We all know that this upward move won't last forever, even if a real spot ETF is gonna be approved (that would cause another big rise, in my opinion), one day we will reach an unsustainable point of extreme overvaluation and a single fundamental event will trigger a huge dump.
I'm not trying to predict the future, I'm just trying to be honest myself considering that this cycle will come to an end (as always did before), but that could represent an opportunity too, for instance, with a short position opened at the right time (I know that I could appear like a complete fool who is trying to imitate Michael Burry in 2008).
What's your idea about that?
No, no, you are right, even fall is the advantage if the trader is open minded but you know, futures trading comes with leverage. When the users start to use leverage higher than 1x, then here comes the problem. The more leverage you use, the higher your profit can be but the riskiest your step can be. Yeah, with 7K USD right now and with 10X leverage, you can trade like you own 70K bitcoin and open short position on futures but if you open it at btc right now, then 10x rise and you'll end up with nothing, i.e. from 63K to 70K, you lose everything but if you open right now with 1x leverage, then the following scenario will happen:
1. Open short position right now at 63K with 1x leverage.
2. The price that will liquidate me will be 126K.
3. Even if bitcoin reachs 100K and then starts fall and lose 50% of it's ATH, you'll end up with the price of btc - 50K and you'll profit.
Maybe a bad example because I highlighted the positions at the moment but just wanted to say that short position with 1x leverage is great option on bitcoin because it's less likely to have massive gains or falls but still it offers ok profit but safer.
On coins like LRC, XTZ, QTUM, Matic, opening of short and long positions even with 1x leverage is very risky because these coins can rise enormously at any moment like they fall the same way too.
One thing that I sometimes do is wait for the massive rise and then open high leveraged short position (which is very risky but very instant rewarding too). Or another best profitable option is to spend days and nights on massive dumps and try to catch the best price to open long positions with high leverage, the profit will be unbelievable.