nazgulnarsil on July 18, 2011, 08:08:11 PM

losing 24% of your wealth in a span of 30 minutes.

You can't deny that all it takes is one of those 3-4 individuals to make a massive sell orders for bitcoin to decrease say another 25-50% almost instantly.

I believe this will happen several times, but once it is done with the massive upside will start to rear its head.

You don't lose any money until you cash out. If you do not sell when the price drops, you have not lost any money.

That is of course true. If you don't sell the asset at a lower price then you haven't realised the losses.

However, it's also the game US banks are playing with toxic CDOs. They're currently marked to model, not marked to market. The bank may say they're worth 90c in the dollar when really they're 30c. Even though the bank has not sold the asset, and therefore not realised the losses, those losses are real and genuine. They affect bank reserves and can cripple future lending.

Recently I applied for a mortgage and the broker wanted to know what my assets are worth right now, not when I bought them or what I think they're worth.

Vladimir

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Quote

low price because of repeated large sells

wow! that's quite a revelation...

turned out more supply than demand makes prices to go down Shocked

Grinder

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Quote from: ?? on ??

You don't lose any money until you cash out. If you do not sell when the price drops, you have not lost any money.

That's only true if you consider all the money you've spent on Bitcoins as lost already.

Cluster2k

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Quote from: ThomasV on July 18, 2011, 02:17:02 AM

Quote from: Nagle on July 18, 2011, 02:08:22 AM

If you're mining and hoarding Bitcoins, you're speculating. It's exactly as if you made some money, then spent it by buying Bitcoins for speculation purposes.

ROTFL. If you're not buying Bitcoins, you're speculating. It's exactly as if you bought thousands of Bitcoins, then sold them for speculation purposes.

So, does that mean I'm also speculating in postage stamps, baseball cards, vintage vases, old wine, and classic cars.... by not buying them? Great :-)

nazgulnarsil

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https://cryptassist.io

losing 24% of your wealth in a span of 30 minutes.

You can't deny that all it takes is one of those 3-4 individuals to make a massive sell orders for bitcoin to decrease say another 25-50% almost instantly.

I believe this will happen several times, but once it is done with the massive upside will start to rear its head.

ThomasV

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Quote from: nazgulnarsil on July 18, 2011, 06:36:03 AM

Few are interested in a market where one person can crash the price at will.

Nobody can crash the price at will.
When mtgox was hacked, in the minutes that followed the 500k sale which crashed the price from $17 to $0.01, and before mtgox cancelled all those trades, prices had gone back up to $13, because people were buying en masse.
And that, of course, is an extreme case...

nazgulnarsil

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https://cryptassist.io

there are still at least 3-4 players with 100k+ coins.

Few are interested in a market where one person can crash the price at will.

Oldminer

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Quote from: Alex Beckenham on July 18, 2011, 01:33:14 AM

And/or they don't want to sell but are being forced to by unforeseen personal circumstances. (i.e. Need cash urgently, must sell bitcoins)

And this ^^

I think also (as someone else in this forum suggested) that anyone into Bitcoins now, that stays in, will be considered one of the the new generation of 'early adopters' in 6 - 12 months from now. There will always be those that were the original early adopters, but I think we're seeing their numbers dwindle, for reasons already stated, but also perhaps because they never really were 'true believers' in Bitcoin. They were in the right place at the right time, and were the first to make a handsome profit from the first major price jump, but over time they will be a minority group of ever reducing numbers.

ThomasV

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Quote from: Nagle on July 18, 2011, 02:08:22 AM

If you're mining and hoarding Bitcoins, you're speculating. It's exactly as if you made some money, then spent it by buying Bitcoins for speculation purposes.

ROTFL. If you're not buying Bitcoins, you're speculating. It's exactly as if you bought thousands of Bitcoins, then sold them for speculation purposes.

Nagle

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Quote from: macharborguy on July 17, 2011, 04:06:37 PM

all I am doing right now is mining and hording my coins. not gonna jump into any markets, not going to play any of these gambling games on the forums.

If you're mining and hoarding Bitcoins, you're speculating. It's exactly as if you made some money, then spent it by buying Bitcoins for speculation purposes.

Alex Beckenham

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Quote from: Oldminer on July 18, 2011, 01:08:38 AM

I think what we're seeing is simply a few early adopters dumping there coins for what they can get because they think the party is over & that we will never again see $30 highs (or at least not for a very long time) &/or they believe the price is going to drop back to < $10, so their getting what they can for them.

And/or they don't want to sell but are being forced to by unforeseen personal circumstances. (i.e. Need cash urgently, must sell bitcoins)

Oldminer

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I think what we're seeing is simply a few early adopters dumping their coins for what they can get because they think the party is over & that we will never again see $30 highs (or at least not for a very long time) &/or they believe the price is going to drop back to < $10, so their getting what they can for them.

Bitcoin_Silver_Supply

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Quote from: kiwiasian on July 18, 2011, 12:36:54 AM

So you guys think the price will go up in 3 month's time?

Well last month everyone said it would be $100 by this month.
Oh what's that? They were wrong?

Hmmm.

Yes they were, because a lot of speculators in BTC are just starting to come to terms over how volatile a truly free market can be and they're learning the hard way. The reality is that noone knows how this is going to go because this currency is backed purely by an idea rather than any tried and tested commodity. Even "Satoshi Nakamoto" has supposedly said he has absolutely no idea what will happen to Bitcoin. It is a very bold and necessary project, but it is simply incredibly volatile and no sense of community or commitment among users is going to change that.

If you're investing heavily be sure you can afford to lose it all. If you can you may luck out and end up quite rich off a bold endeavor. If you can't you are quite likely to end up royally screwed.

kiwiasian

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So you guys think the price will go up in 3 month's time?

Well last month everyone said it would be $100 by this month.
Oh what's that? They were wrong?

Hmmm.

chuckypalumbo

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I had to pull my money out of BTC a few days ago, I came out $2 ahead from my initial purchase back in mid June to my exit out of bitcoins earlier this week at $14. It's just been a steady decline pretty much since Mt. Gox came back online. It sucks to see, I was really rooting for bitcoins, but with all the financial turmoil and gold and silver surging, I think you just simply have people pulling their money out of bitcoins, and putting it into precious metals and other places. Bitcoins are a great idea, but I just don't think it's time yet for it's price to be so inflated. A return to levels seen back in April would be more appropriate for now, and if its continues to survive, hopefully it bounces back if the world economy picks up as well. Right now however, gold and silver is where people should be putting their money to protect their wealth.

I bought 25 ounces of physical silver with the money I pulled out of Mt. Gox, and I'm glad I did.

Topic: low price because of repeated large sells (Read 5587 times)