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Topic: Bullish scenario - page 2. (Read 4775 times)

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
October 07, 2013, 03:20:06 PM
#18

Yes I think log scales are best to get true perspective of bitcoins because they are increasing rapidly on a short timescale, and shows the bubbles in context of the bigger picture. TradingView doesn't have the option of a log scale (but has excellent features for technical analysis), I guess using TradingView has started me looking at linear scales more than before. I'd say linear is a good approximation on shorter timescales.

TradingView does have log scale, it's just hidden.  Go to the gear, then "scales".

Linear is a good approximation for small time scales.  It is also good for stable (sideways) behavior.  This usually only happens on small timescales with bitcoin, but there have been some periods of long term stability, particularly with the shorting that happened over $5.  Eventually, the position got away from them. (cough p@40 cough)
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
October 07, 2013, 03:01:06 PM
#17

Yes I think log scales are best to get true perspective of bitcoins because they are increasing rapidly on a short timescale, and shows the bubbles in context of the bigger picture. TradingView doesn't have the option of a log scale (but has excellent features for technical analysis), I guess using TradingView has started me looking at linear scales more than before. I'd say linear is a good approximation on shorter timescales.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
October 07, 2013, 12:02:24 PM
#16
I thought you were a logscale analyst. Why the linear scale?
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
October 07, 2013, 11:35:51 AM
#15
lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

i'll take lines on a chart over emotionally bear talk, anyday.

At least emotional talk can be funny. Lines on a chart is just too common.

lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

Not sure I follow, why does it seem like a joke ?

The slope is well defined from a trend which goes back months in time to before the bubble peak. The flash crash as you call it, could have fallen to any level above or below where it did, however it fell to the exact same line on my lower channel creating a second touch point. This could be co-incidence to some, to me this is a good confirmation of the new slope of the trendline. It is a bullish trend line. The other trend lines above on my chart have many touch points which gives me confidence in the slope.

If you are here to attack technical analysis I suggest you wasting your time, this is the speculation forum.

I thought there'd be more bears here though. Have you noticed how all the bitcoin bears are ripple fanatics ?

A flashcrash is not effected significantly by a support level for obvious reasons (Bids dont get the chance to fill in. The SOLE reason for the price to stop falling is that selling has stopped) Support is BUYING pressure. Not a lack of selling pressure.

Imagine one more person offloading 5k stash. Now the low would be ~105, slightly below the trend. Or one less person, slightly above. The fact it ended very near this line is nothing but coincidence.


prediction: there will be over 10K coins sold in the next 24 hours, and price will move up.

In the form of a gigantic spring and yawn concerning SR shutdown.  Cheesy

+1
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
October 07, 2013, 11:05:28 AM
#14
lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

i'll take lines on a chart over emotionally bear talk, anyday.

At least emotional talk can be funny. Lines on a chart is just too common.

lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

Not sure I follow, why does it seem like a joke ?

The slope is well defined from a trend which goes back months in time to before the bubble peak. The flash crash as you call it, could have fallen to any level above or below where it did, however it fell to the exact same line on my lower channel creating a second touch point. This could be co-incidence to some, to me this is a good confirmation of the new slope of the trendline. It is a bullish trend line. The other trend lines above on my chart have many touch points which gives me confidence in the slope.

If you are here to attack technical analysis I suggest you wasting your time, this is the speculation forum.

I thought there'd be more bears here though. Have you noticed how all the bitcoin bears are ripple fanatics ?

A flashcrash is not effected significantly by a support level for obvious reasons (Bids dont get the chance to fill in. The SOLE reason for the price to stop falling is that selling has stopped) Support is BUYING pressure. Not a lack of selling pressure.

Imagine one more person offloading 5k stash. Now the low would be ~105, slightly below the trend. Or one less person, slightly above. The fact it ended very near this line is nothing but coincidence.


prediction: there will be over 10K coins sold in the next 24 hours, and price will move up.
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
October 07, 2013, 11:02:34 AM
#13
lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

i'll take lines on a chart over emotionally bear talk, anyday.

At least emotional talk can be funny. Lines on a chart is just too common.

lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

Not sure I follow, why does it seem like a joke ?

The slope is well defined from a trend which goes back months in time to before the bubble peak. The flash crash as you call it, could have fallen to any level above or below where it did, however it fell to the exact same line on my lower channel creating a second touch point. This could be co-incidence to some, to me this is a good confirmation of the new slope of the trendline. It is a bullish trend line. The other trend lines above on my chart have many touch points which gives me confidence in the slope.

If you are here to attack technical analysis I suggest you wasting your time, this is the speculation forum.

