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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 14561. (Read 26664984 times)

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Perhaps, I may have to change my cashing out formula because the formula allows for my selling about 1% for every 10% price rise, so for example, if I start out with $100, and the price shoots up 10x, then I have cashed out about the equivalent of my original investment of $100 but I still have about 9x of the principle which is $900. The same thing is true for the next 10x and the next 10x, so if anyone follows such a formula, then he would not run out of BTC to sell in the event that the price continues to increase by 10x, yet he will have accumulated a lot of fiat, to decide whether to keep it for reinvesting (because I don't think that we ever go up a straight 10x without some kind of price correction in there) or to cash some or all of that fiat out.

Why cash out at all if you already have enough fiat?  Why not just ride the whole stack up?  
Because shit happens. And it allows for buying back lower down.

Yeah the real question for me is whether an incrementalist approach or defensively trading established macro trends would be optimal.  
legendary
Activity: 3416
Merit: 1912
The Concierge of Crypto

So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000?

BTC will be $1,000,000 at about the same time that a loaf of Wonder Bread costs $50.00. Which may be sooner than we all think..

That or we see John McAfee do something he claims he's not going to do by a certain year.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo


... hand me your trousers, no time to explain.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
Perhaps, I may have to change my cashing out formula because the formula allows for my selling about 1% for every 10% price rise, so for example, if I start out with $100, and the price shoots up 10x, then I have cashed out about the equivalent of my original investment of $100 but I still have about 9x of the principle which is $900. The same thing is true for the next 10x and the next 10x, so if anyone follows such a formula, then he would not run out of BTC to sell in the event that the price continues to increase by 10x, yet he will have accumulated a lot of fiat, to decide whether to keep it for reinvesting (because I don't think that we ever go up a straight 10x without some kind of price correction in there) or to cash some or all of that fiat out.

Why cash out at all if you already have enough fiat?  Why not just ride the whole stack up?  
Because shit happens. And it allows for buying back lower down.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Perhaps, I may have to change my cashing out formula because the formula allows for my selling about 1% for every 10% price rise, so for example, if I start out with $100, and the price shoots up 10x, then I have cashed out about the equivalent of my original investment of $100 but I still have about 9x of the principle which is $900. The same thing is true for the next 10x and the next 10x, so if anyone follows such a formula, then he would not run out of BTC to sell in the event that the price continues to increase by 10x, yet he will have accumulated a lot of fiat, to decide whether to keep it for reinvesting (because I don't think that we ever go up a straight 10x without some kind of price correction in there) or to cash some or all of that fiat out.

Why cash out at all if you already have enough fiat?  Why not just ride the whole stack up?  
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197


Obligatory for the crushing of the upcoming 11k wall.
+10 WOsMerits airdrop for all..f#ck it.
Carry on.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

Perhaps, I may have to change my cashing out formula because the formula allows for my selling about 1% for every 10% price rise, so for example, if I start out with $100, and the price shoots up 10x, then I have cashed out about the equivalent of my original investment of $100 but I still have about 9x of the principle which is $900. The same thing is true for the next 10x and the next 10x, so if anyone follows such a formula, then he would not run out of BTC to sell in the event that the price continues to increase by 10x, yet he will have accumulated a lot of fiat, to decide whether to keep it for reinvesting (because I don't think that we ever go up a straight 10x without some kind of price correction in there) or to cash some or all of that fiat out.

Many of  us could already have issues like this, besides me, no?  But the problem that HairyMac was referring to was if guys and gal are cashing out too much too quickly and then run out... but if we have a formula for cashing out, we do not run out of BTC.

We know that we had about a 10x increase from $500 to $5k, and now we are at an additional 2x from $5k to $10k, but with the numbers presented by mfort312, it appears that there could be another couple of 10x increases within the price increase speculation, and the formula that I follow does not allow for running out of BTC, even if there were such a great increase...
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
The narrow and weak channel (such that it was) is now breaking to the upside.  



the hell is going on with the ETH meltdown?

EIP 867.  Allowing Devs to make state changes, to fix the Parity hack.  Its DAO all over again.  Also partly explains the pick up in ETC, in addition to Callisto. 

https://github.com/ethereum/EIPs/pull/867
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 4775
diamond-handed zealot
the hell is going on with the ETH meltdown?
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
I won't run out....  Tongue
I already have too much fiat...
really gonna be problems of the 1%...  Shocked Shocked


I'm starting to have fiat problems myself. Those of you that regularly cash out, where do you store your fiat? Anyone into offshore IBC's and banking? If so which banks(s) and countries have you chosen?

Edit:
Further to the above; which exchange is your favourite for wire transfers offshore? especially when an intermediary is required

Bitstamp is the obvious choice for a high volume exchange that is not in the US. I have always found it rock solid.  After that the water gets murky real fast. Get in, do what you have to do, and get out.
I agree..tho the Kraken has rejuvenated itself nicely. 

