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Topic: [LUCKY HEX] - Bet 0.1 for a 1/8 chance to win 770%!!! (Read 2898 times)

newbie
Activity: 44
Merit: 0
Grats to 1Az5sgYz! I am delighted to say that it's not me this time... But I have already made a few more bets Wink

hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
BitLotto - best odds + best payouts + cheat-proof
1Az5sgYz... wins with 3a6cebd165...
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
Wouldn't P be 2 since either place can win. Even if they are the same we still look at them and each one can win even though we aren't increasing the payout.

Nah. I hear ya, but that is why there is an "n" in the top right too.  "n" places to win on, but only "P" gets paid... so if all "n" places turns out to be the identical number, only "P" times will the jackpot be paid.  In this case, it's 2 minus 1.  Out of the 2 spots, only 1 gets paid at any given time, even if both spots have the same winning hex.

I spent over 35 minutes figuring out a formula that is scalable. Feel free to play with the numbers, you'll see it works for all base numbers and paid places!! (I'm pretty proud of that)

Try these numbers:
base 10 [0 - 9], 2 spots, 1 paid    = 19:100 (1 in 5.26)
base 8, 2 spots, 1 paid                = 15:64 (1 in 4.27)
base 16, 3 spots, 1 paid              = 46:4096 (1 in 89)
base 2 [binary], 3 spots, 1 paid   =  4:8 (1 in 2)
base 16, 2, 2                             = 32:256 (1 in 8 for single payout, 1 in 256 for double payout)

It works. The formula.  I do think it's easier to just pay out for any one instance.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
BitLotto - best odds + best payouts + cheat-proof
No, just acknowledging it is fine.  The odds are still pretty good.. 1 in 8.26, just be exact. :p
Sorry, right now I have a headache so bad my vision is going blurry...so excuse the present dumbness but:
Wouldn't P be 2 since either place can win. Even if they are the same we still look at them and each one can win even though we aren't increasing the payout.
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
No, just acknowledging it is fine.  The odds are still pretty good.. 1 in 8.26, just be exact. :p
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
BitLotto - best odds + best payouts + cheat-proof
bitlotto, are you going to answer my previous post?  What happens, in the rare case that, both numbers match the TX first digit? There's only 1 in 256 chance of that happening.
Right now, its still .77 even if both "rolls" are what you need. I could change that I guess but the .77 would have to go down... Do you think it's worth changing?
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
bitlotto, are you going to answer my previous post?  What happens, in the rare case that, both numbers match the TX first digit? There's only 1 in 256 chance of that happening.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
BitLotto - best odds + best payouts + cheat-proof
19h6Y2... wins .77 with tx of efa19645de... because next block has 1, e at the end.

I feel slightly guilty here Wink. I had put in a couple of more bets and have won again!

Are you doing that all by hand or do you have it automated? Seems like a lot of work. Can't you integrate it into your bitlotto website?
Ya, I do it by hand. It's not THAT popular so it doesn't take me long. I just hover over all the blocks to see the hex then look at the previous transactions. Guess I have to earn my tiny cut! Wink
newbie
Activity: 44
Merit: 0
19h6Y2... wins .77 with tx of efa19645de... because next block has 1, e at the end.

I feel slightly guilty here Wink. I had put in a couple of more bets and have won again!

Are you doing that all by hand or do you have it automated? Seems like a lot of work. Can't you integrate it into your bitlotto website?
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
What happens if BOTH hexes match the tx (transaction) number? Is there a double payout? Hmm?  Tongue

Just curious, how is this a 1/8 odds?
2 * 1/16 = 1/8

You have two chances to match your hex.

I think your math is off, but it might be in error of the player, so I won't press the matter.

EDIT:

Your math is in error of the house... when both hex digits match! (because I assume there is no double payout)

The real formula is therefore:


   (n * ß) - (n - P)
----------------------
             ßn


ß = base number system (# digits in system),
n = number of "places" player can win in,
P = number of paid matches. [say if all "places" match, how many times do you get paid?]

So, if we plug in the numbers, and then simplify, we get....


(2 * 16) - (2 - 1)                  31                     1
-------------------       =       -----       =        -----
          162                          256                  8.26


hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
BitLotto - best odds + best payouts + cheat-proof
19h6Y2... wins .77 with tx of efa19645de... because next block has 1, e at the end.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
BitLotto - best odds + best payouts + cheat-proof
And now trying two more times, someone has to bankrupt bitlotto Wink
LOL. Done. I'm pretty much broke. My % for all my stuff is pretty much so low right now I just have enough to pay hosting/domain etc. If my games get big one day hopefully I have a tiny bit to spare.
newbie
Activity: 44
Merit: 0
And now trying two more times, someone has to bankrupt bitlotto Wink
newbie
Activity: 44
Merit: 0
14HHEY... wins with tx b40bfae0df... because next block ended in 0, b


Oh nice!! I just won 0.77 BTC!!! Thanks bitlotto!
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
BitLotto - best odds + best payouts + cheat-proof
14HHEY... wins with tx b40bfae0df... because next block ended in 0, b
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
BitLotto - best odds + best payouts + cheat-proof
Put in 3 too.  Hopefully i'll go 3/3 ? (: hahah, ridiculously lucky there

Just curious, how is this a 1/8 odds?

I'm guessing your bets were in Block 135727. They lost!  Cry
Next block was Block 135763 and it ended in 0,1
None of the inputs had a 0 or 1 as the first digit.


sr. member
Activity: 328
Merit: 250
O duh. THanks for the clarification, don't know how I managed to overlook that fact
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1004
Keep it real
Why is it 1/16?  Sorry if I'm missing something obvious

Hex has 16 characters and it's pretty much random.
sr. member
Activity: 328
Merit: 250
Why is it 1/16?  Sorry if I'm missing something obvious
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1004
Keep it real
Put in 3 too.  Hopefully i'll go 3/3 ? (: hahah, ridiculously lucky there

Just curious, how is this a 1/8 odds?

2 * 1/16 = 1/8

You have two chances to match your hex.
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