I thought there'd be more bears here though. Have you noticed how all the bitcoin bears are ripple fanatics ?

A flashcrash is not effected significantly by a support level for obvious reasons (Bids dont get the chance to fill in. The SOLE reason for the price to stop falling is that selling has stopped) Support is BUYING pressure. Not a lack of selling pressure.

Imagine one more person offloading 5k stash. Now the low would be ~105, slightly below the trend. Or one less person, slightly above. The fact it ended very near this line is nothing but coincidence.


Must be great being the omnipotent one
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
October 07, 2013, 11:00:18 AM
#12
lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

i'll take lines on a chart over emotionally bear talk, anyday.

At least emotional talk can be funny. Lines on a chart is just too common.

lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

Not sure I follow, why does it seem like a joke ?

The slope is well defined from a trend which goes back months in time to before the bubble peak. The flash crash as you call it, could have fallen to any level above or below where it did, however it fell to the exact same line on my lower channel creating a second touch point. This could be co-incidence to some, to me this is a good confirmation of the new slope of the trendline. It is a bullish trend line. The other trend lines above on my chart have many touch points which gives me confidence in the slope.

If you are here to attack technical analysis I suggest you wasting your time, this is the speculation forum.

I thought there'd be more bears here though. Have you noticed how all the bitcoin bears are ripple fanatics ?

A flashcrash is not effected significantly by a support level for obvious reasons (Bids dont get the chance to fill in. The SOLE reason for the price to stop falling is that selling has stopped) Support is BUYING pressure. Not a lack of selling pressure.

Imagine one more person offloading 5k stash. Now the low would be ~105, slightly below the trend. Or one less person, slightly above. The fact it ended very near this line is nothing but coincidence.
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
October 07, 2013, 10:53:28 AM
#11
lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

Not sure I follow, why is it not TA ?

The analysis I perform is based on trendlines. The slope is well defined from a trend which goes back months in time to before the bubble peak. The flash crash as you call it, could have fallen to any level above or below where it did, however it fell to the exact same line on my lower channel creating a second touch point. This could be co-incidence to some, to me this is a good confirmation of the new slope of the trendline. It is a bullish trend line. The other trend lines above on my chart have many touch points which gives me confidence in the slope.

If you are here to attack technical analysis I suggest you wasting your time, this is the speculation forum.

I thought there'd be more bears here though.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
October 07, 2013, 10:46:34 AM
#10
lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.

i'll take lines on a chart over emotionally bear talk, anyday.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
October 07, 2013, 10:43:23 AM
#9
lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is

What this is is lines on a chart. Not TA.
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
October 07, 2013, 10:23:48 AM
#8
lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?

It is what it is
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
October 07, 2013, 09:58:48 AM
#7
lol a flashcrash confirming a lower trendline? Is this some kind of bad joke?
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
October 07, 2013, 04:52:44 AM
#6
Edit: This post is now also copied to the first post on the thread.


In light of the Silk Road take down I've been thinking along the lines of a large new rising channel, pictured below. This is slightly less steep than the channel i first posted at top of thread. The silk road dip has confirmed the bottom line of this new channel I'm watching.

The fact that Fed is now seizing and accumulating bitcoins is bullish development in my view.

Red line shows slope of resistance, I expect we'll meander sideways staying within the channel and under that resistance for a while. Might not get resolved until late November, then I expect we'll break up, staying within the channel.





legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
October 02, 2013, 04:24:26 PM
#5
Heres what I'm thinking, breakout coming, either by busting through resistance, or dropping to lower parallel then busting through !

http://afbitcoins.wordpress.com/2013/10/01/resistance-is-futile/

 I also have a bearish scenario in back of my mind, but hoping won't need that.



You should have let that nagging bear out of hibernation.
full member
Activity: 160
Merit: 100
October 02, 2013, 02:41:08 PM
#4



Yup definitely bullish

Well, I may be down xxxx today, but it just may be worth it to see this.  Nice shark.
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
October 02, 2013, 06:53:51 AM
#3



Yup definitely bullish
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
October 02, 2013, 05:51:36 AM
#2
found this in memespeculation thread...


legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
October 02, 2013, 04:39:38 AM
#1
Note: All updates posted at the end of the thread.

In light of the Silk Road take down I've been thinking along the lines of a large new rising channel, pictured below. This is slightly less steep than the channel i've been following on my blog. The silk road dip has confirmed the bottom line of this new channel I'm watching.

The fact that Fed is now seizing and accumulating bitcoins is bullish development in my view.

Red line shows slope of resistance, I expect we'll meander sideways staying within the channel and under that resistance for a while. Might not get resolved until late November, then I expect we'll break up, staying within the channel.



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