I would look into a shelf company, perhaps out of Belize.

http://www.worldoffshorebanks.com/10-things-you-need-to-know-about-a-belize-offshore-company.php
https://www.apintertrust.com/offshore_company/belize_ibc.htm
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Bitstamp is the obvious choice for a high volume exchange that is not in the US. I have always found it rock solid.  After that the water gets murky real fast. Get in, do what you have to do, and get out.
legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
I'm starting to have fiat problems myself. Those of you that regularly cash out, where do you store your fiat? Anyone into offshore IBC's and banking? If so which banks(s) and countries have you chosen?

Edit:
Further to the above; which exchange is your favourite for wire transfers offshore? especially when an intermediary is required

I can't be bothered with IBC given the ridiculously low capital gains tax in the US.
grn
sr. member
Activity: 357
Merit: 252
So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000?

Let's project.  Smiley

If we assume the average doubling floor time of 6 months over the last 5 years (including the 2014-2015 bear market):

$20k Aug 2018
$40k Feb 2019
$80k Aug 2019
$160k Feb 2021
$320k Aug 2021
$640k Feb 2022
$1.28MM Aug 2022

Three and a half more years.

If the doubling time persists at 3 months (the approx. average of the last three doublings), then just under two years. Mid 2020.

Wow.



You lot that like to sell your BTC in increments to buy back, take note that you don’t run out.  

I won't run out....  Tongue    Tongue     Tongue  Even though my chart only goes up about 8x from current price, but I suppose I can add a few more lines onto my projections to account for these real probable situations.

... I anticipate that even if BTC prices were to shoot straight up to $1.28million faster than the timeline, my formula for selling does not allow me to run out, and probably I wouldn't even go below 50%, if BTC prices were to shoot straight the fuck up.....

I already have too much fiat, now, so the problem of too much fiat seems likely to exacerbate based on these totally "reasonable" BTC price projections... really gonna be problems of the 1%... OMG    Shocked Shocked

I'm starting to have fiat problems myself. Those of you that regularly cash out, where do you store your fiat? Anyone into offshore IBC's and banking? If so which banks(s) and countries have you chosen?

Edit:
Further to the above; which exchange is your favourite for wire transfers offshore? especially when an intermediary is required
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000?

Let's project.  Smiley

If we assume the average doubling floor time of 6 months over the last 5 years (including the 2014-2015 bear market):

$20k Aug 2018
$40k Feb 2019
$80k Aug 2019
$160k Feb 2021
$320k Aug 2021
$640k Feb 2022
$1.28MM Aug 2022

Three and a half more years.

If the doubling time persists at 3 months (the approx. average of the last three doublings), then just under two years. Mid 2020.

Wow.



You lot that like to sell your BTC in increments to buy back, take note that you don’t run out.  

I won't run out....  Tongue    Tongue     Tongue  Even though my chart only goes up about 8x from current price, but I suppose I can add a few more lines onto my projections to account for these real probable situations.

... I anticipate that even if BTC prices were to shoot straight up to $1.28million faster than the timeline, my formula for selling does not allow me to run out, and probably I wouldn't even go below 50%, if BTC prices were to shoot straight the fuck up.....

I already have too much fiat, now, so the problem of too much fiat seems likely to exacerbate based on these totally "reasonable" BTC price projections... really gonna be problems of the 1%... OMG    Shocked Shocked


Edit:  I just went back to my charts, and I added a few more rows to project that if I go out 12x with the projection, that is about $126k per BTC, and if the price went shooting up to that price, sure it adds up to a lot of Fiat getting added to my accounts, but that fiat can be used to buy back BTC, I suppose...

My problem does not seem to be NOT having enough BTC in the event that the price goes shooting up, but instead, I am going to need to start spending more money in the very near future - since we cannot take this money with us... fuck..   This is an emergency, no? 

Seems that I have too many BTC..   Anyone want some BTC?  

Bob.. you are going to have the same problem, no?  Better start spending money soon.. .. upgrade your porsche to a lambo.. right away.. buy a rocket to send one porsche up into space and get another upgraded one.  Start living higher on the hog... RIGHT NOW.  Seems that we be going UP and going to cause a lot of problems of RICHIE.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

As a HODLer, I prefer charting floors vs all-time highs. ATHs are too transient and susceptible to FUD, making them more suitable for rektees traders.  Grin


So, when are we going to hit establish $1,000,000 as a floor?

Based on mfort312's BTC floor specialism, I FTFY.
legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 4775
diamond-handed zealot
I just sent a wire.  I can smell a slight sweet scent of FOMO on the air. 

no FOMO man
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